NFC West: Greg Lewis
Deion Branch and the price of receivers
Thomas Campbell/US PresswireSeahawks receiver Deion Branch was worth a fourth-round pick to the Patriots.The team's general manager at the time, Tim Ruskell, repeatedly assured Branch that the organization had no such plans. Ruskell wasn't lying. The Seahawks held onto Branch, but if they had cut ties with the veteran receiver in 2009 following three years of declining production, not even Branch could have expressed shock.
When the post-Ruskell Seahawks finally unloaded Branch this week, the biggest surprise came in the price New England paid in reacquiring the 31-year-old receiver. Branch will return the higher of the Patriots' 2011 fourth-round choices: the one acquired from Denver or the one originally belonging to New England. Wasn't that a little steep?
Randy Moss had commanded a third-round choice when New England traded him to Minnesota last week, an indication Seattle might be lucky to get a fifth-rounder for Branch. As Branch himself told reporters Tuesday, "I’m not Randy Moss. I wasn’t Randy Moss when I was here. And I’m not here to replace him."
The lesson, as always, is that any commodity is worth whatever someone can get for it at a given time. There is no sliding scale or reference chart based on a wide receiver's past production or anything else. Branch's value to the Patriots increased once New England determined keeping Moss was no longer tenable.
For perspective, and with an assist from Keith Hawkins of ESPN Stats & Information, I've classified 17 receiver trades since 2007 by compensation levels:
1. Roy E. Williams to Dallas (2008)
Price paid: Dallas sent 2009 first-, third- and sixth-round choices to Detroit for Williams and a seventh-rounder.
Comment: This one sets the standard for overspending. Williams is on pace for his first 1,000-yard season in Dallas, but this deal marked the last time (for now) an NFL team traded a first-round choice for a wide receiver.
2. Randy Moss to Oakland (2005)
Price paid: Oakland sent 2005 first- and seventh-round picks, plus linebacker Napoleon Harris, to Minnesota.
Comment: The Raiders never had the supporting cast to maximize this investment. Moss didn't hold up his end, of course, but the Patriots later proved Moss could function at a high level in the right environment.
3. Deion Branch to Seattle (2006)
Price paid: Seattle sent its 2007 first-round choice to New England.
Comment: Ruskell hoped Branch would add character and leadership to a position group he viewed as lacking in those areas. Branch did not have the talent to justify the price, however, and injury problems diminished what returns Seattle got from its over-investment.
Richard C. Lewis/Icon SMIDenver traded away a 100 catch per year receiver in Brandon Marshall.Price paid: Miami sent 2010 and 2011 second-round choices to Denver.
Comment: Marshall is on pace for another 100-catch season, although he has only one touchdown reception in his first four games with Miami. Broncos coach Josh McDaniels comes from the New England tree. Both organizations like to load up on second-round draft choices.
5. Wes Welker to New England (2007)
Price paid: The Patriots sent 2007 second- and seventh-round choices to Miami.
Comment: Welker is on pace for his fourth consecutive 100-catch season since joining the Patriots. He had caught 96 passes over two seasons with Miami previously. The quarterback situation in New England allowed the Patriots to maximize this trade.
6. Chris Chambers to San Diego (2007)
Price paid: San Diego sent a 2008 second-round choice to Miami.
Comment: This deal never worked out the way San Diego planned. Chambers made some solid contributions early, but an ankle injury altered the course of his career with the Chargers. Malcolm Floyd emerged as a big-play threat, and San Diego cut Chambers during the 2009 season.
7. Braylon Edwards to the New York Jets (2009)
Price paid: The Jets sent 2010 third- and fifth-round choices, plus Jason Trusnik and Chansi Stuckey, to Cleveland.
Comment: Edwards probably had run his course in Cleveland. The Browns were starting over. Edwards has 52 receptions, seven for touchdowns, in 17 games with the Jets. Check back later on this one.
8. Anquan Boldin to Baltimore (2010)
Price paid: Baltimore sent its 2010 third- and fourth-round choices to Arizona for Boldin and a fifth-round pick.
Comment: So far, so good for the Ravens. Boldin has 28 catches for 363 yards and three touchdowns in his first three games with Baltimore. Long-term durability concerns played into Arizona's decision to make the trade. Can Boldin hold up?
