Dickey, Sabathia now Cy Young favorites

June, 21, 2012
6/21/12
6:13
PM ET
Got this email yesterday from Bovada.lv (yes, shameless promotion for a gambling site), but in the interest of fun and amusement:

Current odds to win NL Cy Young Award
R.A. Dickey -- 3/2
Matt Cain -- 8/5
Stephen Strasburg -- 3/1
Cole Hamels -- 7/1
Lance Lynn -- 10/1

Now, the problem with ranking Strasburg so high is this: He's not going to win it. Not including relief pitchers or starters in strike-shortened seasons, only four Cy Young winners have thrown fewer than 220 innings: Pedro Martinez in 1999 (213.1) and 2000 (217), Roger Clemens in 2004 (214.1) and Rick Sutcliffe, who pitched 150.1 innings for the Cubs in 1984 and went 16-1 after coming over in a trade. Sutcliffe's situation was rather unique, so with Strasburg unlikely to reach 200 innings, unless he goes 20-2 or something, his chances are slim considering a likely deep group of strong candidates.

Current odds to win AL Cy Young Award
CC Sabathia -- 3/1
Justin Verlander -- 9/4
David Price -- 5/1
Chris Sale -- 11/2
Yu Darvish -- 6/1
Matt Harrison -- 13/2
Fernando Rodney -- 12/1

I'm a little surprised Sabathia is at the top of the list considering his 3.55 ERA ranks just 16th in the AL, but his record is 9-3. Still, voters have wisened up in recent years and would realize that Verlander's 7-4, 2.57 season has been more valuable. I'm a little surprised C.J. Wilson (8-4, 2.44) isn't on the list. I'll take a flyer on his odds. But my favorite thing about the list: Fernando Rodney has Cy Young odds. Now that's something not a single person would have predicted in March.

David Schoenfield | email

SweetSpot blogger

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