Saturday, November 23, 2013
What Rose means to the Bulls
By Steve Martinez
Chris Humphreys/USA TODAY Sports
Derrick Rose (right) had been having one of the worst years of his career. And now, after only 10 games, his comeback season might be over.
Bulls point guard and 2010-11 NBA MVP Derrick Rose is out indefinitely after tearing the medial meniscus in his right knee. He missed all of last season after tearing the ACL in his other knee.
Before the injury, the Las Vegas Hotel SuperBook had the Bulls with 6-1 odds to win the NBA Championship, tied with the Pacers for third-most likely to hoist the Larry O’Brien Trophy at the end of the year. Only the Heat and Thunder were higher favorites. With the news of the injury, the odds have dropped to 15-1.
Rose is clearly one of the most important players in the NBA to his team’s chances. Let’s take a closer look at why.
Bulls without Rose
The Bulls change from an above-average team to an elite team with Derrick Rose on the court. In the last three seasons, Chicago is 37-13 with Derrick Rose active (.740 win percentage). When Rose is out, the Bulls are 64-46 (.582 win percentage).
Chicago does not have a suitable replacement for Rose, as he’s outscored his replacements at starting point guard by 10.4 PPG over the last 3 seasons.
Importance to Bulls Offense
The Bulls rely on Rose to make plays. Usage percentage measures the percent of team plays that end with either a turnover, field goal attempt or a free throw attempt by a particular player. Only two guards have a higher usage percentage than Rose’s 29.4 percent rate this season – Russell Westbrook (33.1) and Kyrie Irving (32.1).
Clutch time is defined as the last 5 minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime with the score within five points. Rose leads the Bulls in points, assists, field goal attempts and points in the paint over his last two healthy seasons (2011-12 and 2013-14).
Rose’s Struggles This Season
It has not been a banner season Rose, which makes sense considering he was out all of last year. Rose is currently on pace to average career lows in points per game, assists per game, field goal percentage and minutes per game.
Rose's field goal percentage inside 10 feet is well below his career average. He's shooting 42 percent from that distance while averaging about the same number of field goal attempts as his 4 previous seasons.
Rose played in 81 of 82 games in his MVP year (2010-11). Unfortunately, missing games due to injury is becoming something of a trend since then. He missed 27 regular season games because of toe, back, groin and ankle injuries in 2011-12. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, that is second-most games missed by a reigning MVP in NBA history. Then he tore his ACL in the playoffs and missed all of last season as a result.
With Rose out indefinitely, the Bulls have some tough decisions to make regarding this season.