Clayton Kershaw will make his fourth attempt at career win No. 100 against the Colorado Rockies on Saturday. He is looking to become the third active pitcher to win 100 games before turning 28 years old.
In his first three attempts to get the win, he took one loss and two no-decisions, with his team scoring a combined six runs of support behind him.
Why didn't he get it last time?
In his last start, Kershaw shut the Milwaukee Brewers out through five innings and then allowed three earned runs in his last 2 1/3 innings. He succeeded with his non-fastballs, allowing one hit in 13 at-bats and six strikeouts. However, he struggled with his fastball, allowing four hits, including a home run, in 13 at-bats to end with the pitch.
Going into the bottom of the eighth in that start, the Dodgers had an 81.7 percent chance of winning the game. They went on to lose 4-3, and Kershaw took a no-decision.
What has to go right?
Kershaw will have to win in Coors Field, where he has a 4.58 ERA in 90 1/3 career innings. While his ERA is high, Kershaw has a 7-3 record in 15 starts at Coors Field. In fact, Kershaw has won his last four starts there and has a 2.00 ERA over 27 innings pitched in those starts.
Better yet for Kershaw, his team has scored 33 runs in those four games (8.3 runs per game), and he has received at least six runs of support in each start. Kershaw is 37-0 in his career when receiving at least six runs of support in 41 such starts.
What happens if he gets it?
Kershaw would be the eighth pitcher whose career started after 1980 to win 100 games before turning 28.
Kershaw has gone 99-51 in his career for a .660 win percentage. Among pitchers with 200 starts in the live-ball era, only Whitey Ford, Pedro Martinez, Lefty Grove and Vic Raschi have a better win percentage.