Stats & Info: Ronny Cedeno

Why Texas declined Guerrero's option

November, 3, 2010
11/03/10
7:42
PM ET
The Texas Rangers declined Vladimir Guerrero’s $9 million option on Wednesday, instead choosing to pay him a $1 million buyout. At face value, this might seem like a puzzling decision; after all, Guerrero is coming off a resurgent year where he provided a legitimate presence in the middle of the team’s order. In addition, $8 million (the difference between the option and the buyout) is not pricey for someone coming off a season where he hit .300 with 29 HR and 115 RBI. So, why did they decline?

The most likely explanation is that, despite his overall productive season, Guerrero declined noticeably in the second half, a decline that continued into the postseason. From April through June, Guerrero hit .339/.383/.580 with a home run every 15.7 at-bats – in other words, vintage Guerrero. However, from July through the end of the regular season, he hit a pedestrian .265/.310/.419 with a home run every 28.2 at-bats.

The decline continued into the postseason and, in fact, became even more pronounced. In 59 postseason at-bats, Guerrero hit .220/.242/.271 with three total extra-base hits. In other words, from the beginning of July through the end of the postseason, Guerrero produced the following line: .257/.299/.396 (for reference, Pirates shortstop Ronny Cedeno hit .256/.293/.382). He grounded into more double plays (14) than he hit home runs (11).

According to Fangraphs.com, Guerrero was worth approximately $10.3 million in 2010 overall. Thus, in order to be worth his option, he’d have to roughly duplicate his 2010 production. Given that he either provides no defense when at DH or well below average defense when in the field, his ability to earn his contract comes down to offense. Here's something to consider – since 2005, exactly one player age 36 or older has hit .300 with 25 home runs and 100 RBI. That player? Manny Ramirez in 2008, the season he split between the Red Sox and Dodgers. In other words? The Rangers are probably wise to not count on it from Guerrero.

1st Pitch: Quick hits from around the majors

July, 20, 2010
7/20/10
3:30
PM ET
Today’s Trivia: Alex Rodriguez is two home runs shy of becoming the seventh player in baseball history with 600 career HR. Who has the second-most HR among players with the first name Alex?

Quick Hits: A quick look at some newsworthy hits from around baseball:

From the Houston Chronicle: Jason Castro's three-run blast in the third inning was the first home run of three or more runs by a catcher since Brad Ausmus hit a grand slam Aug. 5, 2006 at Arizona.

From the Boston Herald: Since he blew back-to-back saves June 23-24 in Colorado, Jonathan Papelbon has pitched 7 1/3 consecutive scoreless innings and gone five-for-five in save opportunities. Dating to last season, he has converted 34-of-37 save chances.

From ESPNChicago.com: Alex Rios hit his 100th career home run Monday, a two-run shot in the fifth inning against the Seattle Mariners. After just five games it has already been a milestone second half for Rios. He connected on his 1,000th career hit Thursday at Minnesota.

From the Detroit News: Armando Galarraga is 1-1 with a 5.61 ERA in six starts since the Jim Joyce game, but the Tigers are 5-1 in those starts. Just back from Toledo, this will be just his second start for the Tigers since June 29.

From the St. Louis Post-Dispatch: Albert Pujols had his 100th double at Busch Stadium III, which now gives him more doubles at two of the ballparks the Cardinals have called home than Hall of Famer Stan Musial.

From the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review: Ronny Cedeno has been torrid the past five games since the Pirates ended his platoon at shortstop with Bobby Crosby. In that span, Cedeno is 11 for 18 with six extra-base hits, five runs scored and two RBI.

From the South Florida Sun-Sentinel: Hanley Ramirez's bunt single during the Marlins' three-run third off Ubaldo Jimenez produced his first RBI since July 5, only his second this month. At his current pace, Ramirez would finish with 95, 11 fewer than last year.

From the Philadelphia Daily News: On May 21, against the Red Sox at Citizens Bank Park, Jayson Werth went 2-for-4 with a homer, a couple of runs scored and a pair of RBI in a win over the Red Sox. The Phillies' rightfielder was hitting .329 with nine home runs and 33 runs batted in. The Phils were 11 games over .500 at 26-15. Since then, Werth is .236-4-17 in his 48 games with 55 strikeouts. And the Phillies are 22-29 in that span.

Today’s Leaderboard: Brandon Inge broke his hand in Monday's loss to the Rangers and he's expected to miss four to six weeks. Inge has been one of the most durable players at his position over the last two seasons. According to the Elias Sports Bureau, he has started 241 games at third base since 2009, tying Evan Longoria for the highest total in the major leagues.


Key Matchup: Something has to give tonight in Los Angeles when the Giants and Dodgers face off. Giants ace Tim Lincecum is holding righthanded batters to a .202 batting average, tied for fourth-lowest in the majors. On the other hand, the Dodgers are hitting .271 against righthanded hurlers, sixth-best average in baseball.

Trivia Answer: Former major leaguer Alex Gonzalez (who played with Toronto, the Chicago Cubs, Tampa Bay, Montreal and Philadelphia) hit 137 career HR in 13 seasons. As a side note, Jackie Robinson finished his career with 137 home runs.

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