This is the second in a three-part series from ESPN the Magazine's Money Issue.
Lesson four: Spending in the NHL actually matters MORE since the Lockout
NHL fans lost an entire season due to hard-line owners seeking a tight salary cap. So it’s shocking that since the empty 2004-05 season, payroll is linked even more with winning. Before the lockout, a 10% increase in spending was worth about 5.8 team points (roughly three wins) over a season. Since the lockout, that number has ballooned to 9.2 points. The Wharton researchers theorize that this counterintuitive trend is a result of the CBA’s producing a tighter range of spending between teams. “Each dollar became that much more valuable,” they concluded.
Hurricanes GM Jim Rutherford agrees: “Despite not having as big a gap, $16 million between the cap and the floor, teams that consistently spend at the top will still have an advantage in getting top players.” He also says low-payroll teams can succeed only for a short period. Nashville earned the Western Conference’s fourth seed this year with a slightly below-average payroll. But the team is winning on borrowed time. “The Predators are at that point where they’re either going
to spend toward the cap or risk losing top young players,” Rutherford says. “So from a consistency basis, you can see the advantage
for the teams that are able to routinely spend at the upper end.”
Lesson five: NBA Small ball = OVERrated
It’s better to pay up front in the NBA. Teams that finish in the top 25 percent in wins spent much more on premium frontcourt players (centers and forwards in the top 10% of salaries at their positions) and less on premium guards. Despite plenty of bad contracts offered in pursuit of impact seven-footers, spending on bigs creates the best Player Efficiency Rating relative to the league median for each position. Moreover, gambling on the frontcourt is indicative of a smart front office that understands supply and demand. Post players aren’t more productive -- guards are just easier to replace. “Big men are the most scarce resource,” says one team exec. “Even an average center is worth four times an above-average guard.”
Lesson six: Real baseball mimics fantasy
Just like astute roto owners, MLB GMs nab top hitters at traditional defensive positions. Good teams gain the biggest edge with top third basemen and catchers. The best teams also benefit from investing in middle infielders but gain little advantage over bottom teams when it comes to first basemen and DHs. Pitchers are valued lower than hitters in fantasy, but in real life they show more return on investment. A 10 percent increase in offensive salary adds five runs a season, but boosting a pitching staff by the same amount saves six runs.
Lesson four: Spending in the NHL actually matters MORE since the Lockout
NHL fans lost an entire season due to hard-line owners seeking a tight salary cap. So it’s shocking that since the empty 2004-05 season, payroll is linked even more with winning. Before the lockout, a 10% increase in spending was worth about 5.8 team points (roughly three wins) over a season. Since the lockout, that number has ballooned to 9.2 points. The Wharton researchers theorize that this counterintuitive trend is a result of the CBA’s producing a tighter range of spending between teams. “Each dollar became that much more valuable,” they concluded.
Hurricanes GM Jim Rutherford agrees: “Despite not having as big a gap, $16 million between the cap and the floor, teams that consistently spend at the top will still have an advantage in getting top players.” He also says low-payroll teams can succeed only for a short period. Nashville earned the Western Conference’s fourth seed this year with a slightly below-average payroll. But the team is winning on borrowed time. “The Predators are at that point where they’re either going
to spend toward the cap or risk losing top young players,” Rutherford says. “So from a consistency basis, you can see the advantage
for the teams that are able to routinely spend at the upper end.”
Lesson five: NBA Small ball = OVERrated
It’s better to pay up front in the NBA. Teams that finish in the top 25 percent in wins spent much more on premium frontcourt players (centers and forwards in the top 10% of salaries at their positions) and less on premium guards. Despite plenty of bad contracts offered in pursuit of impact seven-footers, spending on bigs creates the best Player Efficiency Rating relative to the league median for each position. Moreover, gambling on the frontcourt is indicative of a smart front office that understands supply and demand. Post players aren’t more productive -- guards are just easier to replace. “Big men are the most scarce resource,” says one team exec. “Even an average center is worth four times an above-average guard.”
