Monday, July 9, 2012
Bautista, Trumbo best AL choices for derby
By Mike Veneziano, ESPN Stats & Info
Here is a breakdown of the American League players in the Home Run Derby (ESPN, 8 ET) field as well as players not in the field who merit consideration based on analysis from information provided by ESPN Home Run Tracker. Click here to check out our National League breakdown.
Of the 64 home runs hit at Kauffman Stadium this season, 24 have gone to left field (37.5 percent). The average home run distance there is 413.0 feet, second only to Coors Field in Colorado (414.2 feet). The participants likely to have the most success Monday night will have power to left field and have a high average home run distance.
Bautista is tied for the league lead in home runs with 27, 19 of which have gone to left field. He has two 450-foot home runs, tied for the most in the field with Mark Trumbo.
At first glance, Fielder doesn’t look like an ideal candidate. He has only 15 home runs, none of which have gone to left field. However, all but one of his homers would have been out of Kauffman Stadium and he averages 411.7 feet per home run.
Trumbo averages 419.5 feet per home run, the best in baseball (min. 15 home runs). Ten of his 22 home runs have gone to left field, he has two of more than 450 feet and only four have failed to travel 400 feet. In addition, 17 of his homers would have left Kauffman Stadium.
Thirteen of Cano’s 20 home runs would have been out of Kauffman Stadium, but he does not have a homer of more than 450 feet and only one homer went to left field.
Other AL players who are not in the field but warrant consideration:
Hamilton ruled himself out early on, but he averages 416.2 feet per home run, second to Trumbo, and 19 of his 27 homers would have been out of Kauffman Stadium. His 469-foot blast off Mark Melancon on April 17 is tied for fifth longest this season.
Fifteen of his 22 home runs would have left Kauffman, but he doesn’t have a 450-foot homer this year, averages slightly more than 400 feet per home run (403.8) and only two of his home runs went to left field. Ortiz declined an invitation.
Twenty of his 25 home runs would have been out of Kauffman Stadium, the most in the majors. Dunn averages 412.3 feet per home run, which is fifth best in baseball (min. 15 home runs), and has 18 homers of more than 400 feet.
Although he averages fewer than 400 feet per home run (398.3), 12 of his 20 home runs have gone to left field and 15 would have been homers in Kansas City.
Could have been considered had he made the All-Star team. Encarnacion’s average home run distance is 412.5 feet, the third best in baseball (min. 15 home runs). In addition, 16 of his 23 homers would have been out of Kauffman Stadium.