The Seattle Mariners defeated the Boston Red Sox 5-3 on Friday night. The result, considering the participants, was not a shock. The defending champions have been one of the biggest disappointments this season while the Mariners are seeking their first playoff berth since 2001. Seattle also had the league's best pitcher Felix Hernandez on the mound. While the outcome was predictable, the way in which it came about was anything but.
For the first five innings, Hernandez traded zeroes with Boston starter Joe Kelly. This has become a familiar sight for King Felix, who entered the game with 17 consecutive starts of allowing two runs or less -- an American League record.
Hernandez escaped a two-on, one-out jam in the first inning by inducing a groundball double play off the bat of Yoenis Cespedes. The two former division rivals squared off in a similar situation in the sixth inning with Cespedes reversing the outcome.
With Daniel Nava on third base and one out, the Mariners chose to intentionally walk David Ortiz to set up the double play. Cespedes and Hernandez battled for seven pitches before the outfielder took the eighth pitch -- a hanging changeup -- out of the ballpark to break the streak and give the Sox a 3-0 lead.
Boston carried that lead into the ninth inning when All-Star closer Koji Uehara took over. Things have not gone the Sox's way this year, but Uehara has been one of the team's bright spots. Coming into the game, he allowed just 10 earned runs in nearly 60 innings of work.
The evening started off well as Uehara retired Kyle Seager to lead off the inning before Logan Morrison singled. Uehara registered his 73rd punchout of the season, striking out Mike Zunino for the second out. Meanwhile, this night was about turning the odds upside down.
With two outs in the frame, Uehara uncharacteristically walked Endy Chavez. It was just the eighth free pass issued by the right-hander this season and only the 11th walk taken by Chavez in more than 200 plate appearances. Following a Chris Denorfia single to left that was not deep enough to score Morrison, the Mariners had the bases loaded. Still, with two outs and a three-run lead, the Sox still held a 97 percent chance of winning, according to fangraphs.com.
The Mariners acquired Austin Jackson at the trade deadline in a three-way deal with the Detroit Tigers and Tampa Bay Rays involving David Price. At the time, it seemed the Tigers would run away with the American League Central. That has not happened. In fact, entering play on Friday, Seattle and Detroit were separated by just a ½ game in the wild-card chase. Jackson, the former Tiger, belted a two-out, two-strike, two-run double off the Green Monster to bring his new club to within one run. Meanwhile, Boston's chances of closing out the game with a victory stood at 80 percent.
Dustin Ackley's go-ahead single barely went 100 feet in the air before falling between shortstop Brock Holt and Cespedes in left field. The bloop single that barely fell out of reach from a diving Holt gave Seattle a 4-3 lead and accounted for a more than 60 percent drop in win expectancy for Boston. Robinson Cano drove in an additional run giving the Mariners a two-run cushion heading into the bottom of the inning. The Sox brought the tying run to the plate with two outs, but Christian Vazquez's fly out ended the game.
With the win over Boston, and a blowout loss for the Tigers, the Mariners are now in control of the AL's second wild-card spot. Although Hernandez was off his game, he, along with Hisashi Iwakuma give the M's a lethal one-two punch at the top of the rotation. Meanwhile, even with Price, the Tigers are fading quickly.
Once again, the odds were turned around several times this evening. No one expected Hernandez to allow three runs in less than six innings. No one could have predicted Uehara allowing half his earned run total coming into the game in two-thirds of an inning.
On the other hand, with a 68 percent chance of earning a playoff spot, according to ESPN Stats & Information, the Mariners and their fans are hoping that the odds going forward are in their favor.
Tommy Rancel blogs about the Tampa Bay Rays at the SweetSpot network affiliate The Process Report. You can follow him on Twitter at @TRancel.
Feel free to chime in on what you think might happen in the comments section below.
And without further ado -- because if we wait too long, these thoughts might go out of date faster than the Tulowitzki-to-Yankees rumors – on to the best of the SweetSpot Network contributing sites from the past week.
Arizona Diamondbacks: Inside the 'Zona
Roundup: Jackson Trade, Lessons from Saber Seminar: Ryan P. Morrison examines the D-backs' trade for Brett Jackson and discusses a dozen or so nuggets of cutting-edge sabermetrics wisdom from last weekend's Saber Seminar in Boston. Follow on Twitter: @InsidetheZona
Baltimore Orioles: Camden Depot
Jon Shepherd takes the Ice Bucket Challenge: Jon Shepherd, whose family has been impacted by ALS, has his take, but highlights the need to secure more long-term funding beyond episodic viral campaigns. Follow on Twitter: @CamdenDepot
Chicago Cubs: View From The Bleachers
Should the Cubs Pass on Signing an Ace this Offseason?: As we get closer and closer to the offseason, Joe Aiello wonders whether the Cubs should be looking at a nontraditional route when it comes to building their rotation for next season. Follow on Twitter: @vftb
Cleveland Indians: It's Pronounced Lajaway
The Evolution (or Devolution) of the Indians Pitching Staff: Stephanie Liscio takes a humorous month-by-month look at the fans' confidence level in the Tribe's starters. Follow on Twitter: @StephanieLiscio
Don't Give Up on Tomlin: Ryan McCrystal analyzes how Josh Tomlin has been a victim of bad defense and bad luck in recent weeks. Follow on Twitter: @TribeFanMcC
Colorado Rockies: Rockies Zingers
Honoring Todd Helton: The Colorado Rockies retired Todd Helton's jersey number, the first Rockies player afforded such an honor. Richard Bergstrom reminisces on his career.
Rockies Bloggers Panel Recording 8/16/14: It was one of the most anticipated panels of the year, filled with bloggers flying into town to commemorate Todd Helton's retirement and a special guest. Members of Rockies Zingers, Purple Row, Rockies Review and Mile High Sports discuss the Rockies injuries and trainers/coaches along with the potential offseason moves. Follow on Twitter: @RockiesZingers
New York Yankees: It's About The Money
Brian McCann's Crazy Reverse Platoon Split: Brad Vietrogoski attempts to explain the flip-flop of Brian McCann's production against right- and left-handed pitching this season. Follow on Twitter: @IIATMS
What If: The 1994 World Series: Domenic Lanza looked at how the '94 Fall Classic could have played out if the Yanks and Expos had stayed on track as the best teams in baseball that year. Follow on Twitter: @DomenicLanza
St. Louis Cardinals: Fungoes
Cardinals walk off via hit-by-pitch for second time this season: Jon Jay helped the Cardinals win their second straight game in their final at-bat Tuesday night when he drew a bases-loaded plunking from Reds reliever J.J. Hoover. The Cardinals hadn’t had a walk-off hit-by-pitch in more than 25 years, but now -- including Greg Garcia back on May 13 -- they’ve had two in 2014. Pip lists all of the walk-off HBPs over the last 25 years. Follow on Twitter: @fungoes
San Francisco Giants, West Coast Bias
Giants pursuing Rusney Castillo: Tim Kennedy delves into the Giants' dealings with Cuban player Rusney Castillo. With the possibility of being a contributor to a major league team in 2014, he could certainly help out a Giants ball club fighting for its life. Follow on Twitter: @giantsbaseball
Texas Rangers: One Strike Away
The Replacements: Brandon Land takes a look at the current roster for the Rangers, and why it's unreasonable to have high expectations in a season so rife with injury. Follow on Twitter: @one_strike_away
About 3½ hours later, in the ninth inning of a game between the Colorado Rockies and Kansas City Royals, Justin Morneau hit a slow ground ball to the right side of the infield, headed right where a second baseman would normally play. Only this ball would be fielded not by the second baseman, but by shortstop Alcides Escobar, who would make a short toss to first base for the out.
