Posted by ESPN.com's Chris Low
A no-show by the supposedly motivated Tennessee players cost me an unbeaten record last week. Wyoming? Please. If they had been saddling up for a rodeo, I could buy it. But the Vols' 13-7 (football) loss to the Cowboys in Neyland Stadium spoke volumes about where this team is right now ... in the tank. Even with Tennessee's gag at home, I managed to go 5-1 last week and am now 61-17 (.782) for the season. Here's the way I see it going in the SEC in Week 12:
Florida 35, South Carolina 17: Holding the Gators under 38 points would be a coup for the Gamecocks, who haven't exactly been shabby this season on defense. Ellis Johnson's unit is ranked third nationally in total defense. Of course, the Gators have scored 38 or more points every time out in their five-game winning streak and have pretty much looked unbeatable along the way. The closest anybody has come to them during that stretch was 28 points. South Carolina's good enough on defense to keep it closer than that, but the Gators will still win going away.
Alabama 21, Mississippi State 6: Sylvester Croom has had his alma mater's number the last two years. The Bulldogs have won two straight over the Crimson Tide in rough and tumble affairs. This will again be a physical football game with no place to hide for the timid. That's been Alabama's specialty this season, though, and Mississippi State has been rocked by injuries and suspensions. The Bulldogs just don't have enough offense to pull the upset, and the No. 1-ranked Crimson Tide will move one step closer to playing for a national title.
Georgia 31, Auburn 14: This game looked a lot more attractive back in early September when both teams were ranked in the top 10. It's a rivalry that has given us some terrific games over the years, and Georgia is still capable of scoring a bunch of points against anybody it plays. The threesome of Matthew Stafford, Knowshon Moreno and A.J. Green is as good as it gets on one team. The Bulldogs' problem has been on defense. They've given up 125 points in their last three games. Then again, Auburn's offense has been a cure for a lot of struggling defenses this season.
Kentucky 28, Vanderbilt 21: The pressure is starting to mount on Vanderbilt as the Commodores need just one more win to become bowl eligible. They're 0-17 since 1982 in games in which they could have become bowl eligible. They also haven't had much success against Kentucky, which has won 10 of the last 12 games in this series. Kentucky freshman quarterback Randall Cobb has pumped new life back into that offense, which is bad news for the Commodores.
Ole Miss 41, Louisiana-Monroe 10: Now that the Rebels have won two games in a row for the first time since the 2004 season, they go for three in a row against the 3-7 Warhawks. More importantly, Ole Miss (5-4) can become bowl eligible and clinch its first postseason trip since the 2003 season. After a week off, the Rebels should be a little healthier, a little sharper and a little hungrier to finish off this season the right way. They're a couple of fumbles away from being a 7-2 team right now.