Pac-12: Oregon Ducks

We analyzed and graded bye weeks for the South Division just two hours ago!

So here we go with the North Division.

California: Sept. 21 (before visit to Oregon) and Nov. 30 (last weekend of season)

Skinny: We previously wrote that the "worst weekend for a bye is the opening weekend" in regard to Arizona State's draw. The second worst is the season's final weekend, unless your team is playing in the Pac-12 title game. We don't think that will happen this fall for Cal, so the second bye is pretty worthless. The first is good in terms of timing -- fourth week, before the Pac-12 schedule starts, after a tough game with Ohio State. But the Bears are going to be a big longshot at Oregon, and the Ducks are off the same week, neutralizing any Cal advantage. It would be better for the bye to precede a game that feels more winnable. Further, after that bye, the Bears play nine weeks in a row.

Grade? D+. Just one more challenge for what might be the nation's toughest schedule.

Oregon: Sept. 21 (before visit from California) and Nov. 2 (before visit to Stanford)

Skinny: This is a solid set-up in terms of breaking up the season into manageable bits (three games, five games, four games). It's also nice to have an off week before beginning Pac-12 play. And, obviously, it would seem to benefit the Ducks to have a bye before facing Stanford. But that advantage is written off by the Cardinal also having the same off weekend before the critical Thursday night clash.

Grade? B. The best part of the bye arrangement is the placement of the off-weeks. This would be an "A" if Stanford didn't share the same second bye week before the meeting on the Farm.

Oregon State: Oct. 5 (before visit to Washington State) and Nov. 9 (before visit to Arizona State)

Skinny: This is a pretty fantastic setup. The Beavers play five games (bye), four games (bye) and then three games. That's close to ideal, mostly because there are no brutal runs of, say, nine games in a row. A bye before the Cougars isn't as good as a bye before Stanford, USC or Oregon, but it comes after an initial stretch that suggests a 5-0 start, which likely would come with a high national ranking. Not a bad time to take a breath. Then, after tough consecutive home games against Stanford and USC, the Beavers get a weekend to rest before a visit to the Sun Devils sets up a tough troika down the home stretch (ASU, Washington at Oregon).

Grade: A-. The schedule is backloaded, but the bye-week arrangements work well for the season's big picture.

Stanford: August 31 (opening weekend before visit from San Jose State) and Nov. 2 (before Oregon).

Skinny: As previously noted, the worst weekend for a bye is the opening weekend. Then the Cardinal plays eight games in a row. And, as previously noted, the bye before the potentially epic Oregon matchup is zeroed-out by the Ducks also being off. In other words, Stanford's bye arrangement provides no advantage. The only positive is getting a week to heal before the tough finish: Oregon, at USC, Cal and Notre Dame.

Grade? C-. It could be worse, but Stanford is done no favors by the arrangement of off weeks.

Washington: Sept. 7 (before visit to Illinois) and Nov. 2 (before visit from Colorado)

Skinny: If the first weekend is the worst for a bye, the second shouldn't be much better. On the other hand, the matchup with Boise State in a remodeled Husky Stadium should be loaded with pre-game hype, so a break after that emotional showdown -- win or lose -- might be a good thing. The second off weekend comes after seven consecutive games, so a break will feel good. But there's not much advantage in having the next foe be Colorado.

Grade? C. Not terrible, just not ideal.

Washington State: Oct 26 (before a visit from Arizona State) and Nov. 9 (before a visit to Arizona)

Skinny: This one is pretty strange. The Cougars play eight games before getting a weekend off. Then they get another bye a week later. They are the last team in the Pac-12 to get a bye. Arizona is the only other team to have both byes come in a three-week span, with the Wildcats going early season and the Cougs going late. Further, any advantage gained from extra prep for Arizona State is offset by the Sun Devils also having an Oct. 26 bye. The off week before the Wildcats, however, might set up nicely for an upset special.

Grade? D+. Washington State, in Year 2 under Mike Leach, could use some scheduling help. The off weeks don't offer much.
Let's take for granted that bye weeks are good things for college football teams.

Rest is good, for one. It allows players with minor injuries to heal. And, one would think, extra prep time helps. It provides the potential for added wrinkles to the game plan as well as more time to fine tune.

Yet not all off weekends are created equal.

Here's an evaluation of the Pac-12's 2013 bye weeks, starting with the South Division.

