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Saturday, December 29, 2012
Kraft Fight Hunger, Alamo Bowl predictions

By Ted Miller

Kevin and Ted both were wrong -- again, and very much so this time -- about the Bridgepoint Education Holiday Bowl after picking UCLA to beat Baylor, so they both fell to 67-27 on the season.

There are two games on Saturday. Arizona State plays Navy in the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl (4 p.m. ET, ESPN2) and Oregon State faces Texas in the Valero Alamo Bowl (6:45 p.m. ET, ESPN)

Kraft Fight Hunger

Kevin Gemmell: I’ve often said that I love watching Navy play. But that doesn’t mean I think it will win. Arizona State does as good a job as any team in the country at getting sacks and creating pressure in the backfield -- and that’s how you beat a triple-option team. ASU should be able to disrupt what Navy wants to do. And on offense, ASU uses its stable of backs as creatively and efficiently as any team in the conference. ASU 48, Navy 28.

Ted Miller: The Sun Devils are bigger and faster than Navy. Most important: This team has been focused and disciplined much of the season under first-year coach Todd Graham. That should be enough to win going away. Arizona State 38, Navy 20.

Valero Alamo Bowl

Kevin Gemmell: The Beavers have a nice mismatch with wide receivers Markus Wheaton and Brandin Cooks -- and I’d expect Cody Vaz to exploit said mismatch early and often. But the real key will be Oregon State’s ability to get penetration with Scott Crichton and Co. That leads to sacks, tackles for a loss and sloppy throws which in turn creates turnovers. Oregon State is the more well-rounded, complete team. Oregon State 31, Texas 24.

Ted Miller: A week ago, I felt a solid degree of confidence that Oregon State would win this game. Further, some off-field issues make Texas look like a mess. Baylor's stomping of UCLA, however, gives me pause. Texas beat Baylor. In terms of perception, the Pac-12 needs this win. So I'm going to do everyone a favor. Texas 24, Oregon State 17.