Yadier Molina and Brandon PhillipsUSA TODAY SportsYadier Molina is out at least 8-12 weeks. Brandon Phillips will miss at least six weeks.

Yadier Molina, C, St. Louis Cardinals (right thumb): This year we have seen numerous thumb injuries during slides, the bulk of them coming when leading with the head and the hands. In Molina’s case, the slide was feet first and he appeared to be using his hand to help control his approach to third base. His pain was apparent right away and the tough-as-they-come Molina was forced to leave Wednesday’s game in the third inning.

On Thursday, the Cardinals delivered the bad news that this would be more than just a two-week rest-and-recovery absence. Molina is scheduled for surgery Friday to repair the ligament, and the team has issued a timetable of eight to 12 weeks for his return. There is variability in the recovery time for these injuries, but as catcher, Molina has to throw repeatedly with this hand, including hard defensive throws, potentially lengthening the time for him to return to play. He is also potentially at risk for more contact than most. From a hitting perspective, the good news is the injury is to Molina’s top hand, making restoration of his natural grip of the bat somewhat easier. While it’s certainly possible he could emerge on the short end of the timetable, the Cardinals have to prepare for the possibility that Molina may not be available before their regular season fate is sealed.

Brandon Phillips, 2B, Cincinnati Reds (left thumb): If it’s not sliding into a base, it’s the diving defensive play that puts the vulnerable thumb at risk. It happened to Los Angeles Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez last year when he suffered a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his right thumb while diving for a ground ball in the World Baseball Classic.

On Wednesday, it happened to the Reds second baseman while making a diving catch in the eighth inning. Phillips was seen wearing a splint on his left thumb after the game, and on Thursday the team announced he would be undergoing surgery. It’s fair to broadly estimate an absence similar to those who have undergone similar procedures. The Reds have indicated a projection of six weeks, which in reality could range from just short of six weeks (like Ramirez) to eight weeks (like Washington Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper). In short, the Reds should expect to be without Phillips’ services until late August or early September. Phillips has not been on the DL in the past five seasons, so his absence for any length of time is a jolt to the Reds' lineup.

In the same game, Reds outfielder Billy Hamilton left early with hamstring tightness. Hamilton, who acknowledged the muscle had been bothering him for a few days before it tightened up Wednesday, anticipates missing a few games, but the All-Star break could work in his favor. With the four “free” days allotted by the break, Hamilton could avoid a DL stint.

Homer Bailey, SP, Cincinnati Reds (right knee): The Reds do seem to be taking their injury lumps all in the span of a few days, adding a pitcher to the mix in Bailey. While the team can take some comfort in the fact that he is not dealing with an injury to his throwing arm, the point remains that he could not complete his Thursday outing. Bailey had discomfort in his left knee while trying to pitch to Starlin Castro in the sixth inning, with the team calling it a strain of his patellar tendon, the broad, flat tendon that anchors the quadriceps muscle below the knee. For now, the Reds say Bailey will make his next start, but even so there will be some concern until he successfully completes that outing.

The American Orthopedic Society of Sports Medicine (AOSSM) picked an inopportune time to gather for its annual meeting. Or so it would seem for those who depend on the nation’s elite orthopedists for their services, given the rash of baseball injuries since the conference started Wednesday in Seattle. The AOSSM meeting is the annual congregation of sports medicine practitioners who come together to share their research and clinical perspectives in the interest of advancing the field. With all the injury news of the past 48 hours, some of them may be commiserating over what awaits them when they return.

Masahiro Tanaka, SP, New York Yankees (elbow): So what does a baseball player do when his team physician is attending the conference? He travels to him, of course. At least that’s what Tanaka did, traversing the country for a visit with Yankees team doctor Chris Ahmad. One could even make the case that Tanaka, who has been placed on the DL with a partial tear of his ulnar collateral ligament, benefited from the timing of the conference. With all the experts gathered in one location, Tanaka could seek multiple opinions without making another trip.

[+] EnlargeMasahiro Tanaka
AP Photo/Ted S. WarrenMasahiro Tanaka's workload over the years in Japan may have caught up with him.

And now the plan for Tanaka has been shared with all of us. Yankees general manager Brian Cashman told reporters Thursday that Tanaka will receive a PRP (platelet-rich-plasma) injection and undergo a rehab process in the hopes that he will be able to return in approximately six weeks. Cashman did note that if the conservative treatment fails, Tanaka could be a candidate for Tommy John surgery.