Such is baseball life in 2014, that a batter could be thrown out from a spot where Santana was, and that the shortstop would field a ball where Morneau hit it (as noted above).
The shift is now such an everyday occurrence in major league baseball that it's considered commonplace.
So that got us to wondering: What does a day in the life of the shift look like? We kept a close eye on Tuesday's action and here's what we came up with.
In 2010, Baseball Info Solutions documented 2,464 shifts on balls in play (so we're not even counting strikeouts) for the entire season. By 2012, that had nearly doubled to 4,577. It increased to 8,145 in 2013, and now with almost everyone fully embracing the maneuver, the count is at 10,699 this season and on pace for nearly 14,000.
BIS accounts for both full shifts and partial shifts, with the full ones being the most extreme (three players on one side of the diamond).
There were 83 total shifts on balls in play on Tuesday, a modest amount, but well short of the season high of 142 (on May 6).
Every game on Tuesday featured at least one documented shift on a ball in play. That's not unusual these days -- 91.6 percent of games have featured at least one documented shift (a documented shift is one noticeable on a TV game broadcast).
Twenty-one of the 30 teams shifted on at least one ball, including 13 of the 15 AL teams.
Welcome to the majors
The Indians-Twins game had a few shift-related storylines on this day.
The Indians partially shifted against switch-hitting Twins rookie Kennys Vargas, who came to the majors with a pull-hitting reputation. In the third inning, Indians manager Terry Francona moved his shortstop over to play behind second base, but kept his other infielders in "traditional" spots for a left-handed batter. The shift didn't necessarily impact the at-bat. Vargas lined to center.
Vargas was shifted 21 times on his first 47 balls in play as a left-handed hitter, though that may change soon. He had five opposite-field hits (three of which were infield hits, on his first 15 ground balls from the left side).
The Twins returned the favor by deploying the first shift to be used against Indians rookie Zach Walters.
The Astros stand alone
The Astros have been in a class by themselves with regard to the shift all season.
General manager Jeff Luhnow spoke to a group of baseball fans in Boston last weekend and told of how the team has taken to deploying shifts across its entire organization, and has worked as hard at marketing the shift to its players as it has at studying shift effectiveness.
The Astros were on pace to use shifts against nearly 1,500 balls in play, and entered Tuesday with nearly 500 more than the team with the next most (the Yankees). The results have been good. Baseball Info Solutions credits the Astros with 21 Defensive Runs Saved due to shifts, the most in the majors.
On Tuesday, the Astros and Yankees went head-to-head. The Astros, true to form, didn't just shift against pull-hitting Brian McCann, Mark Teixeira and Carlos Beltran. They became the first team to put three infielders on the first-base side of second base against Jacoby Ellsbury.
Sometimes that sort of thing doesn't work. Ellsbury got hits in both at-bats in which he was fully shifted and was 1-for-2 in his other turns.
This night was an aberration in one regard. The Toronto Blue Jays did not employ a single shift against a ball that was put into play. They entered the day with 564 shifts, an average of nearly five per game.
The Blue Jays' opponent, the Milwaukee Brewers, don't have many hitters who warrant a shift. Their leader this season entering the day was right-handed hitting Khris Davis, but he'd seen only 30 all season entering the night.
Coincidentally, the Brewers tied the Rays for the most shifts that day, with eight.
Brewers manager Ron Roenicke took what would have been considered an aggressive approach a few years ago by shifting against not just the left-handed Colby Rasmus, but also righties Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion. His decision to do so was warranted and likely guided by images such as the one below.
Encarnacion and Bautista each went 0-for-3. Bautista hit two grounders just to the left of second base. One was a routine play for shortstop Jean Segura. The other was fielded by Rickie Weeks, who was well positioned to make the play.
Brandon Moss entered the day ranked fourth in the majors in times shifted against. He's also one known to try to drop a bunt down against the shift, as he did twice in his first at-bat against the New York Mets that day. Both were unsuccessful.
Moss then lined out to second baseman Wilmer Flores, who was stationed in shallow right.
Moss' next time up, the Mets dared him to bunt, playing their second baseman in shallow right and their shortstop on the outfield grass, well to the right of second base. Moss didn't take them up on it. He flied out to right, then went hitless in his last two at-bats as well.
Those who were shifted on Tuesday batted .166 when they hit a ground ball or "short" line drive against it, and .259 on those balls when they were not shifted. The differential between the two is a little bigger than on a typical day.
Overall, major league hitters have hit .228 this season when hitting a grounder or short liner against a shifted defense, and .267 against non-shifted defenses.
Shifted batters pulled 29 grounders and liners and hit seven to the opposite field. They had as many hits on those grounders and liners when the ball was pulled (three) as they did on those seven balls hit to the opposite field.
If anything, that last stat indicates another shift may need to be in order for hitters to deal with a new means of being frustrated -- a shift in offensive approach.
Writers for ESPN.com receive a voluminous amount of reader feedback, and much of it comes from fans whose passion outweighs their judgment or even their grip on reality. Readers accuse us of East Coast bias, big-market bias or other personal agendas that require lots of time and energy to decipher. Sometimes it's a challenge to keep track of which teams we ostensibly "disrespect" or enjoy slighting the most.
Unlike some of my more prudent colleagues, I'm enough of a masochist to read the comments at the end of a story, and I've found that few fan bases can discern a hidden motive in a column or a turn of phrase the way Atlanta Braves diehards do. During one particularly rugged stretch last fall, I got taken to the woodshed by Braves fans for failing to include Evan Gattis in my top 3 in the Rookie of the Year balloting, and for writing a story reflecting the industry sentiment that Atlanta's impressive 2013 regular season might not translate into an extended run in October.
Folks who feel strongly enough to defend their team's honor might not believe this, but it's nothing personal. As ball writers, we survey the landscape, weigh the numbers, sprinkle in some gut instincts and make calls based on the information at hand. A lot of times we're wrong. But sometimes the rigors of a 162-game season prove we're not as clueless as we appear.
The endless give-and-take came to mind recently when I dug up ESPN.com's preseason predictions and found that 40 of our 44 so-called "experts" picked the Washington Nationals to win the National League East this season. The consensus was less a knock on the Braves than a prevailing sense that the Nationals were a deeper, more well-rounded and balanced team, and poised for success after a 32-16 late run left them short of a playoff berth in 2013.