9. Randy Moss to Minnesota (2010)
Price paid: Minnesota sent a 2011 third-round choice to New England.
Comment: Moss had become unhappy and the Patriots decided to get value for him while they could, possibly at the expense of their 2010 on-field production. The Patriots spent only a fourth-round choice for Moss, used his immense talent for three-plus seasons, then got a third-rounder out of him. Not bad. But at what short-term cost?
10. Randy Moss to New England (2007)
Price paid: The Patriots sent a 2007 fourth-round choice to the Raiders.
Comment: Moss' relationship with the Raiders had deteriorated to the point that Oakland needed to unload him despite the high price it paid for Moss in 2005. Getting a fourth-round choice wasn't bad under the circumstances, although the price was a bargain from the Patriots' perspective.
11. Darrell Jackson to San Francisco (2007)
Price paid: The 49ers sent a 2007 fourth-round choice to Seattle.
Comment: Viewed as a risky move within the division at the time, Seattle came out OK. Jackson didn't fit the 49ers' offense and his deteriorating knee was another hindrance.
Jason O. Watson/US PresswireThe 49ers hope they get better production from Tedd Ginn Jr. than they did from Darrell Jackson.Price paid: The 49ers sent a 2010 fifth-round choice to Miami.
Comment: Ginn enjoyed a strong training camp before suffering a sprained knee in the regular-season opener. He has made a positive impact in the return game since coming back from the injury. San Francisco needs Ginn to emerge as a deep threat, too.
13. Deion Branch to New England (2010)
Price paid: The Patriots sent a fourth-round choice to Seattle.
Comment: The Seahawks got more in return for Branch than expected, but the Patriots can still come out OK. They've got Tom Brady, after all.
14. Santonio Holmes to the New York Jets (2010)
Price paid: The Jets sent a 2010 fifth-round choice to Pittsburgh.
Comment: Holmes served a four-game suspension to open the season. He caught three passes for 41 yards in his Jets debut Monday night. The Steelers had enough off-field concerns while dealing with the Ben Roethlisberger situation. Parting with Holmes made more sense in that context.
15. Greg Lewis to New England (2009)
Price paid: The Patriots sent a 2009 fifth-round choice to Philadelphia for Lewis and a seventh-rounder.
Comment: Oops. The Patriots cut Lewis before he played a regular-season game for them.
16. Mark Clayton to St. Louis (2010)
Price paid: The Rams sent a 2011 sixth-round choice to the Ravens for Clayton and a seventh-rounder.
Comment: This deal was working out very well for the Rams until Clayton suffered a season-ending knee injury against Detroit in Week 5. Clayton appeared to be a natural fit for the Rams' offense and he worked well with No. 1 overall choice Sam Bradford.
17. Troy Williamson to Jacksonville (2008)
Price paid: The Jaguars sent a 2008 sixth-round choice to Minnesota.
Comment: Williamson caught eight passes over two seasons for the Jaguars.
Sam Bradford in house, but no Brett Favre
Warming up isn't necessary outside, where temperatures have hit triple digits. The temperature gauge on my rental car showed the motor was already warm at startup.
The St. Louis Rams have continued with two-a-day practices anyway, some with live tackling. The team has been more apt to move practices inside to avoid lightning than to avoid heat during a particularly hot St. Louis summer. I thought the Rams held the most physical camp in the NFC West last summer despite perceptions about the San Francisco 49ers under Mike Singletary. Sounds like the Rams are holding to form this summer, too.
This just in: The Rams' list of players not in uniform includes kicker Josh Brown, receiver Brandon Gibson, cornerback Justin King, cornerback Bradley Fletcher, guard Jacob Bell, guard John Greco, defensive end Eugene Sims, running back Steven Jackson, safety James Butler defensive end James Hall and defensive end C.J. Ah You. The Minnesota Vikings' list features Favre, receiver Percy Harvin, receiver Sidney Rice, cornerback Cedric Griffin, linebacker J Leman, cornerback John Sullivan and tight end Visanthe Shiancoe.
The Rams' Roger Allen is starting for Bell at right guard. The Vikings' Greg Lewis is starting for Harvin. Lito Sheppard replaces Asher Allen at right cornerback.Jimmy Kleinsasser starts instead of Shiancoe. Jon Cooper starts in place of Sullivan at center.
