Wednesday, September 4, 2013
A look at Rams' odds for 2013
By Nick Wagoner
Gambling website Bovada.lv recently released their odds for teams and players for the 2013 season and set some intriguing benchmarks for a variety of Rams through their various prop bets available.
Here's a quick rundown of some of those odds along with a quick thought on how likely it is for each player to reach the over.
QB Sam Bradford
MVP - 75/1
Total passing yards - +/- 3,750 yards
Total passing touchdowns - +/- 24.5 touchdowns
Total interceptions thrown - +/- 14.5
Comment: It's a long shot for Bradford to win MVP and the odds here acknowledge as much. The Rams would settle for the over in touchdowns and yards and the under in interceptions. Those type of numbers would go a long way toward getting them back to the playoffs. Bradford has never thrown for more than 3,702 yards or 21 touchdowns so those numbers are about right. In the Rams' revamped offense, he should be able to surpass both numbers though an offense that's more pass heavy would also seem more likely to put him over the interceptions total as well.
WR Tavon Austin
Offensive rookie of the year - 6/1
Total receptions - +/- 75.5
Total receiving yards - +/- 850.5
Total combined touchdowns - +/- 7.5
Comment: Austin was once considered the favorite to win the O.R.o.Y. award but has since been moved down to third in the pecking order. If he doesn't win, it won't be for a lack of opportunities. He's going to play a lot and the Rams will get the ball in his hands as much as possible. Still, I'd expect him to come up a bit short on the receptions and receiving yards simply because the Rams want to spread the ball around. He'll be close on both, though. I'd expect him to be right around eight touchdowns including a couple of returns.
WR Chris Givens
Total receiving yards - +/- 850.5
Comment: This might be the best bet in the bunch. Givens led the team with 698 receiving yards as an unpolished rookie but made impressive strides in the offseason. I expect him to lead the team in this category and quite possibly break the 1,000-yard barrier assuming he stays healthy.
TE Jared Cook
Total receiving touchdowns - +/- 5
Total receiving yards - +/- 700.5
Comment: The yardage total is probably about right for a player who will be featured more than in the past but also one who has only broken 700 once in his career. But 800 yards or so should be attainable given the connection he and Bradford made in the preseason and camp. I expect Cook to lead the Rams in touchdown receptions so the total of five should be surpassed even though he's never had more than four.
DE Chris Long
Total sacks - +/- 10
Comment: Long has gone into double digits each of the past two years and I see no reason he won't again unless injuries crop up. If the Rams can get some leads and actually give their pass-rushers a chance to get after opposing quarterbacks, he could set a new career high beyond the 13 he had in 2011.
DE Robert Quinn
Total sacks - +/- 8
Comment: See above on playing with a lead. Quinn got to double digits last year and he's only getting better as he gets older. He, too, should be able to beat this number.
MLB James Laurinaitis
Total tackles and assists - +/- 125.5
Comment: Laurinaitis has come in with 142 total tackles and assists in each of the past two seasons and he remains one of the league's most durable players. This one seems a pretty safe bet though the addition of the next player on this list might alter that a bit.
LB Alec Ogletree
Defensive rookie of the year - 9/1
Comment: Ogletree has the play making ability to make many of the flashy plays that rookie cornerback Janoris Jenkins made in 2012. What will be tougher is maintaining the level of consistency needed to garner the award.