It's taken almost five months, but the March prognostications have developed a sense of clarity. As the Braves bounce from winning streaks to losing streaks and try to put together an extended run to escape the wild-card mosh pit, it's becoming evident the Nationals are who we thought they were.
The NL East is starting to have a "foregone conclusion" feel to it as September approaches. The Nats, who've earned a reputation as a puzzling and sometimes underachieving bunch, are putting together a season-defining run under first-year manager Matt Williams. In the bottom of the ninth inning Thursday, Arizona’s Jordan Pacheco threw a ball into a camera well to allow Denard Span to score from second base and give Washington a 1-0 victory. It was the Nationals' 10th straight win, tying them with the Kansas City Royals for the longest streak in the majors in 2014.
When Span described the Nationals' recent run of victories as "magical," he wasn't kidding. Washington is the first team since the 1986 Houston Astros to record five walk-off wins in a span of six games.
Shortly after Span received a Gatorade bucket drenching from teammate Anthony Rendon, the Braves took the field in Cincinnati and blew out the Reds 8-0. But they're left with some daunting math. With 5½ weeks left in the regular season, Coolstandings.com gives Atlanta a 1.6 percent chance to win the division and 39.1 percent odds to earn a wild-card spot. Even though the Braves have a 22-10 record against the Nationals over the past two seasons, they face Washington only six more times this year, so they're going to need some help.
The biggest reason to buy stock in Washington right now is its pitching. During the Nationals' 10-game streak, the rotation has a 1.34 ERA and the entire staff has allowed a total of 23 runs. Gio Gonzalez was lights-out with seven shutout innings against Arizona on Thursday. But if the postseason were starting today and Williams were going strictly on merit rather than pedigree, he might have a hard time starting Gonzalez over Stephen Strasburg, Jordan Zimmermann, Doug Fister and Tanner Roark. Fister (4-1, 0.88 ERA) and Roark (4-1, 2.30) have the best numbers of the group since the All-Star break.
Even though Rafael Soriano has had some hiccups lately, the Washington bullpen has been exceptional as well. Nationals relievers rank third in the NL with a 2.85 aggregate ERA and fourth in opponents' OPS at .628 this season.
"They might have the best pitching staff from 1 through 12 not only in the league, but in all of baseball," said a National League personnel man. "And they have power pitching. It wouldn't shock me if they go very far [in the postseason]."
In hindsight, the Braves had an awful lot to overcome losing Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy to Tommy John surgery in spring training, then watching Gavin Floyd go down with a fractured right elbow in June just when he was hitting his stride. General manager Frank Wren and his group did what they could by signing Ervin Santana in March and picking up Aaron Harang after he was released by the Cleveland Indians. But Julio Teheran has been forced to carry a heavy burden at age 23, and Mike Minor's disappointing performance can be traced back to January, when he got a late start in his training because of a procedure on his urinary tract. All things considered, it's amazing that Atlanta leads the majors with 89 quality starts.
The Braves need all the pitching they can get, with an offense that's middling at best and prone to streakiness. Justin Upton and Freddie Freeman are having fine seasons, but Dan Uggla is gone and it's long past obvious that B.J. Upton will not be giving the franchise anything close to a $75.25 million return on its investment.
September still has the potential for intrigue in Atlanta, as the Braves parry with the NL Central runner-up and the loser of the Los Angeles Dodgers-San Francisco Giants competition for one of the two NL wild-card spots. It's encouraging that Minor has pitched well in his past two outings and Freeman and Justin Upton have been torrid in August. But even if the Braves make it to October, they'll have to advance the hard way, with a one-game playoff and all the minefields that entails. Do the words "infield fly rule" ring a bell?
Personally, I'm not crazy over their chances of a deep postseason run. If I'm wrong, Braves fans, please feel free to drop me a note and vent.
The Angels' barely-larger-than-necessary catalog of starters also helps explain some of their success this year. Where that current success ends up this season will be seriously challenged the rest of the way, because in the bottom of the second inning during Wednesday night’s game in Boston, the Angels' rotation suffered a potentially devastating blow. Boston Red Sox third baseman Brock Holt hit a grounder to first baseman Albert Pujols; as Richards ran to cover first base, his left knee buckled. He fell to the ground in pain and had to be carted off the field. The severity of the injury is not yet known, but Angels fans would do well to withhold optimism.
With Richards hurt and Skaggs out for the year for Tommy John surgery, the four known occupants of the Angels rotation are Weaver, Wilson, Santiago and Shoemaker. Who will fill Richards' spot should he miss a significant amount of time is unclear, but the potential names currently in the organization are uninspiring. In June, the Angels acquired Wade LeBlanc off waivers from the New York Yankees. LeBlanc has pitched only 7⅓ innings in 2014; he pitched 55 last season between the Miami Marlins and Houston Astros for a 5.40 ERA.
Another possibility is Randy Wolf, whom the Angels signed in late July. Wolf is with his fifth organization of 2014, as he was signed and released by the Seattle Mariners, Arizona Diamondbacks, Marlins and Baltimore Orioles before signing with the Angels. The 5.26 ERA Wolf posted while with the Marlins resembles his 5.28 ERA from 2012, the last time he pitched in the big leagues before this season.
The final possible in-house replacement for Richards is Chris Volstad. Volstad spent 2013 with the Colorado Rockies, posting a 10.81 ERA in eight innings of major league action. That is, of course, a small sample size. The 4.94 ERA Volstad produced in more than 700 big league innings is a larger sample that's equally frightening in a playoff race.
Looking around the big leagues, there are quality starting pitchers who might be made available through a waiver deal, such as Jorge De La Rosa and Bartolo Colon, assuming the Oakland A's can't block the Angels with their own claim.
Richards' absence will be felt most in the playoff race. The Angels currently sit 1½ games ahead of the A's. It's entirely possible the division will be decided by a single game, and it's also entirely possible that losing Richards for the year will cost the Angels at least a win or two. As things now stand, it looks like second place in the American League West will earn one of the two wild cards, but that will come with an enormous disadvantage. An injury such as this one highlights how important it is to make it to the playoffs via a division title rather than a wild card. If the Angels finish in second place, they very well might be tasked with a one-game playoff against the Detroit Tigers, or maybe the Kansas City Royals, who would trot out James Shields to pitch, or perhaps Felix Hernandez and the Mariners. And the Angels would have to play that game without their own ace to send to the mound in a must-win game.
Richards' injury also forces us to re-evaluate the trades that general manager Jerry Dipoto made at the non-waiver deadline. The contrast between Dipoto's strategy and A's GM Billy Beane's is glaring: Dipoto reinforced the Angels' bullpen by acquiring Joe Thatcher, Jason Grilli and Huston Street, while Beane hoarded many of the available starting pitchers in Jeff Samardzija, Jon Lester and Jason Hammel. At the time, Dipoto's moves appeared to shore up a critical piece in preparation for a playoff run. Now, however, the Angels are left with a deep bullpen, four starting pitchers and a stark reminder that good health and good luck are fleeting.
Eric Garcia McKinley blogs about the Rockies for the SweetSpot network affiliate Rockies Zingers. You can follow him on Twitter at @garcia_mckinley.
