Thanks to our friends from Accuscore, based on 10,000 simulations using preseason data, there was only a one percent chance that the Bills would be 4-1 and the Eagles would have a 1-4 record.
Yet through five weeks that is exactly where we sit after the Bills held off the Eagles' late rally. Buffalo held a 31-14 lead through three quarters thanks to Fred Jackson and an opportunistic defense that forced four turnovers up to that point and would save its fifth -- and biggest turnover forced -- for the final frame.
Jackson led the Bills in rushing (111 yards) and receiving (85 yards). He's the second Bills player with 100 rush yards and 80 receiving yards in a game, joining Thurman Thomas as the only ones to do so (Thomas did it twice).
For the third straight week the Bills returned an interception for a touchdown, with Nick Barnett getting this week's score. The last team to do that was the 2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- who went on to win the Super Bowl that season. Also worth noting Buffalo had only four interception return touchdowns in the past two seasons.
However despite being outscored 36-0 in the fourth quarter of its previous three games, Philadelphia staged a comeback scoring 10 unanswered points in the fourth quarter to make it a one score game.
Most Rush Yards by QB, NFL History
Buffalo leads the NFL with 12 interceptions, four of which today came against Michael Vick. The fourth set a career-high for Vick on a day that he became the NFL's all-time rushing leader for the quarterback position, passing Randall Cunningham.
Ironically, Vick became the first Eagles QB since Cunningham in 1994 to throw four interceptions in a road game.
Three of his four interceptions came on passes within five yards of the line of scrimmage. Vick was 12-of-21 (57.1 percent) on such pass attempts. Entering Sunday, Vick had thrown just two interceptions within five yards of the line of scrimmage with the Eagles and completed 70 percent of his attempts.
Vick, now with seven interceptions, has already surpassed his total from all of last season despite playing in fewer than half of the total number of games.
His inconsistent play has left the Eagles in a tough hole to dig out of. Since the playoffs expanded to 12 teams in 1990, only five of the 100 teams to start a season 1-4 went on to make the playoffs. A 1-4 team hasn't made the playoffs since the 2004 Packers.