Arizona: Sept. 21 (before visit to Washington) and Oct. 5 (before visit to USC)

Skinny: It's good to have off weeks before tough road games, particularly winnable games that could get the Wildcats off to a 5-0 start. The first bye comes after a notably weak nonconference slate (Northern Arizona, UNLV, UT San Antonio), so the Wildcats could hold a lot back in advance of the visit to Washington. Further, they could address any issues revealed during what amounts to a preseason. On the downside, it's nice to spread byes throughout the season. These off dates come during a three-week stretch early in the season, preceding eight consecutive games.

Grade? B. The good news is the off weeks bolster the chances for a strong start. The bad news is no relief over the late grind of the season.

Arizona State: Aug. 31 (opening weekend before Sacramento State) and Oct. 26 (before visit to Washington State)

Skinny: The worst weekend for a bye is the opening weekend. All it does is extend preseason practices a week, which is only a negative. The second bye is pretty good. It comes after a tough seven-week run and gives the Sun Devils a breather before the five-game home stretch. While it's nice to have some extra time in advance of a November trip to potentially chilly Pullman, Arizona State might have preferred the off week coming in advance of a critical visit to UCLA.

Grade? C-. A late October off weekend is nice, but sitting out the opening week is of no value.

Colorado: Sept. 21 (before visit to Oregon State) and Oct. 19 (before visit from Arizona)

Skinny: The first off week comes after the nonconference schedule, at which point the Buffaloes will be hoping for at least a 2-1 start heading into the Pac-12 slate -- a brutal three-game stretch of a visit to Oregon State, Oregon and a trip to Arizona State. This feels like good timing, but the odds seem long that an extra week of practice will produce a performance that can win in Corvallis. The second bye comes after that aforementioned stretch and precedes six consecutive weekends of play. An extra week before a visit from Arizona passes the smell test as an upset opportunity.

Grade: A-. The perfect scenario would be for the Buffs to get byes before playing games against second-tier conference teams, whom they have the best chance to defeat. That extra time and rest could help produce an upset. They get only one of those here, but this is about as good a bye setup as a coach should hope for.

UCLA: Sept. 7 (before visit to Nebraska) and Sept. 28 (before visit to Utah)

Skinny: An early-season bye isn't typically good, but it's not bad when it's before a key trip to Nebraska that could firmly establish the Bruins as a top-25 team. A bye before playing at South Division foe Utah isn't terrible either. But the Bruins have two byes in the season's first five weeks and then play nine in a row. That's not ideal, particularly if injuries start to pile up.

Grade? C+. The slots provide useful extra prep time, but playing nine consecutive weekends isn't a good thing.

USC: Oct. 5 (before a visit from Arizona)

Skinny: USC is playing Hawaii this fall, which allowed the Trojans to schedule 13 games, so it only gets one off week. That bye falls on Week 6 before a home game with division foe Arizona. It's not good to have just one week off, but the upside is the rest comes close to midseason and it comes before what might be a key divisional game.

Grade? C. It's a decent weekend for a bye but 13 games in 14 weekends is tough.

Utah: Sept. 28 (before visit from UCLA) and Nov. 2 (before visit from Arizona State)

Skinny: Utah, notably, didn't play Oregon or Stanford during its first two years in the Pac-12. It won't get that good fortune this fall, but it does have a great scheduling setup here. For one, these byes precede games with the two South Division front-runners. If the Utes hope to get into the South mix, they need at least one win in this two games. So extra rest and prep time should help. Second, these off weeks fall after tough road trips. The Holy War against BYU, set for Sept. 21, is always an emotional game, but this meeting comes before a controversial two-year hiatus, making it even more taxing. The Utes will be at USC on Oct. 26. Win or lose that game, it might be beneficial to shake off a trip to the Coliseum before focusing on the Sun Devils.

Grade? A. This is an ideal setup for off weeks. Now can the Utes take advantage?
The Rimington Trophy committee has released its 44-man 2013 spring watch list, and five Pac-12 centers made the cut.


The SEC leads the way with nine players, while the Mountain West Conference also has five on the list.

You can review the entire list here.

And here are the Pac-12 players on the list.
Obviously, it will be an interesting competition for first-team All-Pac-12 this fall, with Grasu and Seumalo -- a Duck and a Beaver -- seeming like the two front-runners.
Put your eyes on Bobby Jones. Look at his practice swing, almost like he's searchin' for something. Then he finds it. Watch how he settle himself right into the middle of it, feel that focus. He got a lot of shots he could choose from. Duffs and tops and skulls, there's only one shot that's in perfect harmony with the field. One shot that's his, authentic shot, and that shot is gonna choose him.
All Pac-12 fans and observers should be focused on two items when it comes to the new four-team playoff that will begin in 2014: 1. The makeup of the selection committee; 2. The announced importance that selection committee will put on strength of schedule.

