<
>

SweetSpot TV: Which playoff team will flop?

As we get into the final two of weeks of spring training, we all start to think of our predictions for the season. It's easy to look at the 2011 playoff teams and figure those teams will all be good again, even to where several are considered playoff locks.

That, perhaps surprisingly, is not the case. From 2006 to 2010, 24 of 40 playoff teams failed to make the playoffs the following season (60 percent). Twenty-three of those 24 had a worse record and 13 of the 24 declined by at least 10 wins. Here's the list, with the team's wins during their playoff season followed by the following year:

2010 (4)

Twins: 94 to 63

Giants: 92 to 86

Reds: 91 to 79

Braves: 91 to 89

2009 (5)

Angels: 97 to 80

Dodgers: 95 to 80

Red Sox: 95 to 89

Rockies: 92 to 83

Cardinals: 91 to 86

2008 (5)

Cubs: 97 to 83

Rays: 97 to 84

Brewers: 90 to 80

White Sox: 89 to 79

2007 (4)

Indians: 96 to 81

Yankees: 94 to 89

Rockies: 90 to 74

Diamondbacks: 90 to 82

2006 (7)

Cardinals: 100 to 83

Mets: 97 to 88

Twins: 96 to 79

Tigers: 95 to 88

A's: 93 to 76

Dodgers: 88 to 82

Padres: 88 to 89

Of course, adding an extra wild card will make it easier to make the playoffs. If an extra wild card had been in place, however, only four of the 24 would have made the playoffs, with a fifth tied for the second wild card. That still leaves the percentage of returning to the playoffs at 50 percent (or just over).

So odds suggest four of last season's playoff teams won't be back in 2012. Which teams do think? Discuss below.