Stats & Info: Derrick Rose

It's Wall, Wizards vs Rose, Bulls

January, 14, 2015
Jan 14

Geoff Burke/USA TodayJohn Wall has nine 20-point, 10-assist games, two more than any other player player in the NBA.
Whenever the Washington Wizards play the Chicago Bulls, a noteworthy matchup involves John Wall against Derrick Rose. The teams play Wednesday in Chicago (8 PM, ESPN), five days after the Wizards beat the Bulls 102-86 in Washington.

That was Wall’s first win in six head-to-head meetings against Rose. Wall scored 16 points and dished out 12 assists. Rose totaled 19 points but had more turnovers (four) than assists (two).

Wall’s improvement
Wall leads the NBA in assists per game with a career-high 10.2. He is the league leader in total steals and has 21 double-doubles, two shy of NBA leader Nikola Vucevic. Wall’s nine 20-point, 10-assist games lead the league; next closest is Stephen Curry (seven).

Wall is shooting a career-high 45.9 percent from the field, partly because he has improved on shots from 10 to 18 feet. He is making a career-best 42.9 percent of his shots from that range this season. Wall's career average is 36.2 percent.

Wednesday’s game is a rematch of a first-round playoff series from last season, which the Wizards won in five games.

Rose’s shooting suffers
Rose has played in 23 of the Bulls' last 26 games after missing eight of the team’s first 13 games with injuries. The Bulls are 19-9 with Rose this season and 7-4 without him.

Rose is shooting 40 percent from the field – and a lot of that has to do with him settling on outside shots. Only 44 percent of Rose’s shots have come in the paint this season. That number was 49 percent for his career entering this season.

When Rose has not been efficient shooting from outside the paint. He shoots 29 percent outside the paint compared with 54 percent in the paint.

A career-high 32 percent of Rose’s shots this season have come from 3-point range. He is shooting 25 percent on 3-pointers, Rose's lowest percentage since his rookie season.

In his last two games, though, Rose is averaging 18.5 points on 47 percent shooting (16-of-34). Other than 3-pointers, Rose was 14-of-22 (64 percent) in those games.

Gasol keeping up his pace
Pau Gasol, in his first season with the Bulls, isn’t showing signs of slowing down at the age of 34. He is averaging 37.0 points and 16.0 rebounds in his last two games.

In Saturday’s win over the Bucks, Gasol scored a career-high 46 points to go with 18 rebounds. He became the first Bulls player to record at least 46 points and 18 rebounds since Michael Jordan had 69 points and 18 rebounds in a 117-113 overtime victory at Cleveland on March 28, 1990. That was the most points Jordan scored in any game of his NBA career – regular season or postseason.

Gasol’s average of 19.0 points is his most in a season since 2006-07. He’s on pace to set career marks in rebounds (11.4) and blocks (2.2) per game, and he ranks sixth and fourth in the league in those categories. His 21 double-doubles are tied for the second-most in the NBA this season.

Butler’s emergence
Jimmy Butler ranks 15th in the league in scoring. He has increased his average by 7.8 points compared with last season.

Scoring isn’t the only category he’s improved in. Butler is averaging 6.2 rebounds this season compared with 4.9 last season, and his PER is 21.3 this season compared with 13.6 last season.

Analytics notes
Each team ranks in the top 10 of the league in defensive efficiency, but the defenses excel in different ways. The Wizards create a higher than average number of turnovers and rebound on defense better than average. The Bulls force opponents into inefficient, mid-range shots at a high rate and give opponents fewer than average free throws.

The Bulls’ offense is fueled by free throws. When their free throw attempt rate is greater than 20 percent, they win 75 percent of the time – and 53 percent of the time when they are below that.

With the Wizards playing on the road in the second of a back-to-back, ESPN’s Basketball Power Index gives the Bulls a 72 percent chance to win.

Quick hitters
• After ranking 30th in scoring average and tying for 27th in offensive efficiency last season, the Bulls are 12th in scoring and 9th in offensive efficiency this season.
• The Bulls have a better road record (14-5) than home record (12-8).
• After Wednesday’s game, the teams meet one more time this season, March 3 in Chicago.