Why is this important for the Pac-12? Because it plays a tougher schedule than other conferences.

No other conference plays a nine-game conference schedule and plays as challenging a nonconference schedule, one that includes for just about every team at least one or two opponents with a legitimate pulse.

Jon Wilner of the San Jose Mercury News knows this. So he decided to evaluate the upcoming season's slate of nonconference games by conference.

Here's his methodology:
I focused on the number of games played between five conferences: the Pac-12, SEC, Big Ten, Big 12 and ACC … the five leagues that will have automatic slots in the new playoff system.

In addition, I included in the totals below the games played by those league against Notre Dame, Boise State and Louisville.

What he found was the Pac-12 plays 13 games in 2013 against the other power conferences and the "three exceptions." The 14-team SEC plays 15, the Big Ten 12 and the 10-team Big 12 six.

Yes, all Big 12 fans should immediately hang their heads in shame.

Of course, the Big 12 also plays nine conferences games, as does the Pac-12, and this informs the second part of Wilner's analysis: The percentage of quality foes the top conferences play.

The Pac-12 and Big 12 play nine conference games plus three nonconference games. The Big Ten and SEC go with the eight and four model, which increases the availability of gimme wins.

Here's where the Pac-12 separates itself this fall, per Wilner:
Of the Pac-122s 37 non-conference games (3 x 12 + USC’s exempt game at Hawaii), 35.1% qualify as A-listers.

Of the SEC’s 56 non-conference games, 26.7% are A-listers. (I’m not even going to address the number of FCS-level opponents. That’s for another discussion.)

Of the Big Ten’s 48 non-conference games, 25% are A-listers.

Of the Big 122s 30 non-conference games -- it plays a true round-robin league schedule — a whopping 20% are A-listers.

Don't think for a moment this hasn't played a role in finagling the BCS system. The way the Pac-12 schedules has hurt it in the BCS system. It has been punished for ambition, though, of course, a large part of this is Pac-12 athletic directors not believing they can fill their stadiums for games against FCS foes or directional schools.

With the advent of the new playoff, the powers that be putting this thing together need to systematize scheduling as best they can. With 124 teams, it will never be perfect. But it's not too much to ask that every conference play the same number of conference games and at least attempt to play a solid nonconference schedule.

100-days checklist: Pac-12

May, 21, 2013
May 21
12:00
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Here are five things the Pac-12, its players and its teams need to focus on with 100 days until the 2013 season begins.

1. Oregon needs to put the NCAA in its rearview mirror: Oregon and former coach Chip Kelly appeared before the NCAA's committee on infractions (COI) on April 20 (it was incorrectly reported that the meeting happened a day earlier). That means the odds are good the Ducks will know their fate before the beginning of the season. Moreover, the odds are favorable that the Ducks won't lose their 2013 postseason. That's nice for the program, considering Oregon is again a top national title contender, and the pressure is on new coach Mark Helfrich to make sure it stays that way. Getting the Willie Lyles matter resolved will make for one fewer distraction for the Ducks to claim they haven't even noticed.

2. New QBs are sometimes crowned in the offseason: Arizona, California, Colorado, Oregon State and USC still have wide-open QB competitions. While coaches can't watch offseason workouts, players are gathering on a near-daily basis for conditioning and 7-on-7 work. That means aspirants for starting jobs are working with their teammates, the guys they need to win over to the notion of their stepping into cockpit of the offense. How a QB carries himself matters. How he leads these "voluntary" sessions matters. And a QB sure as heck can substantially improve between May and August. Just look at Arizona State's Taylor Kelly, who went from worst to first in the Sun Devils' 2012 QB race after spring practices.

3. Larry Scott & Co. need to send an SOS: Off-field issues are big-time this offseason. The college football powers are setting up a new four-team playoff to begin in 2014, and the Pac-12's interests are simple: Strength of schedule. The selection committee must create an unforgiving system that demands tough scheduling or functionally disqualifies teams that willfully play weak schedules. First off, there needs to be an agreement on conference scheduling. Every conference participating in the new playoff needs to play the same number of conference games, either eight or nine. If that proves unworkable, which it shouldn't, then the conferences that choose to play eight conference games should be required to play two nonconference games against AQ conference foes. This would fall under the title of "Standing up to the SEC."