The rehab course is not unusual as an initial intervention. After all, if it is successful, Tanaka will have avoided an invasive surgery and a 12-18 month recovery process. Considering the calendar, there is nothing to lose. If Tanaka were to have surgery immediately, there is no guarantee that he would be able to pitch in 2015, so why not opt for a conservative measure that might be sufficient to allow him to resume? It is true, however, that many pitchers still have lingering issues following the injection and rehab effort, thus leading them to eventual surgery. In those cases, they at least have the peace of mind of knowing that surgery was not just an option, but the option.

Although Tanaka did not complain of elbow soreness prior to his last outing, there were signs that things were not right for him of late, most notably his yielding nine runs in his past two starts. What was not known was whether an injury was responsible for his decline or whether he was contending with adjustments to the American system. Perhaps it is a little of both. Elbow injuries are rarely single-episode events. More often they are the result of cumulative wear and tear, ultimately leading to failure.

Despite his young age of 25, Tanaka has accumulated a large workload. Among all active MLB pitchers, Tanaka ranks fourth overall in total innings pitched through their age-25 season (which includes minor leagues and Japan). Given the young age by which Tanaka had acquired so much mileage on his arm, a fair portion of work presumably occurred when his throwing arm was still adapting to the stress of pitching. Research is beginning to connect the dots between early workload as a youth pitcher and elbow ligament failure. Sports Illustrated’s Tom Verducci outlined the potential risks associated with Tanaka based on his youth workload, portending future complications.

Coincidentally enough, at the very AOSSM meeting where Tanaka is traveling for evaluation, a paper was presented Thursday reporting 60 percent of MLB pitchers who have undergone Tommy John surgery did so within their first five years in the league. This would hint at earlier and more strenuous workloads resulting in earlier ligament failure in professional pitchers than what was seen even a decade ago.

There’s no denying that Tanaka is now pitching under different conditions. Four days' rest is the average for American starting pitchers, whereas Tanaka came from a system that afforded him six or seven days off between starts. As ESPN.com’s Wallace Matthews notes, the Yankees did give Tanaka an extra day off every other start as a means of helping him physically adapt to the new regimen.

The test will come when Tanaka resumes a throwing program. Will the soreness be gone? Can he effectively locate his pitches? Will he maintain his velocity? And we all know what the next step will be if the answer to those questions is no.

Carlos Beltran, New York Yankees (head): Tanaka isn’t the only Yankee to suffer an injury this week. Beltran was hit by a tipped ball during batting practice, resulting in a concussion and a broken nose. The concussion allowed the Yankees to place Beltran on the seven-day DL, and he will gain up to four additional days because of the All-Star break. Manager Joe Girardi said he did not anticipate surgery for Beltran but he was scheduled for further evaluation. The rest can only help the inflammation in his other joints, namely his knee and elbow.

Even if no facial surgery is in order, Beltran will have to pass all concussion tests in order to receive clearance to return, something the Yankees hope will happen when the team returns to action Friday following the All-Star break.

videoStephania Bell and Eric Karabell discuss Joey Votto's latest injury and how long he'll be out of action.
videoStephania Bell and Eric Karabell discuss Carlos Gonzalez's situation and what to expect from his upcoming return to action.

Injury update: Matt Wieters

June, 17, 2014
Jun 17
9:20
AM ET
On Monday, the Baltimore Orioles announced that starting catcher Matt Wieters is scheduled to undergo ulnar collateral ligament (UCL) reconstruction on his right elbow Tuesday afternoon. The team projects Wieters’ recovery timetable from Tommy John surgery at nine months, suggesting he should be ready to participate in spring training.

[+] EnlargeMatt Wieters
Jim McIsaac/Getty ImagesOne recovery estimate has Matt Wieters being ready to participate in spring training in 2015.
The announcement was fairly anticlimactic. Many in the Orioles organization seemed to be bracing for this news in recent days, as Wieters had experienced persistent discomfort despite spending time on the disabled list. When Wieters initially complained of elbow pain, he was sent for a consultation with Dr. James Andrews. An injection followed by rest and rehabilitation was Andrews' plan for Wieters, with a gradual resumption of light throwing. The problem was that the pain was not disappearing despite Wieters’ ability to throw somewhat effectively.

With an eye on the calendar, Wieters returned to Dr. Andrews for a follow-up consultation, anticipating the possibility of surgery. Now that the decision to operate has been made, Wieters can put all the external questions to rest and can focus on his recovery for next season.

