NFL Nation: Brian Kelly
We have been discussing this here for some time. But with the rest of the outside world beginning to catch on (Read: Peter King, No. 9 in "Ten Things I Think I Think") and with Twitter followers now asking me for explanations instead of just calling me names, it's worth revisiting the question of why people are turning down the Philadelphia Eagles' head-coaching job. Over the weekend, Notre Dame's Brian Kelly became the third high-profile college coach (along with Oregon's Chip Kelly and Penn State's Bill O'Brien) to decide to return to his college job in spite of interest from the Eagles.
Peter muses that it's because the Eagles are "a team trending downward," but I don't think it's that simple. First of all, in the NFL, where at least one team goes from first place to last place every single season, there's sort of no such thing as a team trending downward. Any team is capable of a rapid turnaround given the right coach, quarterback and circumstances, and the NFC East is no longer a division that requires 11 or 12 wins.
And while I have been (unfairly) criticized on Philadelphia sports talk radio in recent days for my (accurate) opinion on this, that opinion has (of course) become distorted and presented to the angry Philadelphia public as "no one wants the Eagles job." That is not what I have written, nor do I believe it is the case. Someone will coach the Eagles in 2013, and there are candidates who would jump at the job this minute if it were offered to them. It's one of only 32 jobs in the world of its kind, and regardless of the flaws it offers the chance for a coach to live out his lifelong dream of running an NFL team on Sundays.
What I do believe is that, for several important reasons, the Eagles' head-coaching job is not as appealing as the Eagles and their fans wish it to be. And I think the fact that these three college coaches, O'Brien and the Kellys, decided after thinking about it that it wasn't the right NFL job for them explains why. They were willing to listen; they just didn't like what they heard.
So again, the three reasons someone who has a great college coaching job with control over the program and fans who adore him for what he's accomplished there might not want to leave to coach an NFL team in Philadelphia:
1. The Eagles have a GM in place. This is nothing against Howie Roseman personally or professionally. He could turn out to be the greatest GM in NFL history for all any of us knows. But it's the fact that someone holds that position and will continue to hold it that gives a candidate pause. If you're a college coach used to control, you likely have an image in your head of what your dream NFL job looks like, and it likely includes a higher level of control over the draft and personnel matters than the next Eagles coach is going to have. Owner Jeffrey Lurie has made it clear publicly, and undoubtedly in these interviews, that Roseman and the new coach will report directly to him and that the new coach will be expected to work in harmony with Roseman. Whether the candidate likes Roseman or not is irrelevant. Being told up-front that you have limited (if any) say in the construction of your roster isn't an enticement.
2. The Eagles do not have a quarterback in place. Michael Vick has nine toes out the door. Nick Foles is a 2011 third-round draft pick that the last coach, Andy Reid, liked but who was passed over a couple of times by everyone else. Even if the new coach likes Foles, he'd have to admit he's still a question mark. And if you have a question mark at quarterback in the NFL, you have a problem. Granted, most of the teams with head-coaching vacancies have this same problem (which is a big reason why they have head-coaching vacancies). But it'd be naive to think it's not a significant enough problem to convince a high-profile college coach he's better off staying where he is. The defense needs a rebuild, too, but that's not the same level of issue for coaches as quarterback is right now.
3. Pressure. There's no market like Philadelphia for pressure. There may be more pressure in other markets, but Philly has the market cornered on bitterness and negativity. The fact that the Eagles have never won a Super Bowl has taken over as the only thing about which Eagles fans care. Correcting it is the only way an Eagles head coach could win them over. And you can sit there and say that a good coach should relish such a challenge, and you may well be right. But not everyone's wired the same way. The pressure and expectations in Philadelphia, as well as the increasingly negative atmosphere around the team, would naturally be a concern of anyone who took the job. Whoever does take it will go in with his eyes open to the nearly impossible expectations he'll immediately carry, and it'll take a special sort of person to handle all of that and succeed there.
