The price for Brandon Marshall

April, 14, 2010
4/14/10
10:42
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The Seahawks were interested in getting an elite, young talent at a discount.

The discount on Broncos receiver Brandon Marshall wasn't as large as the Seahawks anticipated. That doesn't necessarily mean the Seahawks should rush out to draft another high-risk receiver such as Dez Bryant. The Marshall situation was a separate, unusual opportunity. That opportunity has passed. Time to move on.

The Dolphins paid the rough equivalent of the 28th overall choice for Marshall. The price could be inconsequential if Marshall produces 100-catch seasons without some of the peripheral drama that made him expendable in Denver.

For now, this is what we know, based on reports:

The Dolphins sent the 43rd overall choice and a 2011 second-rounder to Denver for Marshall.

The 43rd choice is worth 470 points on the draft-value chart. A second-round pick next year should be worth a third-rounder this year. A pick near the middle of the third round -- such as the 80th choice, coincidentally owned by Denver this year -- is worth 190 points on the chart.

Total estimated value for Marshall: 660 points, same as the 28th overall pick in the 2010 draft, more than the 580 points Seattle paid for Matt Hasselbeck and far more than the estimated 270 points paid for Charlie Whitehurst.

By that measure, Denver was able to get first-round value for Marshall. That is great for Denver and more than I thought the market would ultimately bring for Marshall.

Seattle could have accomplished the same thing, in theory, by trading back from the 14th overall choice and then sending a pick later in the first round to Denver to complete a trade. That type of move generally wouldn't happen until draft day, however. In this case, the Broncos were able to get value before the draft, excellent for them.

Denver was the initial loser in this deal because it's rarely good to part with young, elite talent. But the Broncos recovered nicely with this trade.

The Seahawks never behaved as though they had to get Marshall. If that had been the case, they could have signed him to an offer sheet and parted with the sixth overall choice. That would have been foolish based on the risks associated with Marshall.

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