Only 17 percent of current major league players who have undergone UCL reconstruction are not pitchers, although the Tommy John procedures performed thus far in 2014 have largely been done on pitchers. The Twins saw their star prospect, infielder Miguel Sano, opt to undergo surgery in March after conservative treatment failed. Wieters is the most prominent non-pitcher in the major leagues to elect to have the procedure so far this year.

The recovery time for non-pitchers (eight to 12 months) averages about four months less than for pitchers (12 to 16 months). As a catcher, Wieters has unique demands on his throwing arm in terms of frequency (after virtually every pitch in a game) and mechanics (throwing hard when out of position or off-balance to make a defensive play). Unleashing on defensive throws is typically the most challenging aspect of rehab of this type for a position player.

On a positive note, hitting can begin around 16 weeks if all progresses well. With that timetable in mind, Wieters should get plenty of at-bats in during the spring to build confidence for the 2015 season. Hopefully his throwing will follow suit.

Injury update: Adam Wainwright

June, 13, 2014
Jun 13
11:09
AM ET
The St. Louis Cardinals have to be relieved to learn that Adam Wainwright's elbow soreness is not due to injury to his recently reconstructed ulnar collateral ligament. Now the question is just how problematic the current elbow condition will be for their ace.

Wainwright underwent Tommy John surgery in 2011 and has been stellar since his return; his performance has been easy for all to see. His commitment to returning to peak performance and to maintaining the health of the support structures for his newly reconstructed elbow, while not as outwardly visible, may be equally, if not more, important.

[+] EnlargeAdam Wainwright
Denny Medley/USA TODAY SportsAdam Wainwright is tied for the NL lead with nine wins, and he is second in the senior circuit with 100 1/3 innings pitched.
For instance, during spring training prior to his 2013 season, Wainwright told me he was aware that many pitchers who underwent Tommy John surgery subsequently experienced shoulder problems. He was determined to do everything possible to avoid becoming one of those statistics, so even after he was deemed “healthy” upon returning to pitch, he maintained a series of rotator cuff strengthening and flexibility exercises to ensure he would stay that way. Despite his outstanding 2013 campaign, Wainwright wasn’t satisfied that he had achieved his maximum point of return following his elbow ligament reconstruction. During spring training prior to this season, he told me that while he was pleased with what he was able to do last year, he was working on improving his ball movement toward the right side of the plate. And, yes, he was keeping up with a regimen to ensure that his shoulder, core, legs and everything else supporting his throwing elbow remained healthy.

But alas, no matter what efforts a pitcher makes to protect his throwing arm, there is still the fact that he throws overhead repeatedly for a living, placing abnormal stresses on the upper extremity. And Wainwright’s success may actually have translated to extra throwing stress on the arm. Beyond his pitching effectiveness post-TJ surgery, Wainwright demonstrated his endurance, going not only deep into games but deep into the postseason, accumulating more than 275 innings in 2013 in the process. This season, he has been the Cardinals’ most reliable pitcher when it comes to maximizing his innings per outing, simultaneously outpacing the rest of the National League in wins. We are now learning that in recent weeks his elbow has not felt completely comfortable, yet remarkably, he has continued his success on the mound, even this past Tuesday with seven scoreless innings. Wainwright later told reporters he was pitching with “average stuff” and manager Mike Matheny saw enough of a dip in his performance, albeit a subtle one, to remove him from the game.

Wainwright returned to St. Louis on Wednesday to undergo further examination from the Cardinals’ team physician and an MRI, which thankfully showed no structural damage to his surgically reconstructed ligament. According to general manager John Mozeliak, Wainwright is dealing with a “tennis elbow”-like condition. The big clue that this is not related to Wainwright’s recently reconstructed ligament is that tennis elbow, or lateral epicondylitis, refers to inflammation or irritation on the outer aspect of the elbow, not the inner side where the ulnar collateral ligament is. The extensor tendons -- those that extend the wrist and are important for grip control -- attach at the lateral epicondyle (located on the arm bone, just above the elbow joint). For a pitcher, the condition is often associated with the fingertip grip and/or control of the wrist and elbow on ball release during particular pitches.

The good news is that the condition should respond to conservative treatment, particularly if it is being addressed in the early phase. Wainwright has already received an injection and can surely be counted on to carry out the prescribed regimen of stretching and strengthening. Still, this may mean a skipped or delayed start or two in the interest of preserving him for the long haul. Although no one from the Cardinals, including Wainwright, has spoken of it, it could mean the All-Star pitcher would pass on an All-Star appearance, should he be selected.