Mailbag: Frugal team hoping to relocate?
Posted by ESPN.com's Mike Sando
Aric from Tempe writes: This is a multi-part question. One, does the NFL have a minimum average occupancy/ticket sales that a team must be below for a new owner to move a team? Two, if son, the Rams' offseason seems like the movie "Major League" where the owner signed a bunch of nobodies and did everthing he could to make them fail. Maybe I'm wrong, but why havent the Rams made any attempt to get at least one decent receiver? Three, are they tight on cap room? Why cut Torry Holt instead of trading him? I am a huge Rams fan, I have been a season-ticket holder since they came to St. Louis and I keep my season tickets even though I live in Arizona. Please help me understand what is oing on.
Mike Sando: I see the Rams as a rebuilding team that decided to go young at most positions when feasible. Saving money might have been partly behind some moves. However, the team spent big on free-agent center Jason Brown. The team held onto the second overall choice in the draft and then paid a slight premium to Jason Smith in an effort to get him into camp on time. The Rams re-signed cornerback Ron Bartell and committed more than $6 million to Oshiomogho Atogwe as a franchise player.
To answer your questions, relocation rules require three-fourths of owners to approve a move, but the Raiders succeeded in relocating without such approval. Also, the Rams have been relatively tight on cap room for some time.
Dave from 49er Country writes: Mike, I, like many of my 49er faithful brothers and sisters, are riding quite a 'high' so far this season. We are one very close play from being 3-0 (gotta give Brett Favre his props ... the man can still rip the ball) and now the Rams come to Frisco all banged up and probably expecting, deep down, to lose this game. What are they putting in the water in Santa Clara these days? The roster is not that much different than last year's team. Is Mike 'win or or else' Singletary willing the talent from these guys or was Mike Nolan just a bad head coach?
Mike Sando: Singletary has the 49ers playing more intelligently. The team is no longer trying to run a Kurt Warner offense with J.T. O'Sullivan at quarterback. That is the No. 1 difference on the field. You no longer see the 49ers blowing games. Some are getting a little impatient with the conservative approach, but it's clear to me Singletary wants to prevent losing while this team is learning how to win. Shaun Hill has continued to provide stability at quarterback, also. And then the defense is playing a more straightforward style.
Jason from Morongo Valley, Calif., writes: I predict the Niners going 10-6, winning their division and making the playoffs. I also think that they could be dangerous once in the playoffs because of their motivation and toughness. I know the Niners have been bad for a long time, but do you think this is reasonable to suggest?
Mike Sando: I think it's possible for the 49ers to get to that level. I do not think the team is currently at that level offensively. Most playoff teams would be able to outscore the 49ers, I suspect. The toughness and motivation are helpful, but other playoff teams would possess those traits as well.
Terry from Seattle writes: Did the NFL really contact the Seahawks and openly admit the Matt Forte fumble/review was called wrong by the officiating crew?
Mike Sando: Hugh Millen said so on KJR radio in Seattle. He played with Jim Mora at the University of Washington. The two were roommates. They remain close friends. Just a guess, but Millen would probably be able to verify that information.
I do not think it's a big deal. Teams complain about calls all the time. The league promises to review the plays in question. Sometimes the league acknowledges an error. Sometimes the league says the official made the right call. These sorts of things happen regularly. It's not like the league would have made a special call to the Seahawks, apologizing for horrible misdeeds. They probably said a mistake was made. It's not like it changes anything.
Posted by ESPN.com's Mike Sando
Jim Thomas of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch says injuries are taking a heavy toll on the Rams, leaving coach Steve Spagnuolo to take solace in that fact that the sun came up Monday. Thomas on quarterback Marc Bulger: "Had he suffered a torn rotator cuff, that might have ended his season. Nonetheless, sources said he couldn't lift his throwing arm Monday. And just to make sure there's no tear, he may seek a second opinion from James Andrews, the nationally known orthopedic surgeon who has offices in Birmingham, Ala., and Gulf Breeze, Fla."
