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SEC race update: Week 12

11/14/2011

The Eastern Division race has come down to one game.

If Georgia (8-2, 6-1) can defeat Kentucky at home this week, the Bulldogs would win the East title outright and go to their first SEC championship game since 2005.

If Kentucky were to upset Georgia, then South Carolina (8-2, 6-2) would win the East based on the head-to-head tiebreaker, and the Gamecocks would make their second straight trip to the SEC championship game. South Carolina beat Georgia back in September.

In the Western Division, LSU is still in control. The Tigers (10-0, 6-0) can win the West title outright by winning on the road this week at Ole Miss and then coming back home and defeating Arkansas on Nov. 25.

It gets murky if Alabama, Arkansas and LSU all end up in a three-way tie and their losses are to each other, which would happen if Alabama (9-1, 6-1) beats Auburn on Nov. 26 and Arkansas (9-1, 5-1) beats LSU. That tie would be broken by the BCS standings that come out on Nov. 27. In that scenario, all three teams would be within five spots of each other, so it would come down to head-to-head competition between the two highest ranked teams at that point in the BCS standings. Currently, LSU is No. 1, Alabama No. 3 and Arkansas No. 6.

If Arkansas were to beat LSU in Baton Rouge, the Hogs would likely pass the Tigers in the BCS standings. But if Alabama and Arkansas were the two highest ranked teams at that point, the Crimson Tide would get the nod based on their win over the Hogs in September. But if LSU remained ahead of Alabama and the Crimson Tide were third, then Arkansas would get the nod based on its win over LSU.

The thing to remember here is the third team is going to be out in a three-way tie, and it's going to come down to head-to-head competition between the two highest ranked teams in the BCS standings.

Of course, it's all simple if LSU wins out. The Tigers will be in Atlanta.