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What Pettitte, Sabathia injuries mean

6/28/2012

Andy Pettitte is expected to miss six to eight weeks with a fractured fibula and CC Sabathia will miss a couple starts with a pulled groin. What's the impact on the Yankees? For now, Freddy Garcia and rookie Adam Warren will step into the rotation.

ESPN Stats & Information ran a simulation of 10,000 seasons to see the affects. Assuming Pettitte misses nine starts and Sabathia misses two, here are the simulation results before the injuries and after:

So the injury effects are small, although not insignificant, dropping the Yankees' projected playoff chances by 5 percent. The Yankees still rate as the heavy favorite in the AL East.