Sunday, February 24, 2013
Wishful thinking? A draft trade to consider
By Mike Sando
The St. Louis Rams hold the 16th, 22nd, 46th and 78th choices in the first three rounds of the 2013 NFL draft. Bill from Chesterfield, Mo., would like to see them trade back from the 16th or 22nd pick with a team moving up to select a quarterback.
"When I look at the depth of above-average players in this draft at positions the Rams need -- guard, tackle, safety, receiver, linebacker, defensive tackle -- and the fact that teams at the top of the second round need quarterbacks, I keep thinking the Rams are in prime position to move back," Bill writes. "Do you see this as a strong possibility? What is a reasonable return for dropping 15 to 20 spots? Is a high third this year plus a second-round pick next year doable? Would the Rams consider it?"
It's tough to know what the Rams could get for the 16th or 22nd picks. We do know what teams have gotten for those picks in the past. That can serve as a general guide when setting value for those picks in the 2013 draft.
The 2004 and 2007 drafts provides some precedent for the type of move you're talking about, Bill.
In 2004, Buffalo moved up into the 22nd slot to select quarterback J.P. Losman. The Bills sent the 43rd and 144th picks to Dallas, plus a 2005 first-round choice. In 2007, Cleveland moved up from the 36th pick into the 22nd slot to draft quarterback Brady Quinn. The Cowboys got the 36th pick, plus a first-rounder in 2008.
It's a little early to know whether any team will value the 2013 quarterbacks enough to make a similar move. I think the Rams would have to seriously consider that type of trade if offered. St. Louis would still have the 16th pick. The team would then have three-first rounders in 2014 -- its own, plus one already acquired from Washington, plus the new one from this hypothetical trade.
There have been several other trades involving the 22nd pick, including one in 2006 that saw San Francisco send the 37th and 68th choices to Denver for a chance to select Manny Lawson with the 22nd choice that year.
The 16th pick hasn't seen quite as much trade action.
In 2003, San Diego sent the 16th pick to Pittsburgh for the 27th, 92nd and 200th choices.
A year later, San Francisco sent the 16th choice to Philadelphia for the 28th and 58th choices. Those were the most recent examples of a team moving down at least 10 spots from No. 16.