After all, as Mozeliak told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch, “We want to be extra cognizant of what he needs to stay in the rotation and be healthy from here. We are going to be cautious with this."
When the Colorado Rockies' Michael Cuddyer jammed his left shoulder last week diving for a ball, it sounded as if the soreness might cause him to miss a few days. That soreness turned out to be due to a fracture of the glenoid, the “socket” side of the ball and socket shoulder joint. As Cuddyer told the Denver Post, “It’s a fracture like any other fracture, so they are telling me that it’s at least six to eight weeks to heal. That’s where we are.”

The glenoid is the hemispherical-shaped end of the scapula, or shoulder blade, which accommodates the ball-shaped end of the humerus or arm bone. A fracture of the glenoid is usually the result of a traumatic injury. In sports, that trauma is often due to diving and landing on the shoulder, as was the case with Cuddyer, who was attempting a diving play at third base when he suffered the injury.

The severity of the injury depends on the location of the fracture within the joint and whether or not the fracture is displaced. Cuddyer’s fracture was reported as non-displaced, meaning the bone remained in alignment, despite the presence of a crack. A significantly displaced fracture would have required surgical intervention to restore normal alignment and help ensure healing. The location of Cuddyer’s fracture within the glenoid has not been made public, but there are typically two primary areas where a break happens. One is on the outer margin, or rim, and the other is deep in the socket, or fossa. No matter where the location of the fracture, the best news in Cuddyer’s case is that it does not appear he will need surgery, eliminating other potential complications. The most challenging aspect for Cuddyer will be regaining range of motion and strength in the arm, sufficient enough to be effective at the plate. Late July or early August will likely be his soonest return date.

In the meantime, the Rockies await news on the outcome of exploratory surgery for outfielder Carlos Gonzalez and his ailing left index finger. Tuesday’s surgery with Dr. Thomas Graham, noted hand specialist of the Cleveland Clinic, should hopefully help clarify the nature of what has been bothering Gonzalez and offer a timetable for his return.

Addendum: Exploratory surgery turned out to be explanatory surgery for Gonzalez. Dr. Graham discovered a small tumor, a giant cell tumor, on the outfielder’s index finger that explains the chronic irritation and swelling he was experiencing. These tumors are commonly found in the tendon sheaths of the hands and feet A biopsy will confirm whether the tumor is benign (such tumors typically are). Presuming there are no surprises, Gonzalez is expected to require several weeks to recover, first to allow the soft tissue surrounding the tumor site to heal, then to regain his grip strength and ability to swing the bat.

A finger injury also has Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado out for multiple weeks. Arenado fractured the tip of his left middle finger (oh, those nasty headfirst slides) in late May. While surgery was not required, there is still the matter of the bone healing completely, followed by rehab to the point of being game ready. The Rockies will monitor the bone healing progression and increase his activity accordingly so a timeline remains fluid but he should not be expected back before early July.

Video: Injury update on Carlos Gonzalez

June, 4, 2014
Jun 4
3:33
PM ET
Stephania Bell discusses Carlos Gonzalez's latest finger injury and how much time he could miss.
Stephania Bell explains what valgus stress overload is and when to expect Yordano Ventura back.
ESPN injury analyst Stephania Bell discusses the Matt Cain's hamstring injury.

Injury update: Joey Votto

May, 22, 2014
May 22
5:11
PM ET
VottoAP Photo/Al BehrmanWill Reds 1B Joey Votto be back after the minimum DL stint? Maybe not.
After a period of wait-and-see (which may have been just as much about waiting to see if outfielder Jay Bruce was ready to return from his knee injury) the Cincinnati Reds made the move to slide first baseman Joey Votto over to the disabled list. Although the team initially appeared hopeful that Votto would be able to return within a few days, his DL stint was able to be backdated to May 15, meaning he could return in another week. But will he?

Not necessarily.

When the news of Votto having an ailing left knee first surfaced, there were immediate concerns that this injury was related to his meniscus injury of 2012. Two years ago, Votto tore his medial meniscus on a slide into third base, and struggled initially with his recovery from surgery. A second procedure was ultimately required, and it was a near two-month absence before Votto was able to return to the lineup. When Votto’s knee became an issue this year, it was natural to wonder whether there had been a subsequent meniscus injury, or some other joint-related issue. It turns out the injury is reported as a distal quad strain, or a strain of the quadriceps muscle (the large muscle on the front of the thigh) in the distal (far) portion. In other words, the involved area of the muscle (or even where the muscle and tendon meet) is the area closest to the knee.

