AP Photo/Greg TrottIf Peyton Manning signs with Denver, how long will he and Tim Tebow be teammates?
Peyton Manning has every intention of staying in the AFC. He has directed his agent to complete negotiations that will make Manning the new quarterback of the Denver Broncos.
As a team, Denver had the fourth-worst Total QBR in the NFL last season (32.3). Manning’s Total QBR (a metric that takes into account everything a QB does on the field and when he does it), ranks as the highest since 2008 (77.2).
Tim Tebow's QBR in two seasons with the Broncos is 32.8, which is the fourth-worst in the NFL since 2008 among quarterbacks with at least 600 action plays.
It remains to be seen what Tebow’s future will be in Denver; but with Manning, the Broncos would be getting a QB who couldn’t be more different than Tebow:
• Since 2008, Manning has completed a league-high 74.4 percent of his throws that traveled at least 15 yards in the air. Tebow’s completion percentage of 53.9 on such throws is second-worst in the NFL over the last four seasons.
• Since sacks became official in 1982, Manning has thrown 31.2 passes for every sack he’s taken, the second-most attempts for any QB to throw at least 300 passes in that span (Steve Walsh, 32.9). Tebow has thrown 9.1 passes for every sack, which ranks 214th among the 243 quarterbacks to throw at least 300 passes since 1982.
• Tebow has been sacked 24 times when facing four-or-fewer pass rushers in 2010-11. From 2008-10, Manning was sacked 21 times despite dropping back against four-or-fewer pass rushers 1,106 more times than Tebow.
Denver was the only team in 2011 that started the same offensive line in each game (LT Ryan Clady, LG Zane Beadles, C J.D. Walton, RG Chris Kuper, RT Orlando Franklin). All five players are slated to return in 2012.
Manning would be going from being a Colt to a Bronco, but more important to a team that plays all of its games outdoors and on grass. The only game Manning and the Broncos will play indoors in 2012 will be at Atlanta.
The Broncos have the second hardest schedule in 2012 based on their opponents 2011 record. Denver’s 2012 opponents win percentage of .543 trails only the New York Giants (.547).
In his career, Manning is 31-14 (.689 win percentage) in games played outdoors in the months of September and October. From November on, Manning is 32-20 (.615) in regular-season games played outdoors.
In games played on grass, Manning’s win percentage is .618 (47-29), down 10 percent from his indoor percentage of .712 (94-38).
Finally, in 2013, the Broncos will play NFC East and AFC South opponents, which means Manning could face his younger brother Eli as well as the Indianapolis Colts in 2013.