4. Get bigger, stronger, faster, and do so without getting hurt: Injuries are the biggest drag in college football. Summer injuries are even worse because they: (1) Happen without full-go contact; (2) Are more likely to take a big or entire bite out of the season, depending on how late in the offseason they occur. Still, players need to work. The offseason can be physically transformative, particularly for younger players. A guy can put on 10 to 15 pounds. Or lose them. Quickness can be boosted and a power-clean total can rise. The best-conditioned team may not always win, but at least it knows it did all it could when the final whistle blows. So: Lots of sweat but no knee injuries.

5. Stay out of trouble: All work and no play makes Pac-12 players dull boys. These guys need to have fun. They deserve it. And the Pac-12 blog is no prude. But, golly, fellas, stay on the right side of the law. If you drink, you cannot drive. Period. No matter how annoying that guy is being at the bar/beach/party, you cannot punch him. Be wary of social entanglements that seem just a bit too eager. If something is not yours, don't take it. While it's entertaining to watch the Hulk smash things, it's not the same with you. Yes, have fun. Just don't be stupid and hurt yourself and your team with your poor decision-making.
If we all go out to dinner with Pac-12 commissioner Larry Scott this weekend, he's buying.

The Wall Street Journal reported Monday that Scott is the highest paid college conference commissioner, earning more than $3 million last year.

The WSJ reported:
Scott took home a $1,376,000 bonus in addition to a base salary of $1,575,000 and other compensation of $71,462. His total compensation surpassed that of Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany, who made $2.8 million in salary, bonuses and benefits that year. It also is nearly double the $1.6 million listed for commissioner Mike Slive of the Southeastern Conference, which has won the past seven major-college football national titles and recently announced it will launch a network with ESPN in 2014.

Why is Scott so well paid? Well, a lot of that is his "quadrupling [the Pac-12's] annual television-rights revenue." From the report:
In the span of 2011-12, Scott added the Universities of Colorado and Utah as members after initially exploring the possibility of a 16-team conference. He brokered a broadcast-rights deal with ESPN and Fox worth $3 billion over 12 years, elevating the Pac-12 from a distant fifth place nationally with $58 million in primary media-rights revenue to the leader, with the new deal worth an average of $250 million annually. He led the launch of the Pac-12 Networks, the only such venture to be wholly owned by a conference.

The Pac-12 generated only $176 million in revenue in 2011-12, well behind the Big Ten at $315 million and the SEC at $273 million, but those numbers were based on the old TV deals. This past year, the Pac-12 expects to pocket more than $300 million, though financial details won't be available until next year.

The Pac-12 Network is also expected to turn a small profit in its first year of operation.

It doesn't seem like too many Pac-12 administrators are unhappy with Scott (easy there, Arizona basketball fans). From the article:
"Larry is the go-to guy that pulled all this together," said Ed Ray, the Oregon State University president and head of the committee that approved Scott's compensation package. "I would say he had a hell of a year."

Now if Scott could just get DirectTV to join his fan club.

 
I'm sure many of you have seen my story (and video!) "Wrongs of Spring," which touches on a subject that is close to all of your hearts: The Pac-12 blog being wrong, wrong, wrong!

WRONG!

Now, most of the wrong things that I write in the blog can be traced to some sort of subversive mind control that Kevin Gemmell practices in his underground lab that he thinks I don't know about. The wrong things Kevin writes can be traced to his anti-USC bias. Or is that anti-UCLA bias? Did you know he breaks out in hives every time he writes nice things about Stanford? Really.

Anyway, our guess is you guys would enjoy reliving some of our 2012 preseason wrongness. And occasional rightness.

You can start with our preseason All-Pac-12 team. And here's our postseason take.

Just three players are the same on offense: Oregon RB Kenjon Barner, USC C Khaled Holmes and Stanford OT David Yankey. Defense is much better, with five players the same and there being nothing embarrassing about the misses.

Then, of course, there is the preseason top-25 players. And the postseason version. We know Washington fans would like another opportunity to voice their objections.

Here our our 2012 preseason power rankings. Yes, there's good old USC, gleaming at the top:
1.USC: The Trojans begin the season ranked No. 1 here and in the AP poll. If the national title game were held Saturday, or you could guarantee the Trojans' starting 24 today would be the same at season's end, just about everyone would hand USC the title. But a season is long. Things happen. The Trojans' defense is already down two players, DE Devon Kennard and CB Isiah Wiley. A couple more of those, and the perception of this team could change.

At least that's not completely over the top.