It’s easy to see why this may have been initially described as a knee injury, but there is a significant difference between a soft tissue injury of a structure around the knee versus an articular (joint) problem inside the knee. If it were another joint problem for Votto it would raise some flags about the health of the inner workings of the knee joint, and perhaps indicate concern of associated degenerative changes. While a quad strain is not something to be dismissed, it has a better chance of complete resolution and, on the surface, is less serious.

The decision to place him on the DL is still a wise one given Votto’s knee history. Attempting to push or play through a quad strain could ultimately prove problematic, not only because it could extend his overall recovery time but also because it could create other problems for the knee. Now that Votto has been placed on the DL, it would not be surprising if he actually requires a few extra days before he returns. After all, the history with his knee warrants the caution. As Reds manager Bryan Price told reporters last week, “I want him to play confidently on that knee and that leg for the rest of the season and the rest of his career going forward.”

Thankfully for the Reds, Bruce’s rehabilitation following meniscus surgery in his left knee was smooth sailing. Jogging just a week after the operation, even commenting how good his knee felt, Bruce beat out a three- to four-week projected timetable to return after the minimum DL stay.

Injury update: Jose Abreu

May, 19, 2014
May 19
1:37
PM ET
The Chicago White Sox placed Jose Abreu on the disabled list Sunday due to posterior tibial tendinitis in his left ankle. On Saturday, Abreu was limping noticeably during an early at-bat and was replaced in the seventh inning by Paul Konerko.

Abreu leads the league in home runs (15) and is second in RBIs with 42 (one behind Miami Marlins slugger Giancarlo Stanton), making his loss -- even if for a short while -- that much more dramatic. But will it be a short absence? The team has not issued any type of return timetable, and realistically, it may be impossible to project at this point.

The hope would be that shutting Abreu down from all aggravating activities would help quiet the inflammation associated with his ailment and allow him to focus entirely on rehab. But once these conditions get to the point of daily discomfort, they can be more difficult to resolve. Abreu has been trying to play through the pain while simultaneously undergoing treatment, but his early exit Saturday proved that this was not enough. Between the loading demands on the foot and ankle when running the bases and the torsion through the front foot on one of Abreu’s big swings, there is no escaping the pain once the condition is flared up to this degree.

The tibialis posterior is a muscle that lies deep in the calf area, whose long tendon runs along the inner aspect of the lower leg, wraps behind the inner ankle bone and attaches to bones in the foot. When the muscle contracts, it helps point the foot and allows the ankle to move inward as well as downward. Perhaps one of its more important functions is supporting the integrity of the arch of the foot during walking and running.

Like many tendinous conditions, the most common culprit when posterior tibial tendinitis develops is overuse combined with an individual’s particular biomechanics. The pain may not be severe initially, but it can worsen over time to the point where activity, like running, becomes progressively more difficult. Abreu missed a few days in spring training because of the left ankle, so the problem is not entirely new. Chronic irritation can lead to early degenerative changes in the tendon; this is ultimately a more challenging condition to treat.

In the more aggravated stages, the athlete may be immobilized in the short term (for instance, in a walking boot, which Abreu is reportedly sporting already) to minimize load on the tendon. Other treatments designed to decrease inflammation while ensuring normal mobility at the ankle joint as well as within the soft tissue are part of the early phases of rehab. Progressive strengthening, particularly in the form of eccentric exercise, is incorporated as the symptoms permit. Arch support -- in the form of taping or inserts -- may also be a part of returning to play. Surgery is rarely required, usually only in cases where more severe tendon damage has occurred.

For Abreu and the White Sox, the hope undoubtedly is that his symptoms will turn a corner once he is afforded some extended downtime. Considering he has been in the lineup daily since April 17, the opportunity to truly rest his leg is a treatment option that hasn’t yet been tested.

The biggest task for the White Sox is trying to gauge when Abreu will be able to return with only minimal risk of a subsequent setback. There are no precise measures to guarantee such an outcome, but one thing working in Abreu’s favor is the excellent track record of the White Sox medical staff when it comes to injury management. Whether that downtime exceeds 15 days remains to be seen, but a longer absence -- even an additional week or more -- would not come as a surprise.