Bryan Burwell of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch checks in with new Rams quarterback Kyle Boller. Burwell: "So now he gets his chance to show us whether he's still the same Kyle Boller the Ravens deemed unworthy, or if he's the second coming of Jim Plunkett, who resurrected his NFL life in Oakland after a disappointing start in New England. The clock is ticking on this opportunity, which might be Boller's last best shot at altering his NFL profile."
Bill Coats of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch says Craig Dahl has been up to the challenge as a backup safety for the Rams. Spagnuolo: "It was nice to know that you could put a guy in there with limited reps. He made some plays for us."
Roger Hensley of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch polls Thomas and others as to what Boller's ascension to the lineup could mean for the Rams. Thomas: "Because of his arm strength, the Rams could take more deep shots and/or try more deep shots with Boller at quarterback. And because of his foot speed, you could see more rollouts or passes with him on the move. But where he goes with the ball may be influenced just as much by who’s out there at wide receiver, particularly if Laurent Robinson misses a couple of weeks with his ankle injury."
Jeff Gordon of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch appreciates Steven Jackson as one of the NFL's elite players.
Steve Korte of the Belleville News-Democrat says Rams receiver Donnie Avery should be able to play against the 49ers despite injured ribs. X-rays were negative.
The 49ers' Web site provides a transcript from Mike Singletary's news conference Monday. On the final play against Minnesota: "The bottom line is no, we were not in a prevent defense. We were in a defense where we were going after the quarterback. We did not get the quarterback down, he threw the ball [and] they made a play. Simple as that."
John Crumpacker of the San Francisco Chronicle says the 49ers have returned a blocked field goal for a touchdown in three of their last 14 games. The team has yet to win one of those games. Also: "Greg Lewis' touchdown catch came on his first reception as a Viking, and on his fourth play of the game."
Matt Barrows of the Sacramento Bee says ankle problems keep forcing Frank Gore to miss games. Barrows: "Rookie Glen Coffee will start in Gore's place, and there's a chance that another rookie, Kory Sheets, will be elevated from the practice squad."
Also from Barrows: Coffee's extensive work during the exhibition season could help him, quarterback Shaun Hill theorizes. Barrows: "The 49ers' strategy this year is to attack defenses with their rushing attack early in the hope that it will wear down the opposition in the second half of games. That plan appeared to be working early in the third quarter Sunday when Coffee broke consecutive runs of 12 and 13 yards on a drive that led to a 37-yard Joe Nedney field goal. But Singletary noted that any momentum gained on that series was dashed when Vikings rookie Percy Harvin took the ensuing kickoff 101 yards for a touchdown."
Kent Somers of the Arizona Republic says the Cardinals will practice Wednesday and Thursday during their bye week as coach Ken Whisenhunt tries to figure out the best way to get his team going. Somers: "The Cardinals are 0-2 at home, after losing only four games there in the previous two seasons. Three of the next four games are on the road, and home games against the Vikings and Packers remain."
Darren Urban of azcardinals.com wonders whether the Cardinals can overcome serious offensive mistakes. Urban: "We all know how badly the (Tim) Hightower fumble at the Colts’ 5 hurt, but on the drive before -- which ended on a Neil Rackers field goal and a 3-0 Cards’ lead -- the Cardinals were at the Indianapolis 20 with a third-and-1. (Kurt) Warner tried to go down the field to (Larry) Fitzgerald. Anquan Boldin was wide open on the left side of the play (he was demonstrably angry right after the incompletion, and was lucky he didn’t get a penalty when he ripped off his helmet on the field) about two yards past the first-down marker. The two drives combined maybe should have turned into two touchdowns. But when they didn’t, maybe it takes something away from the defense."
Greg Johns of seattlepi.com updates the Seahawks' injury situation. The team doesn't know when Matt Hasselbeck will return.
Danny O'Neil of the Seattle Times revisits the shaky replay reversal that went against the Seahawks in Week 3. The referee overturned a Bears fumble deep in Seahawks territory. Coach Jim Mora: "The ruling on the field was fumble. Every replay that I've seen in my eyes is inconclusive and the rule states that if it's inconclusive, then the ruling on the field stands, but I have not had all the views that the official making the call had. So he saw it differently than I did. He saw it differently. It was a big play in the game."
Also from O'Neil: The Seahawks' decision to have Deion Branch run the ball on third-and-1 surprised everyone but the Bears.