And the worst projection was Arizona State at No. 11:
11. Arizona State: Taylor Kelly was the surprise winner of the QB competition, and new coach Todd Graham has pressed many of the right buttons this offseason. But the Pac-12 blog always sees it as a bad sign when an angry fan base attempts to counter our skepticism by touting players who have played [none] or very little college football.

Turns out those rookies did OK, most notably Kelly and LB Carl Bradford, and we really didn't see the dominating 2012 version of DT Will Sutton coming.

Then there are the "Fearless Predictions."

Four were wrong: USC and Oregon will play twice; A Pac-12 player will be a Heisman Trophy finalist; No Pac-12 coach will get fired after the season; Four Pac-12 teams will be ranked in the final AP poll.

Four were correct (or mostly so): California, UCLA or Washington will win eight -- or nine -- games: But only one of the three. The other two will win fewer than eight games; The Pac-12 will produce two BCS bowl teams and still fill its contracted bowls; At least three Pac-12 defenses will rank in the nation's top 25 in total defense (this actually proved true for scoring defense, but we're giving ourselves a break); and, The Pac-12 blog will, at some point, be wrong about something.

One was pretty darn close: The Pac-12 will go 28-8 in nonconference games (it went 28-15; we didn't include bowl games in the original calculation).

One is pending -- The NCAA will not hammer Oregon -- and the Pac-12 blog continues to believe that to be true.

What about the bowl projections?
BCS National Championship Game, Jan. 7: USC vs. BCS 1 or 2
Rose Bowl Game, Jan. 1: Oregon vs. Big Ten
Valero Alamo, Dec. 29: Stanford vs. Big 12
Bridgepoint Education Holiday, Dec. 27: Utah vs. Big 12
Hyundai Sun, Dec. 31: Washington vs. ACC
MAACO Bowl Las Vegas, Dec. 22: California vs. MWC
Kraft Fight Hunger, Dec. 29: UCLA vs. Navy
Gildan New Mexico, Dec. 15: Washington State vs. MWC

We batted .000 there, with three of those teams -- Utah, California and Washington State -- not ending up bowl eligible.

Finally, there were our "Best case-worst case" flights of fancy. There is a strong possibility this series will be retired. It feels as if it might have jumped the proverbial shark.
I love power. But it is as an artist that I love it. I love it as a musician loves his violin, to draw out its sounds and chords and harmonies.
Wrapping up his position-by-position look at the top prospects for the 2014 NFL draft, ESPN's Mel Kiper Jr. broke down the top offensive linemen and defensive tackles.

While none of the Pac-12's offensive linemen rank in the top five overall Insider, when Kiper breaks them down by position, some of the conference's usual suspects appear.

Tackles
Guards
Centers

Yankey, Su'a-Filo and Grasu were first-team All-Pac-12 picks last season and Fleming was honorable mention.

Moving over to the defensive tackles Insider, a pair of Pac-12 players are on the board. Cal's Deandre Coleman cracks Kiper's top five, coming in at No. 5. Will Sutton is in the "next up" category of five more players to watch.
Kiper on Coleman: Quick off the ball for a 6-5, 320-pound player, Coleman can really chop his feet, and he has a little shake in him to get a blocker off balance to shove aside. He's best-suited to be either a 3-4 defensive end or a penetrating 3-tech defensive tackle in a 4-3.

Last season he had 8.0 tackles for loss and 3.0 sacks. A fellow Pac-12 D-tackle (see below) was more productive, but I like Coleman's versatility.

Kiper on Sutton: A nightmare to block, Sutton piled up 13.0 sacks and 23 1/2 tackles for loss. He could have factored into first-round talk in the 2013 draft.

You can see our posts on the other position groups here.
Here's the quick recap of all Pac-12 players in the rankings. The league has a total of 27 players listed with 14 on offense and 13 on defense. Four players are ranked No. 1 overall within their position group. Stanford leads the way with seven, followed by Oregon and USC with five each, then UCLA with three, Washington and ASU with two and Arizona, Oregon State and Cal with one each.

Quarterback
Running back
Wide receiver
Tight end
Defensive end
Safety
Cornerback
Outside linebacker
Inside linebacker

Mailbag: Colorado blues

May, 17, 2013
May 17
6:00
PM ET
Another healthy mailbag. Settle in.

As always, follow the Pac-12 blog on Twitter.

To the notes!

Ex-Buff fan in Pac-12 dungeon writes: I am so sick of Colorado being the loser on the block. We were two points away from having ZERO wins last year. I was pumped about our new coach until I hear that he can't even hang on to the few good players we have. Not to mention we have? you guessed it ZERO quality recruits for 2014. Give it to me straight doc: how bad will this year be in terms of win total? Because last year, besides Southern Miss, we were the absolute laughing stock of college football. A retirement home football team could have beaten us.

