If I were to take one over bet for 2012, I'd put my money on the Cleveland Indians.
Now, I can understand why Cleveland's over/under is just 75.5 wins. After all, Cleveland hasn't finished above .500 since 2007. And while the Indians went 80-82 in 2011, their projected record was just 75-87.
Thus, the oddsmakers expect similar results and another sub-.500 record.
But I see a lot of upside here. I see Shin-Soo Choo bouncing back. I see Jason Kipnis providing nice numbers at second base. I see Carlos Santana improving in his second full season. If Travis Hafner can stay healthy and Grady Sizemore returns ... those would just be bonuses.
In Justin Masterson and Ubaldo Jimenez, the Indians could have a very nice 1-2. The back of the rotation looks to be solid if unspectacular. The bullpen in front of closer Chris Perez is deep from the left and right sides, allowing Manny Acta to match up in the middle innings.
Hey ... maybe I'm way off here. But I'm going over.