“I’ll look at it and freak my son out, because I look just like he did at that age,” McClendon said, laughing. “And he’ll tell me, ‘Turn that off.’”
The LLWS is attracting a lot of attention this summer because of some spirited competition and charismatic young players. Mo’Ne Davis, the star pitcher for Philadelphia’s Taney squad, is a “Sports Illustrated” cover girl with almost 20,000 Twitter followers. Mexico’s Ruy Martinez, all 4-foot-8 and 80 pounds of him, has emerged as the Jose Altuve of youth baseball. And the all-black Jackie Robinson team from Chicago is outpacing the Cubs and White Sox with its television ratings in the city. ESPN has provided blanket coverage of the tournament, with Barry Larkin and Nomar Garciaparra among the luminaries in the broadcast booth.
Although McClendon finished with five home runs and five intentional walks in 10 plate appearances in Williamsport, Gary lost to Taiwan 12-3 in the finale. He reacted like a typical preteen, but some comforting words from his father and coach endured long after the sting of losing had passed. McClendon experienced some flashbacks earlier this week when David Belisle, coach of the Rhode Island Little League team, gave an uplifting speech to his players after they were eliminated by Chicago.
“I was very blessed,” McClendon said. “I came off the field crying, but the first words I heard from my coach and my dad were, ‘We’re very proud of you. You did the best you can do. Hold your head high.’ That’s such a powerful lesson for young players, but also for coaches and parents -- to understand the magnitude of what’s going on and how positive words can shape and form kids for the future.
“I hope these kids are gathering the same types of memories and friendships that we had when we were able to go there. I hope this isn’t about kids being exploited. The biggest problem is coaches and parents that want to win at all costs. Let the kids enjoy it. Let them have fun, because it’s their moment in the sun.”
Although McClendon’s schedule with the Mariners has prevented him from watching the Little League World Series in-depth, he's seen enough to become a big Mo’Ne Davis fan. He can join celebrities from Magic Johnson to David Price to Ellen DeGeneres in that club.
“God bless her,” McClendon said. “This is something she'll be able to tell her grandkids about and show them one day. I think it’s just awesome and well-deserved. I hope this community here in Philadelphia surrounds her and that team and keeps encouraging them. What they've done is tremendous.”
Felix Hernandez has deservedly gotten most of the credit for the Seattle Mariners’ success this season, but he is not the only reason that fans in the Emerald City are on the brink of watching October baseball for the first time in 13 years. He's got a pretty good sidekick in the rotation, too.
When you come to the United States from Japan in the same offseason as Yu Darvish and you pitch in the same rotation as King Felix, it's easy to get overlooked. But the degree to which Iwakuma is underrated is almost a crime.
He is easily the most anonymous ace in baseball, and all the proof you need is in this list of qualified American League starters that have a lower ERA than Iwakuma (2.63) since his first MLB start on July 2, 2012:
Yup, that would be no one.
Iwakuma was an All-Star last season, but missed out on being selected to the game this year as he struggled through a rough four-week period in May and June during which he posted a 4.67 ERA over seven starts.
But since the calendar turned to July, he has produced a King Felix-like run, going 7-2 with a 1.63 ERA. The only American League pitcher with a lower ERA in that span is Corey Kluber (1.31) and no pitcher in the majors has more wins than Iwakuma since July 1.
He has gone at least seven innings in eight of those 10 starts, allowing more than two runs just once. Perhaps the most impressive statistic of this dominant stretch is this: 65 strikeouts, four walks.
That last number should come as no surprise to anyone who has watched Iwakuma this season. His control is approaching historic levels, as he now has a mere 12 walks in 147 innings. This rate of 0.73 walks per nine innings easily leads all major-league starters and puts him on pace to enter the record books.
Only two qualified American League pitchers in baseball history have posted a walk rate that low in a single season: Carlos Silva (0.43 in 2005) and Cy Young (0.69 in 1904).
Iwakuma doesn't have an overpowering fastball (averaging 90-91 mph) but he has incredible command of four pitches and a devastating splitter that is nearly unhittable. His combination of outstanding control, an above-average ability to generate grounders and a solid strikeout rate puts him in elite company.
The only other pitcher this season with a walk rate of less than four percent, a ground-ball rate of at least 50 percent and a strikeout rate of 20 percent or better is ... Mr. Clayton Kershaw. Otherwise known as the best pitcher in the world, the NL Cy Young favorite and legitimate candidate for the NL MVP award.
Despite his impressive resume, Iwakuma works in relatively anonymity, quietly mowing down lineups in the shadow of the King. He doesn't have a cool nickname or a devoted following of fans, but Iwakuma's consistent approach is a perfect complement to the utter dominance of a pitcher like Hernandez.
Seattle's offense has come alive during August (4.8 runs per game), but that hides the fact that they still have the lowest on-base percentage (.302) and OPS (.677) in the American League. And yet somehow the Mariners have the second-best run differential in the AL (+99) and are in position to make the playoffs for the first time since 2001.
It's hard to imagine where the Mariners would be without their dynamic duo of Iwakuma and Hernandez at the top of the rotation. The playoffs would certainly be a pipe dream. But thanks to the combination of baseball's most anonymous ace (Iwakuma) and most deserving ace (Hernandez), Seattle is now in prime position to give its fans something besides football to cheer about in October.
They found a small butcher shop in the store with fresh venison for sale. It was December of 2012, snow was on the ground, baseball was a few months away and Adams’ eating habits were about to change.
The Cardinals organization had just begun a groundbreaking endeavor. In 2012 the club hired Lusky to prepare healthy food. With a team effort from the medical staff, clubhouse staff, strength staff and coaches, food has become a source of fuel for the players instead of empty calories. Manager Mike Matheny played a big part in Lusky getting hired but the push also came from the front office.
"John Mozeliak, he's really into health and eating right and working out," Lusky said of the team's general manager. "He's all about it too, so organizationally everybody is on board with it."
To really make an impact though, Lusky had to help Adams become self-sufficient with his food choices in the offseason.
"He flew in for a couple of days and took us out to eat, and taught us what to look for on the menu out at a restaurant -- healthy options," said Adams, the 6-foot-3, 230-pound first baseman who weighed a few pounds more that winter. "Then we went to the grocery store and went through all the aisles."
Adams, who debuted in the majors in 2012, was living with his parents; both are busy, hard-working people. So Lusky, who graduated with a Bachelor of Science in Nutrition from Johnson and Wales, put an emphasis on showing them quick and healthy meals.
"A piece of salmon takes just as long to cook as it does to heat up a Stouffers lasagna," Lusky said.
Adams and his whole family watched and helped prepare the food as Lusky taught them how to cook healthy. "His mom, his dad, his uncle, his aunt, a cousin, they were all like, 'What’s kale?'" Lusky said. "They never had asparagus or brussels sprouts."
Adams lost 25 pounds after the 2012 season, then another 20 pounds after the 2013 season; his dad lost 30 pounds and now enjoys healthy eating so much he maintains his own vegetable garden.