More from O'Neil: Mora says he overreacted when he blasted kicker Olindo Mare, who remains with the team after missing two field goals during a 25-19 defeat to the Bears.
Eric D. Williams of the Tacoma News Tribune says Mora discussed his overreaction during a team meeting. Mora: "His kickoffs were fabulous. Would I have liked for him to make those two kicks? Yeah. But I wouldn’t like him to make them anymore than he’d like to make them."
Dave Boling of the Tacoma News Tribune says it's unfair to expect Mora to handle postgame news conferences as well as Mike Holmgren handled them. Boling: "I doubt there’ll be any significant damage done to the psyche of Mare (a veteran), or the team’s respect for Mora. Remember San Francisco coach Mike Singletary last year, dropping his pants at halftime to get his team’s attention, and then singling out tight end Vernon Davis? The result in Singletary’s case was that the team responded, and Davis is a more productive player."
Clare Farnsworth of seahawks.com says the team is bracing for Peyton Manning in Week 4. Mora used to attend Manning's games when Manning was in high school. Mora: "He was just big. He was fast. He was smarter. He had a whip for an arm. Made great decisions. It was a joke watching him play against these guys."
Also from Farnsworth: a point-by-point review of the Seahawks' defeat to the Bears. On Julius Jones: "So this is how the one-step-and-go running style is supposed to work in the new zone-blocking scheme. Jones averaged 5.2 yards on 19 carries to finish with 98 rushing yards. He also scored the Seahawks’ only touchdown, by taking a short pass from (Seneca) Wallace and running through an attempted tackle on his 39-yard score. Jones ran with determination (he was stopped for negative yards only once), and he also made good decisions (he had runs of 20, 15, 16 and 14 yards)."
Singletary: 'We will see them again' in playoffs
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| Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images | |
| San Francisco coach Mike Singletary wouldn't let his team get down after a heartbreaking loss to the Vikings. |
MINNEAPOLIS -- The curtain separating reporters from the San Francisco 49ers' locker room Sunday was no match for coach Mike Singletary's impassioned rants.
"Stop looking at the floor!" he ordered players in an otherwise silent locker room. "We didn't steal anything, we didn't do anything wrong, OK? We're going to get better. We are going to get there."
The momentum was building.
"We will see them again -- in the playoffs!" Singletary continued. "All right?"
Singletary remained out of view, but he commanded the room on both sides of the curtain. Reporters were rapt, players silent.
"You hold your head up!" he screamed. "You do not need to put your head down for nobody! You hold your head up! You understand? You hold your head up, your shoulders back and let's rock! OK? Let's go!"
The 49ers couldn't have dreamed a harder way to lose a game. Brett Favre's 32-yard strike to Greg Lewis in the back of the end zone with two seconds remaining turned a defining 49ers performance into heartbreak. But this defeat was not a total loss.
"You look at a game like today and it's a tough loss, but the team that lost this game, particularly like that, is going to be better for it," Singletary said during his postgame news conference. "It stings and it hurts like heck, but going forward, this will serve us well. We have to learn how to finish."
The 49ers have branded Singletary's five-point "formula for success" onto walls at their facility in Santa Clara, Calif. A quick look at each one shows the 49ers, despite nearly winning this game, have much work to do:
1. Total ball security. The 49ers came close. Shaun Hill threw one interception, but Glen Coffee protected the ball during 25 tough carries. The turnover battle was a push.
2. Execute. The 49ers fell short, failing to convert any of their 11 third-down opportunities before allowing Lewis to get free on the final play. Allowing a 101-yard kickoff return for a touchdown also hurt.
3. Dominate the trenches. Holding Adrian Peterson to 85 yards despite a 35-yard carry qualifies as a success. The 49ers averaged only 2.2 yards per carry, a number that doesn't seem so bad given that the Vikings knew what was coming. Coffee did have 12- and 13-yard runs in the third quarter when the 49ers needed to control the ball. The 49ers sacked Favre twice and roughed him up a few times. They did not dominate the trenches, but they weren't dominated either.
4. Create great field position. The 49ers were hit-and-miss on this front. They began drives at their own 14- and 8-yard lines early in the game. Their first second-half drive began at their own 16. The Vikings began one drive at the San Francisco 34.