What Rose means to the Bulls

November, 23, 2013

Chris Humphreys/USA TODAY SportsDerrick Rose (right) had been having one of the worst years of his career. And now, after only 10 games, his comeback season might be over.

Bulls point guard and 2010-11 NBA MVP Derrick Rose is out indefinitely after tearing the medial meniscus in his right knee. He missed all of last season after tearing the ACL in his other knee.

Before the injury, the Las Vegas Hotel SuperBook had the Bulls with 6-1 odds to win the NBA Championship, tied with the Pacers for third-most likely to hoist the Larry O’Brien Trophy at the end of the year. Only the Heat and Thunder were higher favorites. With the news of the injury, the odds have dropped to 15-1.

Rose is clearly one of the most important players in the NBA to his team’s chances. Let’s take a closer look at why.

Bulls without Rose

The Bulls change from an above-average team to an elite team with Derrick Rose on the court. In the last three seasons, Chicago is 37-13 with Derrick Rose active (.740 win percentage). When Rose is out, the Bulls are 64-46 (.582 win percentage).

Chicago does not have a suitable replacement for Rose, as he’s outscored his replacements at starting point guard by 10.4 PPG over the last 3 seasons.

Importance to Bulls Offense

The Bulls rely on Rose to make plays. Usage percentage measures the percent of team plays that end with either a turnover, field goal attempt or a free throw attempt by a particular player. Only two guards have a higher usage percentage than Rose’s 29.4 percent rate this season – Russell Westbrook (33.1) and Kyrie Irving (32.1).

Clutch time is defined as the last 5 minutes of the fourth quarter or overtime with the score within five points. Rose leads the Bulls in points, assists, field goal attempts and points in the paint over his last two healthy seasons (2011-12 and 2013-14).

Rose’s Struggles This Season

It has not been a banner season Rose, which makes sense considering he was out all of last year. Rose is currently on pace to average career lows in points per game, assists per game, field goal percentage and minutes per game.

Rose's field goal percentage inside 10 feet is well below his career average. He's shooting 42 percent from that distance while averaging about the same number of field goal attempts as his 4 previous seasons.

Recent Injuries

Rose played in 81 of 82 games in his MVP year (2010-11). Unfortunately, missing games due to injury is becoming something of a trend since then. He missed 27 regular season games because of toe, back, groin and ankle injuries in 2011-12. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, that is second-most games missed by a reigning MVP in NBA history. Then he tore his ACL in the playoffs and missed all of last season as a result.

With Rose out indefinitely, the Bulls have some tough decisions to make regarding this season.

Can Bulls quiet ultra-efficient Kevin Durant?

February, 23, 2013

Getty Images Kevin Durant (left) has enjoyed an extremely efficient season, once again leading the NBA in scoring. Meanwhile, the Bulls have missed injured star Derrick Rose (right) at both ends of the floor.
The Thunder host the Bulls tomorrow night on ESPN. Here's what you need to know about this matchup of playoff probables:

Miguel Cabrera
Three-time defending scoring champion Kevin Durant is having an outstanding season on offense, even by his own lofty standards. He's again leading the league with 28.9 PPG, but he’s only attempting 18.0 field goals per game.

Charles Barkley (1987-88) is the only player in NBA history to average at least 28 points while attempting 18.0 or fewer shots per game.

Durant is also posting career highs in field-goal percentage (51.6), three-point percentage (42.6) and free-throw percentage (90.8).

If Durant continues this pace, he would become just the second player in NBA history (Larry Bird in the 1986-87 and 1987-88 seasons) to average at least 28 points, shoot at least 50 percent from the field, at least 40 percent from three-point range and at least 90 percent from the free-throw line.

On the Bulls' sideline, the impact of Derrick Rose's absence has been obvious at both ends of the court.

Rose took home MVP honors in 2010-11, becoming just the sixth point guard in NBA history to win the award, and even when he missed time, the Bulls managed to survive, posting an 18-9 record (.667 win pct) with Rose out of the lineup.

This season, however, Chicago has seen its win percentage dip to .582.

With Rose on the court last season, the Bulls averaged 107.6 points per 100 possessions (only one team had a higher rating last season). This season, the Bulls are averaging 100.1 in that category (24th in the NBA).