So there you have it -- my best, most logical and thorough explanation of why the best and brightest college coaching minds aren't climbing all over each other for the Eagles' head-coaching job. In the end, you may be happy about that. Maybe Gus Bradley is a star on the rise. Maybe Brian Billick is rejuvenated and improved in a second time around. Maybe there's somebody out there you don't even know about yet who's going to be better than all of the candidates we've seen so far. I'd just caution against dreaming too big, that's all. The Eagles are going to have to take a chance on someone and hope he's a hit.
Kelly met with the Philadelphia Eagles on Tuesday, and there was mutual interest after the interview, according to league sources.
CBSSports.com reported Wednesday that the Chicago Bears also were interested in Kelly. But sources refuted that report to ESPNChicago.com.
"This week, I had an incredible opportunity to speak with one of the premier organizations in sports about becoming their head coach," Kelly said in a statement released through the school.
"Like every kid who has ever put on a pair of football cleats, I have had thoughts about being a part of the NFL. However, after much reflection and conversation with those closest to me, I have decided to remain at Notre Dame."
The protocol becomes the same for nearly every freshly minted NFL draft choice, from first-round quarterbacks to seventh-round punters.
Not long after their selections, their new employers will connect them to local NFL reporters via conference call.
A surprise awaited the Arizona Cardinals after the team made Notre Dame receiver Michael Floyd the 13th overall choice in the 2012 draft.
Floyd's college coach, Brian Kelly, made an unsolicited call to the Cardinals, availing himself to media questions regarding his former player.
Kelly has vouched for other players, including Minnesota Vikings first-round pick Harrison Smith. A college head coach certainly has a recruiting interest in getting his name out there in association with prominent draft choices.
But in publicly testifying for Floyd, whose draft file includes three three alcohol-related incidents and a resulting team suspension, Kelly extended himself to an extent that wasn't necessary. It was a notable early marker for the Cardinals, who have never drafted a player with such significant baggage since Ken Whisenhunt arrived as head coach in 2007.
Floyd could not have scripted Kelly's testimonial more favorably:
- On Floyd in general: "Well, a kid who got his degree in three-and-a-half years from Notre Dame. Probably in my 23 years now as a head coach, the best practice player that I've ever had. He just has a passion and a love for the football."
- On Floyd as a teammate: "Whether he is getting the football or not, he is a guy who has never complained. He certainly always wants the ball in critical situations. He has never been a diva, if you will, in terms of not getting his catches. If we're successful and we're making plays, he's on the other end making blocks. That's why it was such a pleasure to coach the kid."
- On what changed in Floyd following a suspension: "To have an opportunity to come back and play at Notre Dame and get a degree and be successful in the NFL, he had to make some choices. And he made some great choices. Now, you've got a young man who had been through some adversity, has handled it, has been humbled because of it and the best is in front of him now."
Authorities cited Floyd for underage drinking in 2009 and 2010. A DUI conviction last year made for three alcohol-related incidents in three years, raising obvious questions about judgment and the potential for a more serious problem.
College programs can become enablers for troubled star athletes. Handing millions to those troubled athletes usually doesn't help.
Those are generalities. Floyd's situation stands on its own. Whether he has a problem or carries a heightened risk cannot be known for certain.
The Cardinals' decision to draft Floyd was an organizational one, with team owner Michael Bidwill, a former federal prosecutor, participating directly in the vetting process.
Coach Ken Whisenhunt said the team asked tough questions, thought Floyd provided honest answers and felt Floyd made a positive statement by returning to Notre Dame for his senior season amid quarterback uncertainty that could have hurt Floyd's status.
"I just basically told them it was a bad decision," Floyd told reporters following his selection. "I learned from it and I moved on. I know I can't be like every other college student, just doing what a college student does, because the spotlight is on me. They wanted to see if I had improvements since that time, and I have."
There is less uncertainty over the Cardinals' on-field plans for Floyd. They anticipate him becoming their flanker opposite split end Larry Fitzgerald, who had been the most recent first-round wideout chosen by Arizona. With Floyd projecting as a starter, Andre Roberts becomes a candidate for additional playing time from the slot, where Early Doucet was already a factor for the team.
