When great teams go bad

July, 11, 2012
7/11/12
5:12
PM ET
Saw a note the other day about teams that won 100 games and fell under .500 the following season. This, of course, was in regards to the Phillies, who won 102 games in 2011 but are sitting at 37-50 at the All-Star break.

Since 1970, 43 teams have won 100 games, including the 2011 Phillies. Here are three that had losing records the following season.

1993-94 San Francisco Giants
1993: 103-59
1994: 55-60

What happened: Well, 1993 was kind of a stone-cold fluke, the only winning season the Giants had from 1991 to 1996. They fell off in 1994 despite having Barry Bonds OPS over 1.000 and Matt Williams chase Roger Maris' home run record until the strike hit. A key loss was Will Clark, who departed as a free agent, replaced by the light-hitting Todd Benzinger at first base (that was a generous way to put it). Second baseman Robby Thompson, who hit .312 in 1993, got injured, and Royce Clayton and Willie McGee didn't play as well. The Giants dropped from second in the league in runs to 10th. The pitching decline wasn't as severe but predictable, since Bill Swift and John Burkett were the only two starters to make more than 20 starts in 1993. Swift missed time in 1994 and guys like Salomon Torres and Bryan Hickerson were ineffective.

1985-1986 St. Louis Cardinals
1985: 101-61
1986: 79-82

What happened: Some said it was hangover from losing the final two games of the '85 World Series. In reality, the offense fall apart. Willie McGee, the '85 NL MVP, fell from .353 and an .887 OPS to .256 and a .676 OPS. Cleanup hitter Jack Clark played in just 65 games. Vince Coleman stole 101 bases, which is pretty amazing since he was hardly on base (.301 OBP). Tommie Herr declined from a .795 OPS and 110 RBIs to .673 and 61. You get the picture. Even though 21-game winner Joaquin Andujar was traded following his World Series meltdown and John Tudor was unable to repeat his magical 1985 (21 wins, 1.93 ERA), the pitching staff allowed just 39 more runs. The offense rebounded in 1987 and the Cardinals returned to the World Series.

1970-71 Cincinnati Reds
1970: 102-60
1971: 79-83

What happened: This one is interesting. The Reds allowed 100 fewer runs and still lost 23 more games. After scoring 775 runs in 1970, the Big Red Machine fell to 586 in 1971. There was a league-wide OPS drop of 38 points that season, but that's still a lot of missing offense. Johnny Bench had been the NL MVP in 1970 when he hit 45 home runs and drove in 148 runs, but his OPS fell 210 points. Tony Perez's OPS fell from .990 to .764. Center fielder Bobby Tolan had a career year in 1970 but ruptured his Achilles tendon playing basketball in the offseason and missed the entire season. Rookie George Foster was unable to replace him with a .292 OBP, although he paid dividends a few years later. Second-year shortstop Dave Concepcion hit just .205. Anyway, in 1972 the Reds acquired Joe Morgan, Bench rebounded with another MVP season, Tolan returned and the Reds won 95 games and reached the World Series.

The interesting thing is the decline for all three teams was primarily offensive; I would have guess it would been the pitching staff due to a couple of injuries or guys unable to repeat career seasons. With the Phillies, the decline has been defensive: First in fewest runs allowed last season, they're 14th in the NL in 2012.

David Schoenfield | email

SweetSpot blogger

SPONSORED HEADLINES

ESPN Conversations


You must be signed in to post a comment

Already have an account?