Monday, January 14, 2013
Kaepernick scrambles his way to victory
By ESPN Stats & Information
AP Photo/Marcio Jose SanchezYour Total QBR guide to the quarterback performances from the Divisional Playoffs:
Colin Kaepernick shined in his playoff debut.
Colin Kaepernick (94.7 Total QBR)
Kaepernick posted the seventh-highest playoff QBR over the past five seasons. It was the third-highest QBR in a quarterback’s first career playoff start over that same time span (18 quarterbacks have started their first career playoff game during that time). The only two players with a higher QBR in their first career playoff start are Tim Tebow (97.5, 2011 Wild Card) and Mark Sanchez (97.2, 2009 Wild Card.
Kaepernick added 12.3 points above average on his designed runs and scramble plays, the most in a single game over the past five seasons. The only two other quarterbacks to add at least nine points above average on designed runs and scrambles in a single game are Russell Wilson (9.8 at Buffalo) and Robert Griffin III (9.1 vs. Minnesota).
Aaron Rodgers (68.6 Total QBR)
Rodgers broke a streak of six consecutive games (regular season and playoffs) with a QBR over 70, tied for the second-longest streak of his career. The only longer streak came in 2011 when he went 11 consecutive games from Week 3 to Week 11. The Packers are 2-5 this year when Rodgers has a QBR below 70, including 0-2 against San Francisco. They are 10-1 when his QBR is above 70.
Joe Flacco (65.3 Total QBR)
Flacco had his second consecutive playoff game with a QBR above 65 after having only one such game over his first nine career playoff starts. Through two games his playoff QBR is 75.8, by far higher than any other playoffs he’s played in.
Flacco completed 6-of-11 pass attempts of at least 15 yards downfield for 217 yards and three touchdowns. He is now 11-of-19 for 374 yards and four touchdowns this postseason with a 99.9 QBR on those throws.
Peyton Manning (58.1 Total QBR)
Manning had his fourth-lowest QBR of the season and only his fourth game with a QBR below 60. It is his lowest QBR in a playoff game over the past five seasons. His previous low was a 71.2 in Super Bowl XLIV against the Saints. The Broncos are 1-3 when Manning has a QBR below 60.
Matt Ryan (85.4 Total QBR)
Ryan had his best career QBR in a playoff game. His previous high was a 49.6 against Arizona in 2008. Even with his 85.4 on Sunday his career postseason QBR is a 40.6, the lowest of any remaining quarterback.
Russell Wilson (86.4 Total QBR)
Wilson had the second-highest single-game playoff QBR by a rookie over the past five seasons. Wilson went 10-for-13 with 184 yards with one touchdown and a 99.6 QBR on play action, his best QBR on such plays this season.
Tom Brady (74.8 Total QBR)
Brady extended his streak of having a QBR of 50 or higher to 15 consecutive games (regular season and playoffs), the third-longest streak over the past five seasons. After posting a 4.5 QBR in the 2009 playoffs and a 9.8 QBR in the 2010 playoffs (each time failing to win a game), Brady has gone on to have four consecutive playoff games with a QBR above 70.
Matt Schaub (58.7 Total QBR)
The Texans are now 4-5 (regular season and playoffs) in games where Schaub starts and has a QBR below 60 this season and 9-0 when he’s above 60. Over the past five seasons the Texans are 32-5 in his starts when he has a QBR of at least 60 and 9-25 in games where he is below that number.
Total QBR is a quarterback rating that takes into account all of a QB’s significant contributions (passing, rushing, sacks, fumbles, penalties) to his team’s scoring and winning and summarizes them into one number on a 0-100 scale, where 50 is average. Since 2008, the team with the higher QBR has won 86 percent of the time.