Lesson six: Real baseball mimics fantasy
Just like astute roto owners, MLB GMs nab top hitters at traditional defensive positions. Good teams gain the biggest edge with top third basemen and catchers. The best teams also benefit from investing in middle infielders but gain little advantage over bottom teams when it comes to first basemen and DHs. Pitchers are valued lower than hitters in fantasy, but in real life they show more return on investment. A 10 percent increase in offensive salary adds five runs a season, but boosting a pitching staff by the same amount saves six runs.

- darrenrovell darren rovell
It has not been determined where the championship gear from the losing NBA team will go. 49ers gear went to Africa, C. America and E Europe
5 minutes ago
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- darrenrovell darren rovell
Storage room @Academy in San Antonio: Boxes of Spurs championship gear that can be opened w/win http://t.co/3LbP9fWqkq
39 minutes ago
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- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Thank you! @worksprogress did an excellent job! RT @JamilBata: @SportsBizMiss Love the new website. Cannot wait for the new book.
about 2 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Yesterday I told you about Notre Dame's new fragrance...turns out Texas A&M partnering with @MasikCollegiate to have one as well.
about 2 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Bubba Watson preparing to throw out the first pitch at Yankee Stadium tonight, representing @TravelersChamp http://t.co/p4QT1zZDAf
about 2 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Angels giving away these awesome Mike “Trout” hats tonight http://t.co/Wfn7apUC51 (via @BroKnowYourFlow)
about 2 hours ago
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- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
RT @MSmith_Williams: Already busy executing advice I got from my call with @SportsBizMiss .If you want to work in sports and don't follow h…
about 2 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
I must have some! RT @bradfordlit: Watermelon flavored Oreos? That sounds repulsive! http://t.co/YFIc5YXUp8
about 2 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
The Miami Heat think its fans know that it takes 16 games to win the Finals? The shirt tonight http://t.co/jc9WLBucmN
about 2 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Weight Control and Nutrition Powders were the fastest growing beverage category in convenience stores between 2008-2012 (via @iriworldwide)
about 2 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
RT @TAMUCompliance: The cliche violation of a fan shaking a student-athlete's hand and leaving them cash? It happens. Ineligible ≠ classy h…
about 2 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Darrelle Revis can claim a tax deduction on the $50K he paid Mark Barron for #24. Business expense, per @sportstaxman.
about 3 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
No "Sports Biz Radio" with @ChaddScott and me tonight - we've been bumped for NBA action. We'll be on tomorrow night from 7-9pm ET!
about 4 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
With the news of the new Notre Dame fragrance I tweeted yesterday #AggieScents has taken off...some funny stuff.
about 4 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
I've confirmed that Nike has indeed made a special LeBron X w/2-time champion on the sock liner. Have to be prepared if Heat win.
about 5 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
RT @jennifermayerle: Here's what the inside of @Atlanta_Falcons may look like -- #Falcons #Atlanta http://t.co/BrkxbmsUhs
about 5 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
RT @jennifermayerle: Check out what @Atlanta_Falcons new stadium would look like if #Atlanta hosted @FifaWorldCup @Fifacom. @GWCC_ATL http:…
about 5 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Las Vegas Hotel posts largest favorite ever: Bet on Spain to beat Tahiti in Thursday’s Confederations Cup? Get $1 for every $500 you bet!
about 5 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
RT @ProducerBB: @SportsBizMiss Here is lawsuit filed 20 minutes ago in Federal Court by #SanJose against #MLB http://t.co/5V4gfKu8IH
about 5 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
19% of sales at Starbucks stores in the US comes from food (via @candicechoi)
about 6 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Reports are out that San Jose will sue MLB over A's relocation: http://t.co/0KxvqmzLXa.
about 6 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Nebraska has received it’s custom cleats from Adidas http://t.co/7NAE52yZPT (via @dexteritee, @NUequipment)
about 6 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- darrenrovell darren rovell
University of Florida offering a discount on Patriots Tim Tebow jerseys http://t.co/Q9KaTruH2T (H/T @DougDeanTweets)
about 6 hours ago
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- darrenrovell darren rovell
Redskins owner Dan Snyder’s private equity company RedZone Capital has sold Johnny Rockets for an undisclosed sum.