Video: White Sox shut Abreu down

May, 18, 2014
May 18
9:52
PM ET
ESPN injury analyst Stephania Bell discusses the ankle injury that will sideline MLB home run leader Jose Abreu.
videoHere we go again …

Miami Marlins ace Jose Fernandez has a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow that will require him to have surgery, according to a report. Fernandez will get a second opinion from the Marlins' team doctor after another physician discovered a tear in the UCL and recommended he have surgery.

Fernandez reportedly complained of soreness in his elbow after his latest start, last Friday night against the San Diego Padres. As it turns out, maybe there were telltale signs of a problem before he ever complained of discomfort. According to ESPN Stats & Information, Fernandez's velocity on his fastball dropped during Friday's outing from an average of 94.6 mph over his first four innings to just 90.7 mph over his last two. In fact, his average fastball velocity had progressively declined over each of his last four starts.

A dip in velocity has been thought to suggest a potential problem with a pitcher's arm. It's worth noting, however, that in Fernandez's case, not all his performance metrics dropped off at the same time. For example, on April 29 against the Atlanta Braves, one of those last four outings where his velocity was gradually declining, Fernandez still managed to strike out eight batters while throwing eight scoreless innings on his way to a victory. By his latest outing, however, all metrics were going in the wrong direction. On May 9, Fernandez gave up five runs, he had only five strikeouts (his fewest of the season) and, simply put, he lost.

[+] EnlargeJose Fernandez
AP Photo/Alan DiazJose Fernandez, 21, is the latest pitcher to fall victim to an elbow injury.
The recent decline in Fernandez's performance may have only reflected the inevitable. Now that he will need to have surgery to reconstruct his ulnar collateral ligament, that ligament was probably in the process of failing for quite some time. Surgery translates to at least a year off of major league competition with an opportunity to not only allow the body to recover, but also to strengthen and condition it. The elbow and the new graft are going to be subjected to the stresses of pitching; physically preparing the rest of the frame -- the legs, the core, the shoulder -- may help mitigate those stresses to a degree.

The high success rate for Tommy John surgery (approximately 80 percent), as defined by return to play for at least one game at the same level or higher, has been well-documented. However, data presented at the 2014 American Academy of Orthopedic Surgeons meeting in New Orleans suggests that this number may be misleading. When return-to-play numbers are further stratified to evaluate whether pitchers are able to return to established competition (more than 10 games per season), the success rate drops to 67 percent. Consider that Cory Luebke (Padres) and Brandon Beachy (Braves) both failed to return for 10 games after their initial Tommy John surgery and have since undergone second (revision) procedures.

Even if pitchers are able to successfully return following this surgery, are they, in fact, throwing harder? A study presented at the 2014 American Sports Medicine Institute's Baseball Medicine conference showed that velocity actually decreased following surgery, despite pitchers' overwhelming perception to the contrary. Still, the confidence that comes with the perception of throwing harder, the year of rehabilitation and a lack of discomfort may ultimately contribute to a successful return.

The number of players continuing to fall victim to the injury, however, reminds us that fixing the broken wings does not correct the core problem. Seventeen Tommy John surgeries have been performed on major league pitchers thus far in 2014. If Fernandez undergoes the procedure sometime in the next week, the 2014 total through the second week of May will be just one shy of last year's number … for the entire season. If the pace keeps up, by the All-Star break the number could match the total of 2012, the record year, when 36 such surgeries were performed.

While there is reason to believe the pace could slow as the year progresses (more surgeries tend to take place early in the season), there's no denying that the number of season-ending elbow injuries since the start of spring training is alarming. Equally alarming is the increasingly young age at which some of these injuries appear to be happening. Fernandez is 21 years old; Tampa Bay Rays left-hander Matt Moore was not much older (24) when he had surgery in April; and Washington Nationals righty Stephen Strasburg was merely 22 when his ligament was reconstructed. Why is that the case? There are many theories, some of which I referenced when I wrote about the rash of Tommy John injuries in April, none of which explain this phenomenon in its entirety.

It may be, as the saying goes, the perfect storm, where numerous elements combine to yield one tragic consequence. In this case, the consequence is major elbow surgery that will sideline a pitcher for at least a year, likely longer. As the medical world gathers more data, hopefully our storm prediction tools will improve to the point where we get better at recognizing the early alarms and, more important, the clusters of contributing factors. Perhaps that will allow us to chart a better course for the athlete before the only choice becomes surgery, now … or later.

Video: Chris Sale injury update

May, 6, 2014
May 6
3:15
PM ET
Stephania Bell joins Eric Karabell to discuss the latest on Chris Sale's arm injury.

SPONSORED HEADLINES