Over/under: Wins for Giants

March, 16, 2012
3/16/12
12:10
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Coming off their 2010 World Series title, the San Francisco Giants brought back much of the same cast: Aubrey Huff, Cody Ross, Pat Burrell, Aaron Rowand. They brought in 37-year-old Miguel Tejada to play shortstop.

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Over/under prediction: 87.5 wins for Giants

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    76%
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    24%

Discuss (Total votes: 3,539)

This plan didn't quite work out. None of the old guys produced, Andres Torres didn't match his career season and Buster Posey got injured, leaving the Giants with the worst offense in the league. So while they allowed the second-fewest runs in the NL, they still ended up getting outscored, 578 to 570.

They did win 86 games, so they exceeded their projected win total by six. But from a talent standpoint, the 2011 Giants were a .500 team, despite Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Madison Bumgarner and Ryan Vogelsong combining for a 2.89 ERA over 127 starts.

Those four are back while inconsistent Jonathan Sanchez was traded for outfielder Melky Cabrera, coming off a career season with the Royals (.305/.339/.470). Torres was traded to the Mets for Angel Pagan. Barry Zito may be back in the rotation ... just one of many question marks. Will Brandon Belt earn a regular spot in the lineup? Will Posey hit like he did as a rookie in 2010? Will Pablo Sandoval stay healthy and repeat his big numbers from 2011? Will Brandon Crawford hit enough to hold down shortstop? Was Vogelsong a fluke?

The Giants' over/under is 87.5 wins. If they allow the same number of runs as last season that means they'll have to score about 690 runs to win 88 games. That's 120 more runs scored than in 2011. I think I'll take the under.

David Schoenfield | email

SweetSpot blogger

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