The Heat defense has really struggled against the Spurs in the Finals.
The Miami Heat defense has been out of sorts in the 2014 NBA Finals – so much out of sorts that the San Antonio Spurs are on pace for the highest effective field-goal percentage in an NBA Finals series since the 3-point line was implemented.
Why are the Heat struggling so much defensively?
Drives to the basket
In the 2013 NBA Finals, the Heat stayed home on shooters when the Spurs drove to the basket.
The Heat aren't allowing any more drives than they did last year. The Spurs averaged 33.7 drives per game in last year's Finals and 33 per game this year.
The difference is how often they’re passing the ball: The Spurs passed the ball on 24 percent of their drives in last year's Finals. This year, the Spurs are passing the ball on 36 percent of their drives.
Too many double-teams
The Spurs are passing the ball more often on drives because the Heat are double-teaming the Spurs so often and leaving guys open.
Spurs Half-Court Offense This Series
Result of Possession By Double-Team
With how adept the Spurs are at moving the ball, the Heat double-teams have been ineffective.
The Heat are switching defenders on virtually every screen in this series. Because of that, they find themselves often doubling the ball, whether it’s a hard double or a hedge.
When the Heat double-team the Spurs, just over half of the Spurs half-court field-goal attempts are uncontested. But when the Heat don't double the ball at all, only 18 percent of the Spurs half-court field-goal attempts are uncontested.
The Spurs effective field-goal percentage is 79 when the Heat double-team the ball in the half-court this series (including 55 percent on 3-pointers), compared to a 52 effective field-goal percentage when they don’t double.
Spurs Half-Court Eff FG Pct This Series
Imagine if the Heat could play straight up defense without doubling the ball and without giving up any open shots. It sounds like a pipe dream, but the Heat are holding the Spurs to a 49 effective field-goal percentage on those shots. By comparison, the Spurs have been nearly twice as prolific (89 effective field-goal percentage) when the Heat double and leave a shooter open.
Based on these numbers, perhaps the Heat should rethink their strategy of switching on every screen and getting caught doubling the ball.