Kevin Gemmell: Whoa, whoa, whoa. Buck up little camper. Step away from the ledge, inhale deeply, take a cleansing breath and settle down.

I tend to lean more on the glass-half-full side of life. How about this ... you were only 14 points away from having four wins last year -- three more games were decided by a touchdown or less. If you want to make the argument for the lone win, then you also have to concede that they were competitive in those other games.

As for recruiting, it's May. Relax. Yes, we post the recruiting roundup every few weeks. But that's simply to inform. Mike MacIntyre knows how to recruit -- and more importantly he knows how to recruit California. That's going to pay huge dividends in the future.

Players who have left -- meh. Do you need them? If they aren't on board with what Mac's trying to do, so be it. See ya. Make room for someone who is. Of those who left, how many were all-conference?

Win total this year, well, that's going to take a leap of faith on the part of the fans. Remember, San Jose State lost more games in MacIntyre's first year than the year before. But in Year 2 there was progress and by Year 3 they were a Top 25 team. So, and I know Colorado fans are tired of hearing this, you're going to have to be patient and let him do what he does. You probably won't see the results in the win/loss column this year -- although I do think Colorado can do better than 1-11. My best advice is don't lose faith. I think you guys have a good thing going with MacIntyre. It's just going to take time.


BHollandz next to Burrito Stadium writes: I used to be a Coach Riley supporter until I witnessed the horrific season of 2011 and the blunders of the 2012 season. Alamo Bowl game anyone????People say that Oregon State has the best coach it will ever get and that us fans should just be satisfied with that. Well, I'm not satisfied. I want a Rose Bowl and eventually a shot a Championship. Do you think it's possible for OSU to attract a high profile coach to succeed Coach Riley and get the Beavers to the next level? This is big time Pac-12 football after all.

Kevin Gemmell: This is a lot darker and more cynical from you than I expected. The grass always seems greener, but be aware Riley isn't going anywhere for a while. Which high-profile coach would you like?

Maybe a guy who has been a coach of the year? Perhaps someone with more than 80 career wins? Experience at the professional ranks would probably be good also. It's got to be someone who sells tickets and knows how to pack Reser Stadium and you'll want a veteran guy with almost 40 years of coaching experience.

You see where I'm going with this ... you've got him! Yes, he had two bad seasons. But in his 10 years since coming back, he's won at least eight games six times, led OSU to eight bowl games and consistently had the Beavers ranked in the Top 25. Last year was the hottest start in the history of the school. And you're already talking replacements?

Maybe I'm biased since I've known him since the Chargers days, but I know he shares the same goals as you. I do think that mistakes were made in the Alamo Bowl -- it had more to do with not adjusting offensively -- not getting more help to account for Alex Okafor -- but I'm not sold that a coach should be judged by one game. When you look at his body of work, it's outstanding. I don't know if he's the best coach you'll ever get. But he has more career wins at Oregon State than any other coach before him (81). That should be celebrated.


Ryan in New York writes: I have to give you chaps credit. You know how to make a point without being mean or hurtful. Good point about for every Ryan, there's a UCLA guy screaming just the opposite. But remember there's one difference. Us Trojans love SC above all. UCLA fans hate SC more than they love themselves.......Also, excellent point on Devon Kennard too. He must stay healthy and play well. Pass the good word to your partner in crime -- Theodore. Peace.

Kevin Gemmell: I won't get into which fan base loves itself or hates the other more. That's for the individual to decide through deep and meditative soul searching. I'm a big Kennard fan and think USC is going to experience a nice defensive boost by moving to the 3-4. Some guys are just better equipped for different schemes.

Now, I know I'm going to tick you off with this next point, but it's apt. UCLA's Datone Jones got into a 3-4 and absolutely exploded -- showing the potential that many believed he had but we'd rarely seen with him in the even front. Coming full circle, I see the same type of production from Kennard and Breslin, Leonard Williams and George Uko and even Dion Bailey moving back to safety. This is a good move for the Trojans. So says the clown.


Nameless in Escondido, Calif., writes: When will Stanford let Ricky Seale play, had another great spring. One of the best backs from San Diego no way he cannot play at Stanford.

Kevin Gemmell: Because Stanford closes its practices and is usually tight-lipped when it comes to position battles, all I can say is I don't know. Obviously there is something going on behind the scenes that is holding Seale back -- either he's not performing in practice or others are simply performing better.

