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Edwards: Oregon to Rose; Stanford to Fiesta

11/21/2011

ESPN BCS guru and all-around smart dude Brad Edwards still projects Oregon playing in the Rose Bowl Game presented by Vizio and Stanford heading to the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl, thereby giving the Pac-12 two BCS bowl teams for a second consecutive season.

Edwards has Oregon playing projected Big Ten champion Wisconsin, and Stanford matched up with projected Big 12 champion Oklahoma State.

Here's what he says about the Rose Bowl:

I'm sticking with my prediction that Wisconsin will beat Penn State this weekend and Michigan State in the Big Ten championship game.

Stanford is only still nominally alive in the Pac-12 title hunt (the Cardinal need Oregon State to beat Oregon in Autzen), but a trio of Pac-12 South teams are still in the mix to win the division. If UCLA beats USC then the Bruins will get the championship game berth, but in the more likely scenario that the Trojans get the win, then both Utah and Arizona State will still be alive. The Utes need a win and losses by both UCLA and ASU, while the Sun Devils will take the division title if the Bruins lose but Utah wins, because of a detailed tiebreaker scenario.

And the Fiesta Bowl:

The only way Kansas State makes it to the Fiesta is if Oklahoma State lands in the BCS title game. Otherwise, it'll come down to the Cowboys and the Sooners.

Stanford is my current pick to land in the at-large spot here, but Michigan could also be an attractive option (and Houston could theoretically be in the mix). One other scenario to consider if Oklahoma lands here by beating Oklahoma State in Stillwater in two weeks is that the Fiesta may want to pick Boise State as an at-large team to create a rematch of the Sooners and Broncos' epic showdown from five years ago. If OU lands in the Fiesta, the bowl will need to do something to interest Sooners fans who were hoping instead for a BCS title game appearance, and pitting them against Boise just might do it.