Adams said he is seeing results on the field. His body is not breaking down. "I’m feeling strong and waking up with energy and ready to go on a daily basis," he said.
From doughnuts to gator jerkey
Before Lusky was hired as the team chef everything in the clubhouse was catered. The players were getting a wide variety of foods but it was not the right food.
"There was a big emphasis on pastas and cream sauces," Lusky said. “Fattier meats, not leaner cuts. Maybe a lack of vegetables with some certain meals."
He helped them make a cultural change in how they viewed food.
"Before, they said they'd go through four or five dozen doughnuts throughout the course of the game," Lusky said.
Now, the clubhouse walls are lined with dispensers of all different kinds of nuts. The most popular in-game snack is a protein bar homemade by a childhood friend of St. Louis Rams quarterback Sam Bradford. The team focuses on nutrient-dense foods with a lot of good calories. This helps their muscles and their recovery time.
"A handful of nuts can be as high as 400 or 500 calories depending on the nuts," Lusky said. "I tell the guys to snack on nuts constantly, constantly. Any time you are feeling just a little hungry grab a handful of nuts."
Fruit is also always available.
"The whole fridge is full of nectarines, apples, and oranges and bananas, kiwis," Lusky said. "We have every type of jerky; we use a company that specializes in wild game jerky -- pheasant, gator, elk -- every sort of animal you can imagine in jerky form, a bunch of different flavors.”
Besides healthy snacks, the meal he prepares for the club every home game consists of lean proteins like chicken breast and turkey, but no fried meats.
"Red meat is fine, we eat a lot of red meat," Lusky said. "It's a clubhouse full of guys so if we took red meat away my head would be on a stick. The biggest thing I do as a chef is I vary the protein." Besides red met, he'll have pork, lamb, wild boar, shrimp and different types of fish.
Lusky has a very simple motto: green, clean and lean.
"I always tell the guys get some green vegetables on your plate, get some clean carbs -- a clean carb is quinoa, sweet potatoes, something that's not going to be a white rice or a white pasta -- those are things we don't have. If we're going to have a pasta, it's going to be gluten-free or whole wheat."
When the team is on the road, Lusky also ships food to about half the team -- about 120 pounds to every destination, at a cost of about $1,000.
Cardinals ace Adam Wainwright, like many players, struggles to keep weight on during the season, or he'll run out of energy during the game.
"Now we have a little routine where I do a smoothie for him," Lusky said. "I don’t say anything. I just go at the end of the third [inning] and I make him a smoothie and I put it where the bats are underneath the dugout and just leave it there, and he goes at it."
"Diet is one of the things you don’t think about," infielder Daniel Descalso said. "You think about working out, you think about taking batting practice and ground balls, but diet is a huge part of what goes into maintaining your health and well-being through the entire season."
Change in baseball isn't always easy, however.
"A guy when I first met him who I thought would never want to get on the healthy board was Randy Choate," Lusky said of the veteran reliever. "He was like, 'I eat doughnuts and Coke for breakfast, and I love fried chicken and McDonald's.' He was an uphill climb from the first day. He was outspoken about it."
This past offseason, Choate and his wife had Lusky come to their house to teach them how to eat healthier.
"To say it hasn't made any difference would be a lie," Choate said. "I definitely came in this year with less body fat and it had a lot to do with the things he showed us at our house, to help us cook healthier."
Still, baseball players have their superstitions.
"On day games, it's called the doughnut diet," Choate said. "I have one doughnut, and that's just my theory for a sinker -- you've got to eat one to throw one."
The crux of Lusky's influence is worrying more about the person than the ballplayer.
"Anything [teams] can do to help keep these guys healthier and on the field, you are going to see the Matt Hollidays playing another year, longer careers, happier fans, happier players and healthier lives when the game is done," Lusky said.
In Lance Lynn’s car, driving to the airport, Lusky saw a light click in Lynn's eyes as they talked.
Lusky had just spent the week with Lynn and his wife. "He taught us what to look for on the back of the box, and all the way to how to prepare it," said Lynn, who has lost 70 pounds.
Lusky told Lynn he wanted to see him succeed and get a huge contract one day. "But I was like, 'Really, you are going to play baseball for 10 years, let's be honest, you'll be 35 by then. You'll have a lot of your life left. If you keep eating, and doing what you are doing right now, it's not healthy. You can shave years off of your life, and that's less time with your family.'"
This was the moment where Lynn understood: Not eating well is not only bad for baseball, but it's not good for life.
With long games, a difficult schedule and the demands of baseball on the body, Lusky wants to see baseball do more for the players.
"You can change baseball," Lusky said. "We're not only helping our team right now, but we are making the game a healthier game."
This is a big week for the Pittsburgh Pirates, perhaps even a defining week. Monday night’s loss to the Atlanta Braves was their sixth straight. They’re now two games back in the wild-card standings, with the Braves between them and the Cardinals and Giants.
The big factor that people no doubt worry about is that they’ve gone 5-9 since the grudging acknowledgment that reigning NL MVP Andrew McCutchen had to go to the disabled list. Add in that second baseman Neil Walker has been healthy enough to make just five starts in August in what had been his best season since his rookie year, and the Pirates have had to get by a whole lot of Jayson Nix and Michael Martinez. Some of those losses have been especially tough, including getting swept over the weekend in a trio of one-run losses to the Nationals, and losing four one-run games during McCutchen’s absence. Operating without their best hitter, as well as their best starting pitcher -- Gerrit Cole -- and those margins are that much tighter.
Charlie Morton have been every bit as critical as the losses in the lineup. Since the break, the Pirates have averaged 4.6 runs per game, and even 4.1 with McCutchen on the DL, slightly above league-average for the NL. But on the pitching side, since the All-Star break the Pirates have seen some things unfold that they have to have anticipated: Jeff Locke’s transient magic once again fading with repeated exposure to National League lineups that have cranked out a 1.60 WHIP in his last six starts, while Edinson Volquez has been looking very much like nothing more than a No. 5 while allowing 4.9 runs per nine in his six turns in that time. These are not the guys you’re going to win a division with; they’re whom you get by with when Cole and Morton are out. The happier news is that Vance Worley looks like a keeper, but we’ll see if he pushes past Volquez to enter postseason rotation consideration.
One of the things you can consider a lesson learned is that the enthusiasm for the Pirates’ young outfield is still mostly deserved. Starling Marte has been excellent since the All-Star break, with an 1.132 OPS. Gregory Polanco, not so much (.632 OPS), but it’s too soon to see if he’s going to have to join Pedro Alvarez on the team’s growing pile of disappointing superstars-to-be (or not). But another happy surprise is that Josh Harrison seems as ready as Omar Infante was to make people eat those “that guy’s an All-Star?” taunts, hitting .331/.369/.570 since the break.
