Peyton ahead of Brady's 2007 pace

October, 14, 2013
10/14/13
3:36
AM ET
Jerilee Bennett/Colorado Springs Gazette/MCT via Getty ImagesPeyton Manning beat the Jaguars Sunday, but posted a QBR in the 70s for the first time this season.

As a reminder, Total QBR is a quarterback rating that takes into account all of a QB’s significant contributions (passing, rushing, sacks, fumbles, penalties) to his team’s scoring and winning and summarizes them into one number on a 0-100 scale, where 50 is average. Since 2008, the team with the higher QBR has won about 85 percent of the time. Complete QBR statistics for all quarterbacks can be found here.

2013 Manning vs 2007 Brady
Peyton Manning posted a 74.0 Total QBR Sunday, his LOWEST this season. For context, a Pro Bowl-level of performance usually means a Total QBR between 65 and 70 over an entire season.

Manning’s Total QBR of 90.1 is the best in the NFL this season, and slightly ahead of Tom Brady’s 2007 pace through six games when the Patriots went 16-0.

Tom Brady's go-ahead TD and other late game heroics this season
Tom Brady’s game-winning touchdown pass with five seconds remaining in the fourth quarter Sunday was the latest go-ahead passing touchdown of his career.

It increased the New England Patriots win probability by 72.5 percentage points, the biggest swing in win probability in Week 6, and the fourth-biggest swing this season. The Patriots win probability had dropped as low as 5.3 percent with 1:20 left in the fourth quarter.

Rodgers leans on wide receivers
Aaron Rodgers completed 10-of-19 (52.6 percent) passes targeting his wide receivers, his lowest completion percentage on such passes in a game this season.

Rodgers, whose 55.2 Total QBR this season is his lowest through five starts in a season in his career, could have issues if Randall Cobb or James Jones miss significant time.

Quick Hitters
" Robert Griffin III had a Total QBR of 35.2 Sunday, and he doesn’t have a Total QBR above 43.0 this season. Griffin finished last regular season with a Total QBR above 50.0 in his last 10 starts. His Total QBR in the first half this season is 15.1 (only Blaine Gabbert is worse) and the Washington Redskins have scored one first-half touchdown on offense this season.

" Dwayne Harris had two returns over 85 yards each, including a touchdown Sunday, and the Dallas Cowboys special teams added 12.9 expected points, their highest in a game since the start of the 2006 season. The Cowboys special teams has added 18.1 more expected points than the average special teams this season, the fourth-most in the NFL.

" Nick Foles posted an 89.8 Total QBR against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, his highest Total QBR in any of his seven career starts. Foles second-half Total QBR of 99.95 (6-of-7 passing, 145 yards, 2 TD), trails only Cam Newton in Week 3 for the highest Total QBR (99.99) in a second half this season.

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