Why the Giants will win the World Series

October, 24, 2012
10/24/12
2:00
PM ET
I'm a little biased, but here we go. Five reasons the Giants will win the World Series:

[+] EnlargeMarco Scutaro
Thearon W. Henderson/Getty ImagesMarco Scutaro is on fire entering the World Series.
1. Marco Scutaro is on fire. Everyone knows about the success that Scutaro enjoyed since he joined the Giants. Since a July trade to the Giants, Scutaro batting slashed -- .362/.385/.473 -- his way into Giants fans' collective hearts. Coming off a NLCS MVP Award, Scutaro looks like he's playing baseball on another level. Consider the following: In the NLCS, Scutaro saw 100 pitches as a batter; he swung at 43 of them and he only missed two times. Scutaro is as locked in as I've ever seen a hitter.

2. The Giants' defense is better. By defensive efficiency -- think the inverse of BABIP -- the Giants rank 13th in baseball; the Tigers rank 27th. If you prefer the newer metrics such as Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) or Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), the Giants rank 14th and 18th, respectively; on the flip side, the Tigers rate much lower at 29th and 24th. Specifically, the Tigers' infield looks porous with Miguel Cabrera playing third base, Prince Fielder playing first base and Jhonny Peralta playing shortstop.

3. The Giants have the National League MVP on their side. Buster Posey -- presumed NL MVP -- didn't have a great NLCS, but what Posey did in the regular season speaks volumes of his talent. The 25-year-old catcher hit a robust .336/.408/.549 while playing half his games in a park that suppresses one of his greatest hitting strengths: his opposite-field power. If I had to bet on things, I would bet on Posey picking things up and having a great World Series. The Giants will need everything that Posey can give them.

4. The DH slightly "idiot proofs" the lineup. I really don't think Bruce Bochy is an idiot. In fact, I think he's a pretty great manager. Against the Cardinals, he seemed to pull all the right levers and push all the right buttons. However, Bochy -- and the Giants -- have a tendency to sit one of their better hitters, Brandon Belt, when either (A) Barry Zito is pitching or (B) When Tim Lincecum is pitching. Generally when either Zito or Lincecum pitch, Belt sits on the bench, Hector Sanchez catches, and Posey shifts to first base. The Giants really owe it to themselves to get Belt into every game. When the Giants play in Detroit, Belt gets an additional path to the starting lineup in the DH spot. It's not ideal, and it really shouldn't be this difficult, but getting Belt's bat into the lineup could be huge.

5. Ryan Vogelsong. Just, Ryan Vogelsog. If you missed it, Vogelsong's mastery in the NLCS was a sight to behold. I've never seen a pitcher pitch off his fastball so dominantly. Vogelsong's game plan right now is to bust right-handed batters in on the hands with a 91-92 mph two-seam fastball. Just ask the Cardinals how much they enjoyed hitting against Vogelsong. In his masterful Game 6 start of the NLCS, he threw his fastball 69 percent of the time. And the Cardinals couldn't touch it.

The Tigers are a formidable opponent. Their hitting prowess in the middle of the order can't be understated. The Giants' pitchers will have their work cut out for them. And the Tigers' pitching has been very, very good this postseason, throwing 39 innings against the Yankees in the ALCS while allowing just six earned runs. That's good for a 1.38 ERA. However, these five points for the Giants give the team hope that it can capture its second World Series title in the San Francisco era.

Chris Quick runs the Giants blog Bay City Ball.

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