And I'm a big Seale fan, having covered him since he was as sophomore in high school. I spent many a Friday night in Wilson Stadium watching him tear up defenses.

But I'm not in the position group meetings so I don't know what's being discussed. It's a deep group and the return of Tyler Gaffney (another San Diego great) makes it even deeper. From a coach's perspective, though, this is the proverbial great problem to have.


Darin in Monterey, Calif., writes: Good video with Mike Riley, My question is now that the Beavers have a pretty solid O-line, do you think that Storm will top 1,000 yards this year on the ground? It seems Oregon State has been lacking on thousand yard rushers like Simonton, Jackson, and jacquizz. I do like what i saw last year in Woods and Ward.

Kevin Gemmell: Yes, assuming he stays healthy, I have no problem going out on a very easy limb to go out on and say Woods is going to be a 1,000-yard rusher in 2013.

When you consider the receivers they had last year -- and the quietly efficient season of Connor Hamlett -- it made sense that the passing game was the stronger element of the offense. But with Markus Wheaton gone and question marks on exactly who is going to step up at the other receiver spot opposite Brandin Cooks, I think we're going to see an even bigger commitment to the run game -- which will take some of the pressure off the receiving corps. As noted in the video, the running game improved from 2011 to 2012. I think we're going to see it take an even bigger step in 2013 behind Woods.


Andy in Phoenix writes: Right now we only play one game back east the Alamo Bowl and not to many games against other Power 5 conferences except Big 12. Any word on what the bowl line up will look like in 2014?

Kevin Gemmell: I don't. The Pac-12 is heading into the final year of a four-year agreement with its current bowl lineup. Whenever I ask about it, I get the company line that they are very pleased with their bowl partners and look forward to continuing to work with them.

I agree: I'd love to see a Pac-12/SEC bowl game. But at the same time, let's remember that the Pac-12 hasn't exactly dominated the postseason of late -- so there isn't a lot of room for chest-thumping. Outside of the 2-0 mark in BCS bowl games last year, the Pac-12 went 0-3 against other BCS conferences and 2-1 against non-BCS conferences.

Had they gone 8-0, 7-1 or even 6-2, then I'd say it's time to bump up the competition level and get some more competitive games. But 4-4 isn't blowing anyone's socks off. And the Pac-12 is 40-41 in bowl games since 1999. I think it'd be more beneficial to dominate the current bowl lineup before worrying about bigger, badder competition.


Uh oh Chongo in Danger Island writes: Colorado and Utah are still having a bit of a rough go in the new conference. Two questions - which of those two gets to the Pac-12 title game first, and what do those programs need to do to get there?

Kevin Gemmell: Yikes, the crystal ball just melted down. So much of which team gets to the title game first depends a lot on what happens with other teams in the division. And it doesn't look like Jim Mora, Rich Rodriguez or Todd Graham are going anywhere quickly. And regardless of what happens with Lane Kiffin at the end of this year, USC is still going to be USC.

Utah is in a stronger position right now simply because it has continuity among the coaching staff. The new facilities will be open this summer and I think the addition of Dennis Erickson to the staff is going to pay dividends in years to come. That's probably not a hire the Utes could have made had they still been in the Mountain West -- financially or from a high-profile perspective.

Colorado, well, see the above answer. They are a long ways off from being in the mix for the league title game.

They keys for both of these teams -- and really every other team in the conference -- is depth and player development. Everyone can put a solid 22 on the field. But what does your next 22 look like? When that star player goes down, who can step in so you barely miss a beat? Who can turn that borderline recruit into an all-conference player?

ASU had injuries on the defensive line last year and they went into a skid. Washington battled offensive line injuries last year and were inconsistent. Utah's quarterback carousel last year was unfortunate -- but you've got to have that depth to be able to handle the losses.

The teams that can handle that -- Bryan Bennett stepping up for Darren Thomas; A.J. Tarpley and Jarek Lancaster stepping in for Shayne Skov; Oregon's safeties stepping up when they lost John Boyett -- these are the teams that are ultimately the most successful.


William Shatner at Priceline HQ writes: Hey Kevin, you've been doing a lot more work than Ted these past two weeks. Looks like you could use a vacation. I'll take care of airfare if you tell me what your ideal vacation would be?

Kevin Gemmell: Ted has been hitting the lecture circuit hard the last couple of weeks, appearing at several Ivy League schools to deliver his motivational speeches: "Who else besides Pitt hates freedom?" "Please note that you are wrong," and "Boy, I could sure use a me-tini."

He'll be back Monday.