The weeks to come are going to provide all sorts of interesting questions for Clint Hurdle and company as they try to get back on top, because the Pirates and Hurdle have proven themselves reliably creative when it comes to lineup solutions in particular. I think it’s fascinating to see them play Harrison at shortstop these last four games. Breaking out a rare “small sample-size” caveat this late in the season, it hasn’t been lovely (the first three games were at a minus-38 Defensive Runs Saved level for a full season), but if by some chance he proves that he can play short as a regular, that creates an expanded range of options in the lineup. It might even provide Alvarez a chance at redemption at third base, at least against right-handed pitching -- if the choice is between Jordy Mercer (.656 OPS, career) or Clint Barmes and Alvarez (.790 OPS) against a righty. I’d like to see a loose Alvarez-Mercer platoon in the lineup. Maybe Harrison is only affordable at shortstop on days when Cole pitches (because of his large number of strikeouts) or Worley (because he’s a fly ball-out guy), but it’s interesting to see Hurdle and the sabermetrically savvy Pirates experiment, even at this point of the season.
And that’s because, with 37 games left, everything is still possible. The good news is that they’ll get McCutchen back from the DL on Tuesday, and Cole should make his return from the DL on Wednesday, in time to face these Braves. Sometime around Sept. 1, they should have Morton back to start for them as well.
As long as the Pirates are within a game or two, when you’re talking about adding that kind of talent, you’re talking about a team with a chance. Last year’s playoff appearance should not be a one-time thing. And after what Pirates fans endured for two decades, you have to hope it wasn’t.
Christina Kahrl writes about MLB for ESPN. You can follow her on Twitter.
Much attention has been paid to Oakland this season for its play on the field and its acquisitions off the field. The A's have been atop the ESPN Power Rankings for eight consecutive weeks. They've revamped most of their starting rotation by trading for Jon Lester, Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel. And the A's are one of three teams in baseball with at least 70 wins -- but they're now the only one not leading its division.
After defeating the Texas Rangers 5-4 and watching Atlanta defeat Oakland 4-3, the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim now boast the best record in the American League West and the best winning percentage in all of baseball. The victory over Texas was the club’s fourth consecutive win, while Oakland's loss to Atlanta was the A's fourth consecutive defeat.
The most recent time the Angels held as much as a share of first place, it was on the first day of the 2013 season -- a season that went horribly wrong and was highlighted by the foot troubles of Albert Pujols and the disappointing play of Josh Hamilton.
The 2014 Angels roster was still talented enough for them to be considered a decent favorite to contend for a playoff spot in the American League, but most pundits pegged the Oakland Athletics to repeat as AL West champs for a third consecutive season. Oakland kicked off the second half of the 2014 season with a win against Baltimore that put them 24 games over .500, at 60-36 -- two and a half weeks after beginning the revamping of their pitching staff. After a 13-1 win against the Astros on July 24, the A's were 25 games over .500.
Despite the Athletics' hot play and the notable roster makeover, the Angels remained just two games off the pace as they, too, went through their own roster reshaping. While Oakland could dangle the carrot of a highly regarded prospect such as Addison Russell to bring in help, the Angels’ farm system lacked that kind of token to offer teams to get help. The Angels have the fourth best team-weighted on-base average (wOBA) this season at .319, and the 3.81 ERA by their starting pitching staff is in the top half of the league. The issue was with a bullpen that had one of the worst ERAs in the league at 3.89 and a relief pitcher in Ernesto Frieri, who was not getting the job done.
General manager Jerry Dipoto made a series of small moves to shore up the leaky pen by acquiring Jason Grilli, Joe Thatcher, Vinnie Pestano and, finally, Huston Street to take over the closer role. Since the All-Star break, the bullpen had posted a 2.24 ERA heading into play on Saturday night. Street closed out Saturday night's win in Arlington and gave young hurler Matt Shoemaker his 11th victory of the season and the team its 14th win since the break. That, in and of itself, is impressive, considering how ice-cold the Angels’ offense has been since the break.
The team’s .279 team wOBA and .229 batting average are the worst in the American League and the third worst in baseball since the break. MVP candidate Mike Trout is hitting .234/.317/.439, Pujols is hitting .245/.33/.415, and Hamilton is hitting .214/.278/.347 in the second half. Only Kole Calhoun and David Freese have batting averages over .250 since the break, and nobody on the team has an on-base percentage over .340 during that time.
The Angels' 14-12 second-half record has come while playing a very tough schedule. Each game in the second half of July came against playoff contenders (Seattle, Baltimore and Detroit). They opened August against one of the hottest team in baseball in Tampa Bay and then took on their crosstown foes for four games before the schedule gave them a break. The Angels looked that gift horse in the mouth and dropped two of three to Boston and narrowly avoided a sweep to the last-place Red Sox by stealing the middle game of that series in 19 innings. The Angels then swept Philadelphia in two and have now taken the first two games in this three-game set against Texas.
From Arlington, the Angels travel to Boston for a four-game series before returning to the West Coast for a crucial three-game set in Oakland. The two teams at the top of the American League West face each other seven times this month and will not see each other again until the final week of the season in a three-game series at Oakland.
The Angels are being carried by their pitching these days, as the offense has cooled off from where it was earlier this season. Los Angeles will need the offense to heat up in a hurry to take full advantage of the head-to-head matchups against Oakland, given that they won't see them again for another three weeks. In between those series, the schedule sets up quite favorably for the Angels as it includes five games against Houston, four against Minnesota and six more against Texas.
The stars are aligning nicely for the Angels, who look to win the American League West title for the first time since 2009. The rebuilt bullpen and the performance of the starting pitching staff is now carrying the load for the Angels, but they'll need a complete team effort to ultimately best an Athletics club whose whole is greater than the sum of its parts.
Jason Collette writes for The Process Report, a blog on the Tampa Bay Rays, and also contributes to FanGraphs and Rotowire.
The A’s have been on top for months, with the best record in baseball to brag about, and they’re supposed to be the runaway winners in the AL West. But in case you’ve missed it, they’re not running away any more, and not just because the Angels have been the second-best team in baseball. If anything, the A’s are coasting, because while they still have the best record, we’ll see how much longer that lasts.
That’s because the A’s have gone 15-15 in their last 30 games, and after Friday night’s loss they’ve slipped below a .600 winning percentage on the season. They haven’t won a series against a team with an above-.500 record since the Orioles immediately after the All-Star break. At this point, you can skip talk of winning 100 games, because the division title isn’t the only thing in danger with the Mariners, Tigers and Royals all making serious pushes for the postseason. Say they play .500 the rest of the way, and they’d wind up with 93 wins, which should at least get them into the wild card -- one-and-done territory, or not where they were supposed to be when they traded away their best prospect, Addison Russell, to purportedly win the World Series this year.
What’s gone wrong of late? It’s pretty much a team-wide problem. Let’s start with the offense. Since the All-Star break, they’ve put up a collective .698 OPS, a tumble from the .729 OPS they had in the first half. Those numbers get worse when you get into what they’ve done since trading Yoenis Cespedes: a .636 OPS in August, with the A’s averaging just 3.7 runs per game when they had averaged 4.9 in the first half.