Fitzgerald and Floyd present matchup problems with their size alone. Both are nearly 6-foot-3. Floyd weighed 220 pounds at the scouting combine. Fitzgerald weighed 225 upon entering the league in 2004. He has preferred playing at a lighter weight recently.
Size matters for receivers in the NFC West, a division featuring punishing safeties and Pro Bowl credentials in the secondary. Kam Chancellor, Earl Thomas, Brandon Browner, Richard Sherman, Adrian Wilson, Patrick Peterson, Carlos Rogers, Dashon Goldson, Donte Whitner, Cortland Finnegan and Quintin Mikell come to mind immediately.
"You could consider Mike to be still a raw receiver in that he can get better in all the technical elements in route running and things of that nature," Kelly said of Floyd. "He is certainly a guy that attacks the football and attacks defenders and blocking -- he is an outstanding blocker."
Any rookie open to input from veteran players stands to benefit from joining a team with strong leadership at the player's position. Fitzgerald sets an impeccable standard for the Cardinals' receivers and the team in general. From that standpoint, Floyd couldn't have found a better working environment.
It’s purely hypothetical at this point, but I’m going to say I wouldn’t be totally surprised if the Carolina Panthers bring in a coach from the college ranks to replace John Fox, who will be out the door the moment the season is over.
Kyle Terada/US PresswireWill Carolina target Stanford coach Jim Harbaugh to replace John Fox?
As I said in this recent post, I believe general manager Marty Hurney and team president Danny Morrison will spearhead the search. Owner Jerry Richardson will be involved and have ultimate say, but he’s pretty busy working on the league’s labor situation.
The reason I’m amending my theory, and at least leaving open the possibility of a college coach, is Morrison. Yeah, he runs the business side and Hurney runs the football side, but Morrison holds a great deal of power and comes from a college background. He knows people at the college level all across the country and I think he’ll at least bring some college names to the table.
I also think Hurney is bright enough and has enough of an open mind that he at least would consider going the college route.
People already have been throwing around Jim Harbaugh’s name and I think there are at least logical reasons for the Panthers to take a look at him. Harbaugh’s had success at Stanford and he’s young and enthusiastic. He also is the guy who has been coaching Andrew Luck. In case you haven’t heard, there is a pretty good chance Luck will be the first player chosen in the 2011 draft. There’s an even better chance the 1-11 Panthers will hold that pick.
A package deal? Perhaps. But I’m not convinced the people who still will be in power are ready to give up on Jimmy Clausen, although Fox never embraced him. It’s possible the Panthers could hire Harbaugh and ask him to develop Clausen. It’s possible they could try to trade the top pick to add more picks. But if Luck is as good as everyone seems to think he is, it would be awfully hard to pass on a franchise quarterback.
Harbaugh may be a college coach, but he had a lengthy NFL career, so the transition wouldn’t be that dramatic.
Now, I’m going to throw out one other college name that I think could fit Carolina’s profile. That’s Notre Dame’s Brian Kelly. He has no NFL experience, but neither did Morrison before he was hired. Like Morrison as an athletic director, Kelly has moved steadily up the college ranks. He had great success at Cincinnati and that got him the Notre Dame job.
Again, I’m not saying the Panthers definitely will hire a college coach. But I think it’s at least a consideration. Keep in mind, this is a team that got stale the past few years under Fox.
The Panthers need a guy who will liven things up. Starting fresh with a college coach might not be a bad option.
A tip of the hat to NFC West colleague Mike Sando, who flagged the latest offering from a fellow known as AdamJT13 -- a blogger who has gained some cyber-fame for his ability to predict the NFL's awarding of compensatory draft picks.
The league has never publicized the formula it uses for this program, which gives extra selections to teams that lost more talent than it gained in free agency the previous year. The picks can be as high as the third round and as low as the seventh. I won't overwhelm you with too many details, but in general AdamJT13 -- whose true identity is unknown -- believes it is primarily based on the average annual value of the contracts in question.
Here is AdamJT13's personal blog, which lays out his methods.