5. Finish. Blaming the 49ers for failing to finish is seeing only part of the story. Favre made a Hall of Fame play when nothing less would suffice.
Give Favre credit, but not entirely at the 49ers' expense. They showed more in this game than anyone reasonably could have expected even three weeks ago:
- Shaun Hill can win a game. Only a few days ago, Singletary sidestepped a question about whether the 49ers' quarterback could win games instead of simply managing them. The 49ers found their answer in the Metrodome. For the second time in as many road games, Hill led the go-ahead 80-yard touchdown drive in the fourth quarter. His 20-yard scoring pass to tight end Vernon Davis on second-and-goal from the 20 should have stood as the defining play for San Francisco.
- Hill is the 49ers' most important player. Offensive coordinator Jimmy Raye gave that distinction to Frank Gore before the season, but he might need to reconsider. The 49ers lost Gore to injury during their second possession. They lost left tackle Joe Staley for part of their go-ahead scoring drive in the fourth quarter (Staley said he was the victim of a leg-whipping by an unseen defender). Hill was the constant. He completed 60 percent of his passes for 195 yards and two touchdowns despite brutally difficult conditions for a quarterback. The team's failures on third down at least partially reflect conservative play calling on early downs. The 49ers were going to run the ball, period, even when the Vikings knew it was coming. Hill was good in the clutch.
- The 49ers are physically tough. This game felt more like an NFC North or AFC North slugfest than anything associated with the NFC West in recent seasons. "They were going to run the ball and stop the run and try to hit you in the mouth, and they did a pretty good job of it," Vikings guard Steve Hutchinson said.
- The 49ers are mentally tough. Gore's injury gave the 49ers and easy out. They would not take it. They weathered a rough start to take control of the game. Their 80-yard touchdown drive came after the 49ers allowed Percy Harvin's return touchdown. Few teams could overcome losing their workhorse running back and allowing a special-teams touchdown to win on the road. The 49ers nearly did.
- Recent draft choices are looking good. Staley, a first-round choice in 2007, battled Vikings defensive end Jared Allen pretty evenly after allowing a sack on the first play. Coffee, a third-rounder this year, ran tough even when there wasn't much room. Davis, the sixth player chosen in the 2006 draft, caught seven passes for 96 yards and two touchdowns. He's functioning much better than previously now that the 49ers are leaving him on the field for entire games. He fits this offense. If only the team could have gotten Michael Crabtree signed in time to contribute this season.
The 49ers are not pretty. They are not going to suddenly become pretty. Their approach might not be good enough to win playoff games. But for all their obvious warts -- and none stands taller than that 0-for-11 mark on third down -- they were leading the Vikings in the Metrodome with three seconds remaining.
On that front, Singletary was right. The 49ers need not hang their heads for anybody. They're 2-1 heading into a home game against the 0-3 Rams.
"It's not the end of us," cornerback Dre Bly said. "We're going to fight back. We're a good football team."
Posted by ESPN.com's Mike Sando
Jacob from Denmark writes: Hello and thank you for taking my question. Some believe the Eagles could be interested in trading up to get one of the highest rated OT's in the draft.
The Eagles have two first round picks, the Rams need young talent and with the Eagles' picks, they would have a chance of getting just that.
Even though I really would like to see Aaron Curry in a Rams jersey, I think they should try to get a deal done with the Eagles. Especially if they keep Orlando Pace, draft Eben Britton with pick number 21 (if Oher is gone) and give him a little time to develop into a better pass blocker.
Maybe they could give Pace some more rest and only use him on obvious passing downs, I think Britton will be an excellent run blocker immediately. And with the 28th pick, you never know, Rey Maualuga might still be there!!!
1.Do you think a trade is realistic?
2.How much can the Rams require for the number two pick overall?
3.Would it, in your view, make good sense for the Rams to trade down with the Eagles?
Mike Sando: Probably not realistic. Moving from 21st to second would, in theory, require massive draft capital. Using the Jimmy Johnson-style draft trading chart, the Eagles would have to part with more than the 21st, 28th, 53rd and 85th choices to make the trade. The trade chart is arguably outdated, but still, you get the idea.
In theory, yes, I think the Rams fit the profile of a team that could benefit from additional selections. It's just tough to drop 19 spots in the round.


