Pac-12: Derke Robinson

Overrated-Underrated in 2006

February, 2, 2009
2/02/09
7:24
PM ET

Posted by ESPN.com's Ted Miller

Wanted to go back and look at the 2006 recruiting classes and see which players were overrated and which were underrated.

Why 2006?

Two reasons: 1. It allows enough time for the player to break through while still being on the roster heading into 2009; 2. It's as far back as the ESPNU Scouts Inc., ratings go back.

Also, sometimes "overrated" doesn't translate to "actually pretty mediocre to bad." It can mean that the touted player didn't qualify academically or transferred.

This is about recruiting, so the "overrated" is about how a player bolstered recruiting rankings but then didn't contribute to the team.

And, of course, overrated today doesn't mean overrated tomorrow.

This is in the order of finish in the 2006 conference recruiting rankings (note how things have changed for Stanford this season).

The number in parentheses is the player's rating on a scale of 100 to 40.

1. USC
Over
S Antwine Perez (91):
He was rated the nation's No. 3 safety right behind Taylor Mays. Transfered to Maryland, where he started two games and had 24 tackles after sitting out a year.

Under
FB Stanley Havili (71):
One of Pete Carroll's favorite players, he's been a key contributor on offense.

2. UCLA
Over
C Andy Keane (79):
Rated the nation's No. 1 center, he's bounced between offensive and defensive lines and hasn't contributed.

Under
OG Darius Savage (69):
Sure, he's still figuring some things out, but he started seven games last year and he's got good upside.

3. California
Over
RB James Montgomery (77):
He likely would have been No. 2 behind Jahvid Best last year but he opted to transfer to Washington State, where he likely will start this fall.

Under
DL Tyson Alualu & LB Mike Mohamed (both 40):
Neither was a hot recruit but both started last year and received All-Pac-10 recognition -- Alualu as second-team.

4. Arizona
Over
RB Derke Robinson (78):
Had academic issues, left the program.

Under
C Colin Baxter (40):
He's made 23 starts at guard and center.

5. Washington
Over
S/RB Leilyon Myers (77)
: Failed to qualify academically, headed to junior college.

Under
WR D'Andre Goodwin (40):
Huskies leading receiver in 2008, catching 60 passes for 692 yards.

6. Arizona State
Over
DE Jermaine Williams (80):
Nation's No. 14 DE failed to qualify academically.

Under
WR Kyle Williams: (70):
Tied for team lead with four touchdown receptions. His 17 yards per punt return led the conference.

7. Oregon State
Over
TE Joe Halahuni (77):
No. 3 on depth chart in 2008 and caught only one pass -- though it went for a touchdown.

Under
TE Howard Croom (40):
Starting tight end, he caught six passes for 37 yards.

8. Oregon
Over
QB Cody Kempt (77):
Completed 6 of 26 passes with two interceptions before transferring to Montana State.

OL C.E. Kaiser (40): Started 10 games last year and will be one of the leaders on the line in 2009.

9. Washington State
Over
WR Anthony Houston (78):
Didn't catch a pass last year after being suspended from the team.

Under
LB Andy Mattingly (40):
Didn't have a great 2008 season for a variety of reasons but he was the Cougars second-leading tackler in 2007, leading the team in tackles for a loss and sacks.

10. Stanford
Over
QB Alex Loukas (74):
Saw only spot playing time last year -- used mostly as a runner -- and he appears to be the odd man out in the quarterback competition between returning starter Tavita Pritchard and touted redshirt freshman Andrew Luck.

Under
S Austin Yancy (40):
A hamstring injury killed his 2008 season, but he started 12 games in 2007.

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