As for me, every trip through the comments section is a daily vacation. By the way, I loved you as General Mortars in Loaded Weapon 1.
Happy Friday.
Continuing with his look at the top prospects for the 2014 draft by position, ESPN's Mel Kiper ranked the tight ends Insider, outside linebackers Insider and inside linebackers Insider. The Pac-12 is well-represented at all three position groups.

Three of the top five tight ends are from the Pac-12, headlined by Washington's Austin Seferian-Jenkins at No. 1. Oregon's Colt Lyerla is No. 2 on the list followed by USC's Xavier Grimble at No. 5.
Kiper on Seferian-Jenkins: This is the definition of a matchup problem: a tight end with the size (6-foot-6, 265 pounds) to block and the hands and athleticism to be split out, where he can overwhelm smaller corners. Extremely productive, Seferian-Jenkins had 109 catches in his first two years in college, and he already holds the school record for catches, touchdowns and receiving yards by a tight end.

Kiper on Lyerla: Don't mistake Lyerla's lack of catches for lack of talent. The one-time star high school running back and linebacker might be the best athlete in this group, and Oregon was eager to find ways to get him the ball. He even rushed the ball 13 times last season, to go along with his 25 catches.

Kiper on Grimble: What I like about Grimble is that he can make catches in traffic, and when he has the ball in his hands, he seems to enjoy looking for people he can run over. The USC offense should see more of him in 2013.

Moving to the other side of the ball, the Pac-12 claims the top spot here as well with UCLA's Anthony Barr ranking first among all outside linebacker prospects. Per usual, Kiper ranks the top five and then has an "up next" section of five more players. This includes ASU's Carl Bradford, Stanford's Trent Murphy and USC's Hayes Pullard.
Kiper on Barr: Barr has a long frame and reach, has a great initial burst and often beats blockers with quickness. He can close fast and shows some decent instincts in space. He needs to work on counters and getting free of blockers who get their hands on him. He'll need to become stronger against the run. But the tools are there, and he's not your typical senior given his limited time at the position.

As I noted in the post about defensive ends, I was waiting to see how Kiper categorized USC's Morgan Breslin, who is making the move to outside linebacker this season. He doesn't show up on either the DE or OLB list -- which is quite surprising to me. I think that changes once the season gets going because my guess is he'll blow up in USC's new odd-front scheme.

Moving to the inside linebackers, no Pac-12 players appear in the top five, but three are in the "next up" portion, including UCLA's Eric Kendricks -- who led the Pac-12 in tackles last season by a very wide margin, and the Stanford duo of A.J. Tarpley and Shayne Skov.

Finally, Insider Travis Haney ranks the top 10 teams nationally Insider in terms of talent -- taking into account preseason rankings, the number of potential prospects and the four-year average rank of the recruiting classes. Oregon checks in at No. 6 and Stanford is No. 9.
Haney on Oregon: The Ducks' recruiting ranks are often dinged by class depth, but they always seem to have a few elite prospects mixed in. If De'Anthony Thomas can approach Tavon Austin's impact -- he might, now that dependable backs Kenjon Barner and LaMichael James have departed -- he could rise from where he is now, just outside Kiper's top 25. In fact, KC Joyner recently listed Thomas as a prospect who could put up huge numbers in 2013.

Haney on Stanford: Stanford can recruit nationally on the backbone of its academic prowess -- and now because of its ability to make prospects into NFL-grade players. Even with all of the talent that has passed through in the past couple of years -- what's the record for tight ends drafted in a two-year span? -- the Cardinal still have all-conference-type players such as linebackers Trent Murphy and Shayne Skov. The offensive line again could be a force, and Kiper has [Kevin] Hogan listed behind only [Johnny] Manziel and [Marcus] Mariota in the 2016 class; his development will be intriguing to watch.
The Lott IMPACT Trophy watch list for 2013 has been announced and the Pac-12 is well-represented. Of the 42 players on the watch list, 11 hail from the Pac-12 with a wide range of players from all levels of defense.

The award, named in honor of USC and San Francisco 49ers great Ronnie Lott, goes to the country's Defensive IMPACT Player of the Year (IMPACT stands for Integrity, Maturity, Performance, Academics, Community and Tenacity) and, per its website "is unique because it represents the first trophy to give equal weight to personal character as well as athletic performance from a defensive college player and is the first national college football award based on the West Coast."

Here are the Pac-12 players on the watch list:
The lone winner of the award from the conference was Cal's Dante Hughes, who won in 2006.
I just want to tell you both good luck. We're all counting on you.
 
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