Who are the culprits? Brandon Moss has struggled terribly, hitting just .213/.31/.303 with two homers since the break; for a guy who had 21 on his way to his first All-Star Game, suddenly hitting 30 again seems a long way off. Coco Crisp has been even worse as he struggles through a neck injury, putting up just a .395 OPS. Moving parts like John Jaso (.647 OPS) and Alberto Callaspo (.505), so important to manager Bob Melvin’s lineup-card dynamics, are slumping as well. If it weren’t for Josh Donaldson doing his thing and Josh Reddick’s rebound since returning to action (.904 OPS, four homers since the break), the picture would be even more bleak.
And then there’s the interior defense. Losing Jed Lowrie to the DL isn’t something you’d normally associate with hurting your defense, but the problem it created is that it moved Eric Sogard from a position he plays well at second base (averaging plus-9 Defensive Runs Saved per season on his career) to a position he doesn’t at short (minus-14 career). Exacerbating that loss is that Alberto Callaspo has had to become an every-day player at second. Whatever Callaspo’s virtues as a multi-positional rover, one thing he doesn’t do well and has never done well is play second base: His performance this year is at a minus-11 DRS for a full season at the keystone, consistent with a career clip of minus-14. So instead of the benefits of getting Lowrie’s bat (even in an off year) at short and Sogard’s glove at second, the A’s now have neither, plus they don’t have Callaspo to plug in everywhere else they might have a day-to-day need either. And with Kazmir and Hammel looking so hittable, you can bet a worse infield defense is hurting.
And just stop with Sam Fuld already. The guy’s well-spoken, a great interview and a decent fielder, but c’mon now, he’s sabermetrics’ answer to Willie Bloomquist. A .370 OBP during two months in Minnesota do not define a guy, they’re just two nice months from someone whose career suggests he couldn’t keep that up. And sure enough, the guy the A’s got back in a ticky-tack trade with the Twins has not been Rickey Henderson reborn or Lance Blankenship or even Eric Fox; instead, it’s the same guy who came into the year with a .314 career OBP, and the same guy who was eminently cut-worthy by these same A’s earlier this season. The A’s need him because Crisp’s neck injury and second-half struggles make an insurance policy in center necessary, but you can forget about penciling in an every-day OBP north of .350. Tell yourself you’ll always have Minnesota to fulfill your Fuld fantasy, and just let that notion go.
Now, I know, this is where we can cite all sorts of happy stats to warm A’s fans’ hearts, like their huge run differential or their expected record, which is six games better (79-43) than where they’re actually at (73-49). But wasn’t this supposed to the team that was better than the sum of its parts, not worse? Admittedly, that was a sportswriterly narrative that wilts in the daylight of data, but to stick with the facts, a big chunk of the A’s run differential belongs to early-season blowout wins that this lineup hasn’t been cranking out of late, as well as that stack of close losses that you can blame on the early-season mistake of having Jim Johnson as their closer.
And the thing to keep in mind is that the A’s won’t get any of that back -- those runs, wins and losses are history and already banked, and that accrual doesn’t mean squat for the last 40 games. That’s because this team is a significantly different collection of players than that which stacked up that run differential in the first place just a few short months ago. You can’t expect it to continue or magically continue. A big win in May can’t do anything more to keep the A’s ahead of the Angels than it already has. The A’s relative run differential is shrinking, and even with Lester and Samardzija and Gray going strong, it’s probably going to shrink more.
This is why all you ditch that stuff about the A’s being the best team in baseball, or having the best record in baseball. It’s true for as long as nobody catches them while playing .500 brand of baseball as they have lately, and that won't be for much longer. So Oakland needs an in-season rebound, starting now. Beating the struggling Braves in this series may not sound like much, but the A’s have to start somewhere if they’re going to fulfill any of the expectations put on them, let alone stay a game ahead of the Angels.
Christina Kahrl writes about MLB for ESPN. You can follow her on Twitter.
The Cleveland Indians' past five games have gone like so: 3-0 win, 4-1 win, 3-2 win, 1-0 loss (12 innings), 2-1 win (11 innings). The 3-2 victory (over the Arizona Diamondbacks in the first of a doubleheader) and Friday's 2-1 win over the Baltimore Orioles were both decided on Cleveland's final swing of the bat. Zach Walters and Mike Aviles, respectively, did the honors by way of solo homers.
The narrow victories have pulled Cleveland back into the tail end of the chase for the second wild-card spot, though at 61-60, they'll need to leapfrog the Yankees, Blue Jays, Tigers and Mariners and make up five games in the standings over their next 41. It's not impossible, though they'll need every last nail-biting win, but the team is so thoroughly a .500 squad that it's hard to imagine them making up the gap. Their run differential (+10) doesn't show a sleeping giant, their roster has more players who are at risk to trend downward (Michael Brantley, Lonnie Chisenhall, Corey Kluber) than upward (Nick Swisher), and their starting pitching, which essentially amounts to "Kluber and pray for a four-day deluge," is not of the quality they'd need to rip off six weeks of hot baseball.
Baltimore, meanwhile, finds itself in the opposite position. Even after Friday's loss, they have a big lead in the AL East, and the three teams behind them with even a quasi-realistic shot at winning the division are the Rays, who traded their ace, David Price, to Detroit; the Yankees, who have four starting pitchers on the disabled list, including their ace, Masahiro Tanaka; and the Blue Jays, who might have a roster capable of doing some damage but don't have the depth to cover for injuries to players such as Adam Lind and Edwin Encarnacion and consequently find themselves with seven games to make up and not nearly enough time to do so.
Still, whether a team has a clear path to the playoffs or a struggle just to stay halfway relevant, it's more fun to win close, extra-innings games than lose them, which might explain why Orioles manager Buck Showalter appeared to go out of his way to engage in gamesmanship Friday. To set the scene: Kluber had cruised along through seven innings and struck out nine Orioles while allowing four hits and two walks. After catching Chris Davis looking with an absurd 95 mph sinker on the outside corner, Kluber ran another of his filthy two-seamers in on the hands of Adam Jones, who tried to pull back his bunt attempt but wound up taking the ball off his fingers. Jones believed he successfully brought his bat back from the strike zone but neither home plate umpire Dana DeMuth nor first base umpire Ron Kulpa saw things his way.
After the usual back-and-forth that, as we've learned, attends all manager discussions with umpires prior to the men in blue donning headsets and chatting with their colleagues in New York, DeMuth and Kulpa did just that. The call, unsurprisingly, was upheld. Video technology is remarkable and improving every day, but getting a good, close look at the bat as a ball traveling 90-plus mph approaches the hands of the batter, which are themselves in motion? Whatever call the umpires made on the field was almost destined to stand. The standard for overturning a call, remember, is that the replay must provide "clear and convincing evidence," which requires the replay umpires be able to "definitively conclude that the call on the field was incorrect."
Once Replay Review is initiated, no uniformed personnel from either Club shall be permitted to further argue the contested calls or the decision of the Replay Official. Onfield personnel who violate this provision shall be ejected.
Whatever Jedi mind trick Showalter had in his back pocket worked, though, and the umps let him stay in the game.
