Over/under: Adam Dunn's home runs

January, 24, 2012
1/24/12
10:45
AM ET
We're starting a new game here at the SweetSpot blog. We'll throw out an over/under question each day until we get tired of the idea. I'll save the voting results and check back at the end of the season to see how we all did.

Today's over/under question: Will Adam Dunn hit 25 home runs?

From 2004 through 2010, Dunn averaged 40 home runs per season. In fact, from 2005 through 2008 he hit exactly 40 home runs each season, which may be the most remarkable statistical fluke in baseball history. Anyway, we all know what happened in 2011 in his first season with the Chicago White Sox: He suffered one of the worst seasons in major league history, hitting .159 with 11 home runs in 415 at-bats. It was the lowest average by a hitter with 400 plate appearances since Joe Gerhardt hit .155 for the 1885 New York Giants.

Gerhardt somehow remained in the lineup in 1886 and improved his average to .190 (he must have been a heck of a second baseman). At 32 years old, will Dunn be given another chance? How many at-bats will Robin Ventura give him?

I'm sure White Sox fans can't wait to find out.

David Schoenfield | email

SweetSpot blogger

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