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Wednesday, July 3, 2013
Does UCLA's home edge top Oregon's?

By Ted Miller

We must defend this house!

The first thing a good team does is create a home-field advantage. No team wants a visitor to feel comfortable. And fans take pride in creating atmosopheres that intimidate or at least deafen.

 Jim Mora
UCLA and coach Jim Mora have been hard to beat at home.
So which Pac-12 team is decidedly better at home than on the road?

Here's our list based on the past three years comparing overall record to home-field record, the final number being the winning percentage difference.
1. UCLA: 19-21 overall (.475); 13-6 home (.684); Difference: (.209)

2. Washington: 21-18 (.539); 14-5 (.737): Difference: (.198)

3. Oregon State: 17-20 (.460); 12-7 (.632); Difference: (.172)

4. Arizona State: 20-18 (.526); 13-6 (.684); Difference: (.158)

5. California: 15-22 (.405); *11-9 (.550); Difference: (.145)

6. Washington State: 9-27 (.250); 6-10 (.375): Difference: (.125)

7. Arizona: 19-19 (.500); 13-8 (.591); Difference: (.091)

8. Stanford: 35-5 (.875); 19-1 (.950); Difference: (.075)

9. Utah: 23-15 (.605); 12-6 (.667); Difference: (.062)

10. Colorado: 9-28 (.243); 5-12 (.294); Difference: (.051)

11. USC: 25-13 (.658); 13-6 (.684); Difference: (.026)

12. Oregon: 36-4 (.900); 19-2 (.905); Difference (.005)

*Includes one year playing home games in San Francisco, away from Memorial Stadium. This counts AT&T Park and Candlestick Park as home games in 2011.

First, every Pac-12 team is better at home than on the road. Some decidedly so.

Second, obviously there are holes in this methodology.

For one, Colorado's and Utah's records include a year not playing in the Pac-12. Second, a lot of this depends on which teams you play at home. And, well, who you are -- good teams make their own home-field advantage by being good and vice versa. Third, there's a variance for how many home, road and neutral-site games each team played. Fourth, when you win just about every game -- or lose just about every one -- the margins might not be that informative.

Still, there are some interesting tidbits here:
Feel free to discuss.