Monday, November 5, 2012
QBR ranks: Wilson, Skelton in focus
By Mike Sando
Cue the dramatic scores from the NFL Films library.
We're about to discuss how well NFC West quarterbacks Russell Wilson and John Skelton stared down the blitz with courage and acted decisively to great effect.
Wilson completed 5 of 8 passes for 45 yards and two touchdowns for Seattle when Minnesota pressured with five or more defenders Sunday. Skelton completed 7 of 10 passes for 127 yards and a score for Arizona against Green Bay in these situations. Those figures are from ESPN Stats & Information.
The combined numbers: 12 of 17 passing for 172 yards with three scores and a 92.5 Total QBR score.
Those were positives.
Wilson played very well overall during the Seahawks' 30-20 victory. The context for that game -- strong rushing attack, playing at home -- put Wilson in favorable positions. He capitalized and finished with the seventh-highest Total QBR score in the NFL for Week 9 (82.8 out of 100, with 50 as average).
Skelton had a tougher time overall. Dropped passes played a role. He completed only 16 of 36 passes with an interception when the Packers sent four or fewer pass-rushers. For the season, Skelton has one touchdown, five picks and a 17.1 QBR score against standard pressure. Wilson has been much more effective in these situations, passing for 11 touchdowns with five picks and a 77.4 QBR score.
With that, let's check out how NFC West quarterbacks fared for Week 9 in relation to Total QBR, with NFL passer ratings in parenthesis as a reference point (thanks to ESPN Stats & Information for the charting info):
- Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks (82.8 QBR, 127.3 NFL rating): Wilson completed 16 of 24 passes for 173 yards with three touchdowns, no interceptions and one sack. He rushed nine times for 27 yards and three first downs. He was cited for a fumble on a backward pass that went out of bounds. Seattle suffered from three dropped passes, according to ESPN Stats & Information. Wilson, with an 83.1 QBR score over the past three weeks, trails only Peyton Manning (91.6) and Aaron Rodgers (89.0) over that span. Tom Brady (81.8), Matt Ryan (77.9), Drew Brees (75.1) and Andrew Luck (74.5) are next.
- John Skelton, Arizona Cardinals (41.1 QBR, 69.7 NFL rating): Skelton completed 23 of 46 passes for 306 yards with one touchdown, one interception and two sacks. He had no rushes and no fumbles. Arizona suffered from four dropped passes. Coach Ken Whisenhunt said Skelton improved markedly from the previous week. We wouldn't know it from Skelton's NFL passer ratings, which were 68.6 against San Francisco last week and 69.7 against Green Bay. QBR figures agree with Whisenhunt. Skelton was at 25.9 against the 49ers. He was at 41.1 for this game, a season high and his best score since a 31.4 in Week 1.
The chart below shows how quarterbacks from games involving NFC West teams fared in Total QBR for Week 9, provided they played enough to qualify for inclusion (Sidney Rice scored a 100.0 for his single pass, a 25-yarder to Zach Miller).
The column showing point above average reveals the "number of points contributed by a quarterback over the season, accounting for QBR and how much he plays, above the level of an average quarterback."