Now, for the moment you've been waiting for: AdamJT13 predicts two NFC North teams will net extra picks when the NFL announces the results later this month.
Chicago Bears (3)
- Players lost that impact formula: Bernard Berrian, John Gilmore, Brendon Ayanbadejo
- Players gained that impact formula: None
- Rounds: One in 4th (or possibly 3rd) and two 7ths
Detroit Lions (2)
Posted by ESPN.com's Tim Graham
New York Jets
- New York Daily News columnist Gary Myers already is looking forward to the juicy Dolphins-Jets matchup in the season finale.
- New York Post columnist Mike Vaccaro gauges the confidence level of the Jets and wonders if their fans feel the same.
- Bob Glauber of Newsday finds tightly wound Jets coach Eric Mangini to be loose despite the pressure.
- New York Times reporter Joshua Robinson tries to put Brett Favre in focus ... for now.
- Dave Hutchinson of the Newark Star-Ledger writes nose tackle Kris Jenkins has "hit a wall and the Jets' run defense has crumbled along with him."
- Palm Beach Post columnist Greg Stoda writes the Dolphins aren't looking past the Chiefs to their season-ending blockbuster showdown with the Jets.
- Jeff Darlington of the Miami Herald examines how the weather might affect the Dolphins in Kansas City.
- South Florida Sun-Sentinel reporter Omar Kelly takes a look at how Chad Pennington is rubbing off on backups Chad Henne and John Beck.
- MiamiDolphins.com writer Andy Kent writes about the offense's scoring woes while their defense refuses to give up touchdowns.
- Buffalo News reporter Mark Gaughan writes quarterback Trent Edwards lends his voice to the locker-room choir that sings Dick Jauron's praises.
- Sal Maiorana of the Rochester Democrat & Chronicle shares offensive coordinator Turk Schonert's thoughts on Edwards' development.
- The D&C's Leo Roth gets left tackle Jason Peters' reaction to being named a Pro Bowl starter despite a tumultuous season.
New England Patriots
- The Boston Globe's Dan Shaughnessy writes another enjoyable notes column with plenty of NFL thoughts.
- Associated Press reporter Howard Ulman writes Pro Bowl kicker Stephen Gostkowski has helped fans forget Adam Vinatieri.
- Ron Borges and Karen Guregian of the Boston Herald report the Patriots on Wednesday took a gander at defensive end Erasmus James and cornerback Brian Kelly.
- Christopher Price of Boston Metro News takes a critical look at the Patriots' 2008 rookie class.
- Providence Journal reporter Shalise Manza Young puts rookie cornerback Jonathan Wilhite in focus.
If the NFL has any mercy, it will give Detroit center Dominic Raiola a pass for making an obscene gesture to fans during the Lions' 20-16 loss Sunday to Minnesota at Ford Field. You can't punish Raiola any more than what he's already gone through, having been heckled for seven years as one of the Lions' longest-tenured players.
Imagine the impact of losing, often spectacularly, over so many years. It's clear Raiola simply couldn't take it any longer and snapped. Who wouldn't?
Here's what Raiola said to Detroit reporters on Monday, according to John Niyo of the Detroit News:
"I don't take one thing back. I'll say the same thing to a fan that I see on the street. I wish I could give my address out to some fans -- I'd do that. But you can't. Nobody plays with fists. Everybody wants to play with metal. So I can't. I'm just so frustrated. I'm tired of being a doormat. For people to just talk to us how they want to talk to us, I'm just not gonna put up with that anymore."
Challenging fans to a fight might be a bit over the top, but it's nice to see that at least one Lions player is fed up with the losing. And if anyone has absorbed the full brunt of the organization's failures, it's Raiola. The NFL should reward him for loyalty rather than punish him for a heat-of-the-moment hand gesture.
Now that we've gotten that off our chest, let's continue our spin around the NFC North:
- Tom Kowalski of Mlive.com notes that Lions cornerback Brian Kelly wasn't only dropped from the starting lineup Sunday against Minnesota. He never got on the field. Coach Rod Marinelli wouldn't explain the demotion.
