SEC conference race update: Week 10

November, 1, 2010
11/01/10
10:08
AM ET
The month of November has been anti-climatic the past couple of years in terms of the SEC divisional races, but not this year.

We'll start in the Eastern Division.

It's down to Florida (5-3, 3-3 SEC) and South Carolina (6-2, 4-2) and will almost certainly be decided by who wins that game on Nov. 13 in the Swamp. The only way it won't is if Vanderbilt should upset Florida this Saturday in Nashville. If that were to happen, then South Carolina could clinch its first-ever East crown by winning later Saturday night at home against Arkansas.

But if Florida defeats Vanderbilt (and the Gators have won 19 in a row in the series and are a two-touchdown favorite), then South Carolina's game with Arkansas later that evening is meaningless in terms of the East race. It would then become a one-game playoff between Florida and South Carolina on Nov. 13 for the right to represent the East in the SEC championship game.

The West is also most likely a two-team race.

We'll start with LSU, which still has an outside chance.

LSU (7-1, 4-1) would need to beat Alabama this Saturday at home, Ole Miss on Nov. 20 at home and then Arkansas in Little Rock to end the regular season. In addition to winning out, the Tigers would need Auburn to lose both of its remaining SEC games -- at home to Georgia on Nov. 13 and on the road at Alabama on Nov. 26. If Auburn and LSU each finish with one SEC loss, Auburn would win the division based on its head-to-head victory over LSU.

Alabama (7-1, 4-1) and Auburn (9-0, 6-0) each control their own destiny in the West. If either team wins out, that team goes to the SEC championship game. They end the regular season against each other on Nov. 26 in Tuscaloosa.

All three of Alabama's remaining SEC games are against nationally ranked teams -- at No. 10 LSU on Saturday, home against No. 20 Mississippi State on Nov. 13 and home against No. 2 Auburn on Nov. 26.

If Alabama loses to LSU this Saturday and Auburn beats Georgia at home on Nov. 13, then Auburn clinches the West crown regardless of what happens in the Iron Bowl on Nov. 26.

Chris Low | email

College Football

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