To be fair, we can't read Showalter's mind, and I, at least, can't read his lips. Perhaps he had a legitimate argument and felt honestly aggrieved by the outcome of the play. (Jones certainly did, as he barked at the first-base umpire after grounding out weakly once the game finally resumed.) Perhaps none of this was intended to ice a hot pitcher on a relatively cool Cleveland night. But Showalter has a history of delaying games to ice pitchers. And of psyching out hitters. And of throwing bulletin-board material at an entire slate of division foes.
Kluber had just thrown his 111th pitch of the night, so regardless, he was not long for the mound. Although he gave up a single to Nelson Cruz, who eventually came around to score the tying run, he had just retired Jones on a filthy breaking ball and handed the Cleveland bullpen a simple task: Prevent the slow-as-molasses Cruz from scoring from first with two outs. That Bryan Shaw and Cody Allen were unable to do that can no more be put on Kluber than it can on Showalter.
Still, Showalter's non-ejection is one more annoyance in this first season of the expanded replay era, one more wrinkle to be ironed out. Fortunately, the answer is simple: Strictly enforce the rule requiring ejection for further argument. There's no reason not to; arguing about the results of a replay with the on-field crew, who have no input in the replay process, is pointless, as futile as reasoning with the lamppost you just ran your car into. Managers truly committed to the cause might holler and scream and delay the game via the histrionics accompanying an ejection anyway, but at least they pay the price for doing so. Given the outcome in Cleveland, what's to stop Showalter from pulling the same stunt again?
Jason Wojciechowski writes for Beanball on the SweetSpot Network.
Please weigh in on your thoughts on Selig, Manfred and whatever else moves you in the comments below. What changes would you make if you were Rob Manfred this morning?
Onto the best of the SweetSpot Network contributing sites from this past week...
Arizona Diamondbacks: Inside the 'Zona
Jake Lamb: Welcome to the Show: the D-backs' trade of Martin Prado did more than clear payroll, it also cleared third base for prospect Jake Lamb. Jeff Wiser breaks down Lamb's minor league success and explains what to expect. Follow on Twitter: @OutfieldGrass24
Baltimore Orioles: Camden Depot
Chris Davis on Path to Fall Short of Mark Reynolds: Jon Shepherd notes that after a 2013 of Chris Davis chasing the home run record and settling for simply the Orioles' home run record, he is now chasing another one: most home runs with a batting average under .200. As of the time of writing, Davis was on pace to fall three homers short of Reynolds' feat of 32. Follow on Twitter: @CamdenDepot
Chicago Cubs: View From The Bleachers
Back to the Cubs Future: A Look Back at the 2011 Cubs Top 10 Prospect List: Each year, Baseball America releases their top-10 list for each organization and projects the lineup three years out. Joe Aiello takes a look back at 2011 to see how they did now that 2014 is here. Hint: It’s not pretty. Follow on Twitter: @vftb
Colorado Rockies: Rockies Zingers
The Saddest Play In Rockies History: Eric Garcia McKinley reminisces on the last Rockies game before the 1994 strike. The exchange between Eric Young and Ryan Klesko was memorably tragic. Follow on Twitter: @garcia_mckinley
Minnesota Twins: Twins Daily
Twins are Making the Right Moves: The Twins are finally embracing their rebuild, clearing out aging veterans to make room for the next wave, as Nick Nelson writes. Follow on Twitter @nnelson9
New York Yankees: It's About The Money
Yankees Historically Bad Clutch Hitting: The 2014 Yankees are bad in the clutch. Katie Sharp shows everyone just how awful they've been and how they rank historically. Follow on Twitter: @KTSharp
Slump City, USA, Population Yankee Bats: Everybody slumps. Brad Vietrogoski examines how all the Yankees seem to be doing it at the same time. Follow on Twitter: @IIATMS
St. Louis Cardinals: Fungoes
Graph: MVP candidates by percentage of team WAR: One way to think of who is most valuable to his team is to consider the proportion of the player's contribution to his team's overall performance. Pip at Fungoes graphically displays each league's leaders in Wins Above Replacement, with their WARs as percentages of their team's totals. Follow on Twitter: @fungoes
Jason Rosenberg is the founder of It's About the Money, a proud charter member of the SweetSpot Network. IIATMS can be found on Twitter here and here as well as on Facebook.
The problem I had with the whole trade Quintana thing, even if they were just random suggestions and rumors: Quintana is the kind of pitcher you build around, not trade away. He's young (25), he's inexpensive, and he's really, really good.
It's that latter one that some people have a hard time believing. Quintana was never a top prospect; in fact, he was never really a prospect at all. Originally signed by the Mets out of Colombia in 2006, Quintana, then 17, tested positive that October for violating minor league baseball's drug policy. Suspended for the start of the 2007 season, the Mets released him in July before he had even pitched that year. He was out of baseball for four months, thinking his professional career was over.
"I feel like it was lack of orientation more than anything," Quintana told MLB.com in 2013. "I was just taking medicine. I wasn't trying to get anything else. I was going to a gym where they had a sports medicine guy."
The Yankees eventually signed Quintana as a free agent. He spent two years in the Dominican summer league and two years in Class A ball. He had decent numbers at Tampa in 2011, pitching primarily in relief, but the Yankees didn't put him on their 40-man roster, and the White Sox signed him as a minor league free agent thanks to some good scouting work from Daraka Shaheed and Joe Siers, who saw a potential starter.
Quintana quickly reached the majors in 2012, went 9-7 with a 3.51 ERA in 33 starts last year, and this year he's 6-9, but with a 3.14 ERA and solid numbers across the board. Don't blame Quintana for his win-loss record -- he has had seven starts where he allowed one run or no runs and won just two of those, with five no-decisions.
Those numbers the past two seasons are even more impressive when considering that he pitches his home games in a good hitters' park (or, more specifically, one of the best home run parks in the majors).
Quintana has a pretty typical repertoire: a four-seamer, a two-seamer he has been throwing more often this year, an excellent curveball and a changeup.
Here's one stat that helps explain Quintana's success even though his fastball averages 91.4 mph (decent enough for a lefty). His swing-and-miss percentage with his fastball is 45.4 percent; Price's is 45.7 percent. He pounds the strike zone with it, but what I like best about Quintana's approach is that he doesn't use it just to set up his curveball. He actually uses it a lot with two strikes to finish off batters -- he's seventh in the majors in strikeouts recorded with his fastball.
Anyway, it's hard for Quintana to get much attention pitching in the same rotation as Chris Sale. It doesn't help that the White Sox haven't exactly been in the spotlight these past two years.
By the way, here's one final stat, Baseball-Reference WAR, 2013-2014:
To be fair, he's behind both on FanGraphs, but still 11th overall in the majors.
Either way, that sounds like an unsung pitcher to me.
Eric and I discuss Felix Hernandez and Clayton Kershaw as MVP candidates. Justin Verlander won in 2011 but that's a rarity for a pitcher. Could both guys win MVP honors this year?
(For an excellent breakdown of the history of pitchers as MVP candidates, check out this piece from Dave Cameron at FanGraphs. I still can't believe Dwight Gooden didn't win in 1985.)