- David Haugh of the Chicago Tribune hasn't seen Bears tailback Matt Forte hit any kind of a rookie wall.
- Bears defensive tackle Tommie Harris is expected to play Thursday against New Orleans despite sitting out the second half of Sunday's game against Jacksonville, according to Brad Biggs of the Chicago Sun-Times.
- Rob Demovsky of the Green Bay Press-Gazette wonders if Mark Tauscher's left knee injury actually makes it more likely that he will re-sign with the team. There aren't likely to be any big-money offers on the table for a tackle with a torn anterior cruciate ligament, opening up the possibility of the Packers signing him to a short-term, low-risk contract.
- Packers coach Mike McCarthy backed defensive coordinator Bob Sanders on Monday, according to Tom Silverstein of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel. "When the defense is called," McCarthy said, "we need to play the defense."
- Minnesota defensive end Jared Allen said he thought his season was over when Lions rookie Gosder Cherilus upended him with a low block Sunday, according to Judd Zulgad and Chip Scoggins of the Star Tribune.
- Brian Murphy of the St. Paul Pioneer Press looks at the role of federal courts in disputes governed by collective bargaining agreements, such as the one between Minnesota defensive tackles Kevin Williams and Pat Williams and the NFL.
Minnesota linebacker E.J. Henderson's left foot is so swollen that the team's medical staff hasn't been able to fully assess his condition, which includes two dislocated toes. That situation suggested a long-term absence from the lineup, and Saturday the Star Tribune reported Henderson will miss at least a month.
The absence is a huge blow for the Vikings, who consider Henderson a Pro-Bowl caliber linebacker and named him a defensive captain prior to the season. He'll be replaced by second-year player David Herron, but defensive coordinator Leslie Frazier said Friday that strong-side linebacker Ben Leber will take most of the playcalls from the sideline.
Surgery is an option for Henderson once the swelling subsides, according to the Star Tribune's Judd Zulgad. In his previous five seasons, Henderson played in 79 of a possible 82 games.
Elsewhere around the NFC North on this fall Saturday:
- Vikings defensive end Jared Allen, writing in the St. Paul Pioneer Press, says the team "is going to have [its] chances to make plays" Monday night at New Orleans.
- After observing the week of practice in Green Bay, veteran Green Bay Press-Gazette reporter Pete Dougherty writes: "Aaron Rodgers' chances of playing Sunday against the Atlanta Falcons look shaky at best heading into the weekend because of his injured throwing shoulder." Officially, Rodgers is considered a game-time decision but it appears Matt Flynn will be the first rookie to start at quarterback for the Packers since Don Majkowski in 1987.
- The Packers expect Atlanta to force-feed the ball to tailback Michael Turner, especially if linebacker A.J. Hawk (groin) is unable to play. Hawk's status is questionable at best, according to Bob McGinn of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, and he likely will miss the first game of his NFL career.
- There have been some rumors that Detroit will trade receiver Roy Williams prior to the Oct. 14 trading deadline, but Williams said Friday he might not fetch the ransom some people think he would. "I don't even know if I'm worth a first-round pick, to be honest," Williams told John Niyo of the Detroit News. "That's what the fans don't understand. I might be a second- or third-round pick."
- The Lions have moved cornerback Leigh Bodden to the left side, while Brian Kelly and Travis Fisher will hold down the right side. Dave Birkett of the Oakland Press puts the move in perspective.
- The Chicago Sun-Times gauged reaction to the one-game suspension of defensive tackle Tommie Harris. Most players were not alarmed because they know coach Lovie Smith doesn't have a quick disciplinary trigger. "I don't think anyone's above the law here, no matter who you are," said cornerback Charles Tillman. "[Smith] treats everybody the same, which is a good thing."