Filling Rose's position has been a struggle, with Bulls point guards averaging only 8.7 PPG. Last season, Rose averaged 21.8 PPG.

The Bulls may be on the road Sunday night, but that's where they've been at their best this season. They're 17-10 on the road so far, and they're the only team in the NBA with a better record on the road than at home.

In fact, if the winning ways continue for the Bulls and they reach the postseason, they would be just the fifth playoff team since 2000 with a better record away than at home.

The Bulls come off a big win over the Bobcats, when they committed just six turnovers (their fewest in a game this season), but they'll be visiting a Thunder team that is outscoring opponents by a league-best 8.7 points per game this season.

Bobcats fighting odds in Lottery

May, 28, 2012
The NBA Draft Lottery Wednesday (ESPN, 8 ET) sees the Charlotte Bobcats with the best odds at acquiring the top selection (25.0 percent) after finishing 7-59 on the season. But the worst record hardly secures the top pick, as just last year the Cleveland Cavaliers won the Draft Lottery with only a 2.8 percent chance.

In addition, since the lottery moved to its present format in 1994, the team with (or tied for) the best odds has won just three of the 18 lotteries: Philadelphia 76ers in 1996 (Allen Iverson), Cavaliers in 2003 (LeBron James) and Orlando Magic in 2004 (Dwight Howard). By comparison, the teams with the third and fifth-best odds have won four times.

It is new territory for the Bobcats franchise. Since joining the NBA in 2004, Charlotte has never held the No. 1 overall pick, and the Bobcats highest selection was in 2004 when they picked Emeka Okafor No. 2 overall (Bobcats originally had the No. 4 pick, but traded with the Los Angeles Clippers).

Ten current franchises have never made the No. 1 overall pick in an NBA Draft since 1966 (start of common draft), and along with Charlotte, the Phoenix Suns (0.6 percent chance) are the only other team in the 2012 Lottery.

The Houston Rockets, meanwhile, have a 0.5 percent chance of winning the Lottery, the third straight year they have held the worst odds. In addition, this is the third straight and fifth time in the last 12 years the Rockets have missed the playoffs despite having a winning record.

Looking ahead, since the start of the Lottery in 1985, 13 of the 27 No. 1 overall picks have gone on to win the NBA Rookie of the Year Award, including 2011 No. 1 overall pick Kyrie Irving. In addition, since 1990, four overall No. 1 picks went on to win the Rookie of the Year award and make the postseason (Derrick Rose, Tim Duncan, Chris Webber and David Robinson).
Stats & Info insights into this morning's top sports stories.

Derrick Rose
1. BULLS LOSE A LOT IN WIN: The NBA Playoffs began on Saturday with four games. The Chicago Bulls defeated the Philadelphia 76ers, 103-91. The win came at a heavy price. Derrick Rose suffered a torn ACL late in the fourth quarter and will miss the rest of the playoffs. The Bulls went 18-9 in the 27 regular-season games which Rose missed in 2011-12.

2. JAMES AND HEAT HAND KNICKS ANOTHER POSTSEASON LOSS: The Miami Heat defeated the New York Knicks, 100-67. LeBron James scored 23 of his 32 points in the first half to hand the Knicks their 11th consecutive playoff defeat. The NBA record for most consecutive playoff losses belongs to the Memphis Grizzlies, who lost 12 straight from 2004 to 2006.

3. DURANT CLUTCH AGAIN: The Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 99-98. Kevin Durant hit the game-winning jumper with 1.5 seconds left in regulation. It is his fourth game-winning field goal in the final five seconds in the last two seasons (playoffs included). That is most by any player in the NBA.

4. NFL DRAFT IS OVER: The 2012 NFL Draft concluded on Saturday. 42 players were drafted from SEC schools, one more than the Big Ten for most the draft picks by conference. It’s the sixth straight year the SEC has had the most selections.

5. KEMP HITS HEROIC HOMER: Matt Kemp hit a walk-off home run to give the Los Angeles Dodgers a 4-3 win over the Washington Nationals in 10 innings. It’s Kemp’s 11th home run this month, setting a Dodgers record for most in April. The game also featured the MLB debut of Bryce Harper. He went 1-3, with a double and RBI. Harper is the fourth teenager with an extra-base hit in his MLB debut since 1969.