about 6 hours ago
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- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Saw this at #NACMA13 - really like the key tag schedule http://t.co/8CnD3k15iG
about 7 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Just spoke with my mentee @oliviatruby. Spent some time on how to use Twitter for professional development: http://t.co/yrMfoN3Sg3.
about 8 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Need help following up with new contacts from #NACDA13 #NACMA13 #ICLA13 #COSIDA13 #NAADD13? http://t.co/am9njIh1FL @NACDA
about 9 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
I've got calls with 2 of my career coaching "mentees" today: @oliviatruby and @msmith_williams . Love working with students!
about 9 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
RT @John_Infante: Vine-style videos could be coming to Instagram as soon as this Thursday: http://t.co/m7OBaelg5P
about 9 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Thank you - @worksprogress did a great job organizing so much content! RT @angelajames: @SportsBizMiss your website looks great!
about 9 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Now that new http://t.co/8vH0yZ2MGs is complete, Workshop Wednesday will return tomorrow: http://t.co/fNFSJwjs7F. Get in your cover letters!
about 9 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Ladies, if you're looking for some good summer reading, check out my friend @NovelEscapes new book for only $2.99: http://t.co/z4rUedqCRH.
about 9 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

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Bar designs beer glass that stops you from touching your iPhone whole drinking http://t.co/8jxz5y0muY (H/T @guhlo)
about 10 hours ago
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- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Thanks! Hope you enjoy it! RT @ColgPrimetime: @SportsBizMiss We preordered Saturday Millionaires. Looking forward to reading it!
about 10 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
More details on the new Kansas-Time Warner Cable deal here: http://t.co/wZZYd8y9UG.
about 10 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Animal Kingdom doesn’t place in final race. Bought for $100K, career earnings? $8.38M. Will go to stud at $40K per live foal.
about 10 hours ago
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- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
New Kansas-Time Warner Cable Sports deal will include live games and "extensive non-game programming solely focused on the Jayhawks."
about 10 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Kansas and IMG announcing new deal with TWC Sports for regional distribution of >300 hrs of original athletics programming annually.
about 10 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Julie Hermann posted an open letter to Rutgers student-athletes: http://t.co/h1M5z1wEdp.
about 10 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
The Ottawa Senators' Scotiabank Place undergoing a name change as Canadian Tire takes over naming rights: http://t.co/vesKnScxm8.
about 10 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Smart athletes in evaluating pay for tweet proposals understand opportunity cost. For top athletes, long term plays make more sense.
about 11 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Looks like @SerenaWilliams just did a one-off tweet for Delta. Know a lot of agents who, for free flights or $50K, would turn that down.
about 11 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- darrenrovell darren rovell
RT @serenawilliams: Ahhhh @delta air and these #businesselite flat beds. #advantagedelta Wimbledon here we come!! http://t.co/zXcmz2iji7
about 11 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
You can read more about Yahoo! deal with 49ers here: http://t.co/EhWHMHr9y7.
about 11 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
49ers signed deal with Yahoo! to make it exclusive online sports content, social networking and photo sharing partner for team and stadium.
about 11 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
Any agent who isn’t scared of Jay-Z should have seen his entrance last night at his party. So many athletes are in awe of him.
about 11 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
Chevrolet will replace State Farm as title sponsor of MLB Home Run Derby.
about 11 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh
"adidas expects to achieve new record sales of € 2 billion in football (ie, soccer) in 2014" http://t.co/mHF1jO7vlB
about 11 hours ago
- SportsBizMiss Kristi Dosh

- darrenrovell darren rovell
The College World Series needs an undershirt sponsorship http://t.co/Xcq9TE5g7E (via @BigLiciousT)
about 11 hours ago
- darrenrovell darren rovell

- darrenrovell darren rovell
If I did a Twitter Wars with my biggest haters living with me, I’d have @Mengus22, @SpikeEskin, @BarstoolBigCat and @BobbyBigWheel.
about 11 hours ago
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