Thursday, November 1, 2012
SEC predictions: Week 10
By Edward Aschoff
It's as if it's been Halloween all year for Chris when it comes to the picks.
I've been scary good, and he's been scary bad, as he finds himself in quite the hole entering the final month of the regular season. All that "Here Comes Honey Boo Boo" he's been watching must be distracting him.
Thanks to some smart picks, I'm liking the view from the penthouse suite here in the ATL. As one of my fellow celebrities once said, "It's good to be king."
We both went 5-2 last week, missing on Ole Miss and Georgia. The good news is that with a 70-7 (.909) record, I still have a five-game lead with Chris being 65-12 (.844) on the season.
There's a chance for my lead to widen even more, so I hope Chris takes his lucky rabbit's foot down to Baton Rouge, La., this weekend.
NEW MEXICO STATE AT AUBURN
Edward Aschoff: Auburn coach Gene Chizik made the right move when he made Jonathan Wallace the new starting quarterback. Nothing was working, but Wallace will Saturday. ... Auburn 31, New Mexico 24
Chris Low: After five straight losses, including the humiliating 63-21 rout at the hands of Texas A&M last week, Auburn can’t afford to be choosy. The Tigers just need a win, and it doesn’t matter if they have to step outside the SEC to get it. … Auburn 30, New Mexico State 14
TROY AT TENNESSEE
Edward Aschoff: The Vols have lost four straight games, and things in Knoxville are very ... rocky. But this isn't an SEC team, and Tennessee has had its way with nonconference foes this season. ... Tennessee 38, Troy 21
Chris Low: Never has a team been so glad to see October come and go. Tennessee went 0-for-October for pretty much the second straight year; it hasn't won in October since Oct. 1 last year. The Vols will face Troy at home this weekend, and while they’re a train wreck on defense right now, they can score points in bunches. ... Tennessee 41, Troy 21
TULSA AT ARKANSAS
Edward Aschoff: The Razorbacks' bowl chances took a major hit last week with the loss to Ole Miss, and Tulsa is no pushover. This will be a tough game for the Hogs, but expect late-game magic from Tyler Wilson. ... Arkansas 34, Tulsa 30
Chris Low: The loss last week to Ole Miss might have been the final blow to Arkansas’ season. The Hogs had better not mess around with Tulsa, or it could really get ugly. Winning this game is a must if Arkansas is going to have any shot at a bowl game. ... Arkansas 35, Tulsa 31
VANDERBILT AT KENTUCKY
Edward Aschoff: Vandy is looking to win its third straight, while Kentucky is just looking to stay afloat during a season that has been ravaged by injuries. Unfortunately for the Cats, the Commodores will get one step closer to being bowl-eligible come Saturday afternoon. ... Vanderbilt 27, Kentucky 14
Chris Low: Not only is Vanderbilt eyeing a third SEC win, but the Commodores could win their second away from home in the league. It’s indeed a new day for the Commodores, who could move within a game of qualifying for their second straight bowl appearance. … Vanderbilt 23, Kentucky 14
MISSOURI AT FLORIDA
Edward Aschoff: The Gators dropped a tough one to Georgia last week, handing over the East. You have to think that this team will be sulking a little to start, but with how bad Mizzou's offense has been, Florida's defense will keep the Gators in control. ... Florida 27, Missouri 13
Chris Low: At one point, it looked like this game would crown the Gators as Eastern Division champs. Those hopes were snowed under by six turnovers last week in the loss to Georgia. Florida still has a chance for an 11-1 season, which would be a heck of an accomplishment. … Florida 27, Missouri 13
OLE MISS AT GEORGIA
Edward Aschoff: This turns into one of those perfect trap games for the Bulldogs after such an emotional win over the Gators. Ole Miss is riding high off its win over Arkansas and could end Georgia's SEC title game hopes. The Rebels will take this one down to the wire, but Georgia prevails. ... Georgia 31, Ole Miss 24
Chris Low: Ole Miss has been the surprise of the league and is one win from becoming bowl-eligible, but Georgia has the inside track to the Eastern Division championship after taking down Florida last week. The Bulldogs aren’t about to slip up now. ... Georgia 31, Ole Miss 21
TEXAS A&M AT MISSISSIPPI STATE
Edward Aschoff: The Bulldogs are yet again looking to prove themselves after a blowout loss to Alabama. That defense will have its hands full with Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel, who went back to being Johnny Football against Auburn. A&M has struggled offensively against good defenses in the second half this season, but that changes Saturday. ... Texas A&M 31, Mississippi State 27
Chris Low: Talk about a springboard game. The winner Saturday in Starkville has a chance to go on and have a big season. Both offenses are explosive, and while Mississippi State may still be smarting some from its loss at Alabama last week, the Bulldogs are a different team at home amid the cowbells. ... Mississippi State 34, Texas A&M 30
ALABAMA AT LSU
Edward Aschoff: It's the game everyone will watch. Not only is the SEC West on the line, but a spot in the national championship could be as well. Alabama has looked unstoppable, while LSU has a fantastic defense and an ugly passing game. Expect a mixture of the two games last year, with Alabama controlling the fourth quarter. ... Alabama 23, LSU 13
Chris Low: LSU has the talent on defense to go after Alabama and force the Crimson Tide out of their comfort zone, and Tiger Stadium on a Saturday night is a nightmare for any opposing team. The difference, though, will be Alabama quarterback AJ McCarron and an Alabama defense that simply doesn’t give up any points. ... Alabama 21, LSU 10