Friday, October 21, 2011
Sando's best guesses: Week 7 predictions
By Mike Sando
Point spreads do not necessary reflect NFL teams' relative strength.
They're designed to invite equal action on both teams, to the benefit of the house.
Now that we've gotten that out of the way, consider that NFC West teams are underdogs in Week 7 by a combined 20 points. Consider, also, that I would have gone 2-0 against the spread picking NFC West games last week, but since we're not picking against the spread, and since I'd go broke over time if I did, we'll stick to picking winners only.
A look at Week 7 games involving division teams after a 1-1 showing last week left my record at 14-5 for the season:
- Seattle Seahawks at Cleveland Browns, 1 p.m. ET. Many, many internal alarms keep going off as I prepare to predict a Seahawks victory in a 10 a.m. PT kickoff. A young team coming off a bye week and an upset victory over the New York Giants could be feeling a little too good about itself. Throw in a quarterback change with more shuffling on the offensive line and danger signs abound. I just cannot shake from my mind how bad the Browns looked falling behind 24-7 even after Oakland lost starting quarterback Jason Campbell. This one is on Seattle's defense. Sando's best guess: Seahawks 16, Browns 14.
- Pittsburgh Steelers at Arizona Cardinals, 4:05 p.m. ET. The Cardinals must win a game again before I pick them to do so. The Steelers have their own issues, but they have done a good job beating up on bad teams. Arizona is a bad team after losing four in a row. The Cardinals have been past due for a breakthrough performance. It's just easier trusting Ben Roethlisberger than trusting Kevin Kolb given what we've seen so far. Sando's best guess: Steelers 21, Cardinals 17
- St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys, 4:15 p.m. ET. The Rams have arrived at a point in the schedule where they need to be smart. They need to shield quarterback Sam Bradford from undue risk as Bradford works through a high-ankle sprain. That will help them emerge with the best chance to capitalize on a schedule that becomes much more favorable down the stretch. In the meantime, they're probably in for another rough game against a superior team on the road. Sando's best guess: Cowboys 27, Rams 10.
OK, where am I wrong this week? Oh, and were you the guy who put down $700 on the San Francisco 49ers before the season to win the Super Bowl?