Thursday, November 7, 2013
SEC predictions: Week 11
By Edward Aschoff
And just like that, the ATL Kid is back in the lead. It takes only one silly mistake to cost you in the long run in this game, and Chris' decision to go with injury-plagued Florida could come back to haunt him.
I hit a bit of a lull there, but I'm back on top after going 6-0 and correctly picking Georgia to beat Florida down in Jacksonville, Fla., last week. My record stands at an impressive 73-11 (.869), while Chris is now 72-12 (.857) after going 5-1 last week.
This last month will go a long way to determining who brings home the picking gold. I took a lot of momentum away from Chris with my one-game lead, and I know he'll be pouting even more this weekend without his buddy Oscar Pope in Tuscaloosa, Ala. Chris talked about hitting up Galettes Friday night with Oscar before the big game to discuss the finer things in life.
But Oscar is headed to Oxford, Miss., to cheer on his Rebels, leaving Chris to FaceTime with Meeko Friday night.
On to the picks:
APPALACHIAN STATE at GEORGIA
Chris Low: With a third straight victory over Florida in its pocket, Georgia gets a tune-up against FCS foe Appalachian State this week. It should be a short work day for the Bulldogs' starters heading into next week’s critical game at Auburn.
Georgia 49, Appalachian State 14
Edward Aschoff: For delivering an ugly win over Florida, the Bulldogs get a nice home game against Appalachian State. This isn't the same giant killer that took down Michigan a few seasons ago, so don't expect anything tricky in Athens, Ga.
Georgia 48, Appalachian State 13
MISSOURI at KENTUCKY
Low: Gary Pinkel isn’t saying which quarterback he’ll play this weekend. James Franklin has been practicing and could take the reins back from Maty Mauk. Ultimately, it won’t matter because Missouri’s defense will see to it that Kentucky loses its 13th straight SEC game.
Missouri 31, Kentucky 17
Aschoff: This is the first road game for the Tigers in almost a month. There's a chance that Franklin could go, but with Mauk playing well and Kentucky struggling on both offense and defense, Mizzou might as well let its starter rest another week.
Missouri 38, Kentucky 13
MISSISSIPPI STATE at TEXAS A&M
Low: Texas A&M has scored more than 40 points in every game this season. In this league, that’s not supposed to happen. The problem has been the Aggies’ defense, but it seems to be playing better on that side of the ball the past two weeks and will sock it to a Mississippi State team that’s in the middle of a brutal three-game stretch.
Texas A&M 45, Mississippi State 20
Aschoff: The Bulldogs are fighting for a bowl berth, while the Aggies are looking to put a complete game together against an SEC opponent. After the way South Carolina treated the Bulldogs in Columbia, Mo., last week, Johnny Football shouldn't have much of an issue putting points up on the scoreboard.
Texas A&M 45, Mississippi State 17
ARKANSAS at OLE MISS
Low: Ole Miss gets a chance to close the season with a flourish. Arkansas’ visit is the start of three straight home games for the Rebels. The Hogs are going in the other direction. They’ve lost six in a row and won’t be able to slow down the Rebels enough to avoid a seventh straight defeat.
Ole Miss 38, Arkansas 21
Aschoff: After losing three straight in league play, the Rebels have reeled off two straight wins and are looking at possibly winning eight or nine regular-season games. With Ole Miss' offense rolling up more than 460 yards a game, the Hogs just won't be able to keep pace in Oxford.
Ole Miss 38, Arkansas 17
VANDERBILT at FLORIDA
Low: Given the injury spell that has descended upon Florida’s football team this season, the Gators might want to wrap themselves in bubble wrap. Vanderbilt matches up pretty well with Florida and is coming off a bye week. Coach James Franklin will have the Commodores ready to play, but the Gators will make enough plays on defense to squeeze out a win.
Florida 24, Vanderbilt 20
Aschoff: Who would have thought that the Gators would be struggling to become bowl eligible at this point in the season? And who saw all these injuries coming? The Commodores are facing Florida at the right time, but if there was ever a must-win situation for Florida, this is it. It won't be pretty, but Florida will slip by to get to win No. 5.
Florida 23, Vanderbilt 17
AUBURN at TENNESSEE
Low: Tennessee has proven to be a much better team at home this season, and it will also help freshman quarterback Joshua Dobbs to get back in front of the home fans as he makes his second start. The Vols will keep it close but won’t be able to stop the Tigers’ running game.
Auburn 34, Tennessee 24
Aschoff: Auburn is one of the country's hottest teams, while Tennessee is trying to find its footing during the first season of the Butch Jones era. The Tigers won't be intimidated by their surroundings inside Neyland Stadium, and running back Tre Mason should have another big day on the ground.
Auburn 34, Tennessee 20
LSU at ALABAMA
Low: It’s been college football’s preeminent rivalry for the past several seasons. It will also be Alabama’s toughest test since the third week of the season, when the Tide outlasted Texas A&M 49-42 on the road. LSU has the passing game and running game to give Alabama trouble, but the Tide will also be able to roll up points against a young LSU defense that won’t be able to keep up.
Alabama 31, LSU 20
Aschoff: Here we are, folks. Yet again, this game has major SEC Western division and national championship implications on the line. LSU could crash Alabama's three-peat party. It has the offensive weapons to do it, but that defense will have its hands more than full against Alabama's offense. The Tigers have gone 12-9 in Tuscaloosa since 1970 and won the last time these two met here. But Alabama knows that one slip up will likely cost it a trip to Pasadena, Calif.
Alabama 31, LSU 24