- Brad Biggs of the Sun-Times predicts Tillman (shoulder) will play Sunday at Detroit. Fellow cornerback Nate Vasher, who like Tillman is also listed as questionable, is hopeful he will play.
|Scott Boehm/Getty Images|
|In his first game with his new team, Minnesota's Jared Allen said Monday's game was "one of the least productive games of my life."|
Posted by ESPN.com's Kevin Seifert
The ball sailed past Minnesota receiver Bernard Berrian a few times. Once, it hit his feet. Another time, he couldn't adjust quickly enough as the ball was in the air.
On the other side of the ball, Vikings defensive end Jared Allen burst through the line a handful of times, tripped on a couple of plays and ultimately finished with what he called "one of the least productive games of my life."
In Atlanta, a defense stocked with newcomers was bumbling all over the field. The Detroit Lions gave up 21 points in the first quarter to the Falcons and never recovered.
Meanwhile, the Chicago Bears' veteran defense carried it to a surprising victory at Indianapolis. And the Green Bay Packers' homegrown roster proved to be the most decisive team on the field Monday night.
In retrospect, it shouldn't be a surprise that the NFC North teams who largely stood pat in the free-agent market were more prepared to play on the opening weekend of the season. High-profile acquisitions impress the media and whip up fan support, but it is a difficult task to bring a group of new veterans together in time to play your best football in September.
Perhaps that's why the Vikings were surprisingly calm and, in many cases, smiling after their 24-19 loss to the Packers on Monday night. Berrian entered the game with almost no game-speed work with quarterback Tarvaris Jackson. They played one quarter of one preseason game together because of injuries. He ended up catching three of the seven passes Jackson threw his way.
Allen's unofficial stat line was filled with zeros, with the exception of one defensed pass. And yet when we ventured into the Vikings' locker room, you couldn't hear a bowling ball drop, let alone a pin. Players weren't exactly jubilant, but they seemed far from discouraged.
"We're going to be fine, man, really," nose tackle Pat Williams said. "We gave up a few big plays, and that's it. I'm not worried at all. If we can get a little more consistency and not give up big plays, we'll be alright. We've just got to work on a few small things."
GREEN BAY, Wis. -- As we await the latest installment in Brett Favre mania, we are ruing one possible bi-product: We might have to scrap plans to attend Thursday night's annual joint practice between the Minnesota Vikings and Kansas City Chiefs in River Falls, Wis.
The event has been scaled down over the years, but it still represents a noticeable uptick in intensity and the first chance to see how players will respond in even a pseudo-game environment. It's usually good for a few tussles here and there, but both the Vikings and Chiefs can relax knowing that a prime instigator -- Vikings defensive end Ray Edwards -- isn't expected to participate because of a back injury.
One defensive end who will be on the field is the Vikings' Jared Allen, whom the Chiefs traded away in one of the biggest moves of the NFL offseason. Allen said this week that he "has bigger fish to fry" than the Chiefs but didn't hide his long-running disdain for Kansas City president Carl Peterson: "I've got nothing to talk to him about," Allen said.
The practice begins at 6:30 p.m. at the University of Wisconsin-River Falls. We'll provide some highlights if we can.
In other division news (and yes, WE KNOW THERE ARE MORE TEAMS IN THE NFC NORTH BESIDES THE PACKERS AND THE TEAMS THAT MIGHT HAVE INTEREST IN BRETT FAVRE.):
- Second-year Chicago Bears cornerback Corey Graham was getting a lot of playing time during our visit to Olivet Nazarene University last week, (which feels like last year). As David Haugh of the Chicago Tribune writes, Graham has been a training camp surprise and is in line to serve as the team's nickel back and No. 3 corner.
- Bears kicker Robbie Gould has adjusted his kickoff mechanics in hopes of driving the ball further, writes Brad Biggs of the Chicago Sun-Times.
- Detroit Lions cornerback Brian Kelly is demonstrating the ideal way to play cornerback in the Tampa-2 defensive scheme this summer, according to Mike O'Hara of the Detroit News.
- Could the Packers trade Favre to a division rival? The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel broaches that topic. (We'll do the same in a post later today).
- Updating its earlier report, the Green Bay Press-Gazette uses the $20 million figure to estimate how much the Packers offered Favre to remain retired.