6. BUSCH TAKES RICHMOND: Kyle Busch won the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race at Richmond. Dale Earnhardt Jr. finished second. It’s his seventh runner-up finish since his last Cup Series win on June 15, 2008 at Michigan. Earnhardt Jr.’s winless streak now stands at 138 races.
Stats & Info insights into this morning's top sports stories

1. FORGET REGULATION: The Phoenix Coyotes and Chicago Blackhawks have offered extra playoff hockey every time they’ve met this series. FROM ELIAS: It’s just the second playoff series in NHL history where each of the first four games went to OT. That also means history for the Blackhawks – they’ve now gone to overtime in six straight playoff games dating back to last season, an NHL record.

Dwight Howard
2. HOWARD OUT: Dwight Howard will miss the rest of the season, the playoffs and the Olympics this summer as he plans to undergo back surgery. Howard had been incredibly durable over the course of his career, but this year is the exception. He’s already missed eight games this season, one more than he missed in his first seven seasons combined. In his first four seasons, he didn’t miss a game.

3. HEAT CATCH FIRE: The Chicago Bulls were once against without Derrick Rose, and the Miami Heat took advantage with an 11-point win. The win pulled the Heat to within just a game and a half of the Bulls for the top spot in the East. And that could be crucial since all four meetings this season between the teams were won by the home team. As for the Bulls, they’re 17-9 without Rose this season. But against teams .500 or better, they are just 3-4 with three of those losses coming by double figures.

Curtis Granderson
4. THE GRANDY MAN CAN: Curtis Granderson accomplished something that had never been done in New York Yankees history. He had five hits including three home runs. Granderson just missed joining an elite club – Lou Gehrig is the only player to hit four home runs in a game with the Yankees.

5. TROUBLE IN THE WINDY CITY: Blustery times in the Windy City. The Blackhawks loss puts them on the brink of elimination from the playoffs. The Bulls lost to the Heat, failed to clinch the East’s top seed and saw their lead for the top spot shrink to a game and a half. The Cubs and White Sox both lost on Thursday, making Chicago’s baseball teams a combined 9-16 this season.
Stats & Info insights into this morning's top sports stories

C.J. Watson
1. WATSON LEADS BULLS: The Chicago Bulls defeated the Miami Heat, 96-86 in overtime. FROM ELIAS: Derrick Rose played 25 minutes and 28 seconds, during which the Bulls were outscored, 59 to 32. But in the 27 minutes and 17 seconds with C.J. Watson on the court, the Bulls outscored Miami, 64-26.

2. OVERTIME HOCKEY: FROM ELIAS: The Boston Bruins, San Jose Sharks and Phoenix Coyotes all won in overtime. It marked the first time since April 18, 2001 that three NHL playoff games went into overtime on the same day.

3. BRUINS DO IT AGAIN: FROM ELIAS: The Bruins' victory against the Washington Capitals marked only the eighth time in NHL playoff history that a team posted a 1-0 overtime win in the first game of a playoff series. It was the second such win by the Bruins, who posted a 1-0 double-overtime victory in Game 1 of a best-of-five series against the Maple Leafs in 1935.

4. WHAT A RELIEF: FROM ELIAS: The Detroit Tigers improved their record to 5-1 with a victory against the Tampa Bay Rays. Reliever Collin Balester was the winning pitcher. The Tigers are the first team in major-league history to win at least five of their first six games in a season without a single victory by a starting pitcher.

5. PUJOLS BACK IN BRONX: The New York Yankees host the Los Angels of Anaheim in their home opener on Friday. Angels 1B Albert Pujols is expected to play his first game in the Bronx since June 2003. In that three-game series, Pujols went 3-10 with a home run as a member of the Cardinals. The Yankees won all three games.
Carmelo Anthony scored 36 points, his career-high with the New York Knicks, however New York lost its sixth straight. The Knicks are just 1-8 since Chauncey Billups returned from injury, and 3-10 overall when he has played. However New York has won four of the six games he’s missed. Elsewhere around the NBA, the Bulls win again by dominating the fourth quarter, and Derrick Rose does something no Chicago Bulls players has done since Michael Jordan.

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