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Thursday, May 7, 2009
Bob Melvin's days numbered?

Are Bob Melvin's days numbered? Nick Piecoro's reading between the lines: Gosh, I don't know. Chris Young's been awful, but Justin Upton's been excellent. Chad Tracy and Conor Jackson have been terrible, but Brandon Webb and Stephen Drew have been hurt. With the exception of Yusmeiro Petit (Webb's replacement), the rotation's been real good. With the exception of Jon Rauch, so has the bullpen.

I suppose the knock against the Diamondbacks is that they're not as good as their young players, a year or two ago, led us to believe they would become. But aside from Young, the chief offenders this spring have been the 27-year-old Jackson and the (almost) 29-year-old Tracy. Pick up decent seasons from those two and get Webb off the DL, and the Diamondbacks are sitting right around .500.

One gets the impression that Derrick Hall understands most of this. More from the interview: "Is it fair to put the blame on one man? No. Does it happen all the time in major sports? Yes. And sometimes teams do respond, players respond."

Sometimes they do. But I've often wondered how many of the positive "responses" we've observed over the years are simply regressions to the mean. Because I have a feeling that Jackson and Tracy are going to improve no matter who's managing the club.