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Monday, March 25, 2013
Poll results: American League predictions

By David Schoenfield

I've been meaning to run the final poll results from all the offseason report cards we published before and early in spring training. Here are the American League tallies. Keep in mind that the polls were conducted before some recent developments took place -- in the case of the Yankees, for example, before Mark Teixeira's injury or before we knew Derek Jeter will likely be unavailable on Opening Day.

It's probably not too surprising that in all cases except one, voters from the team's home state were more optimistic than the national average on the team's high win total. That team: The Red Sox; 20 percent nationally picked the Red Sox to 90+ games, but just 16 percent of the voters in Massachusetts predicted so.

Most optimistic: Royals fans; 29 percent nationally picked the Royals to win 85+, but 45 percent of voters from Missouri did so.

Baltimore Orioles
90+: 21%
85-89: 38%
80-84: 29%
Fewer than 80: 12%

In Maryland: 37, 38, 20, 6

Boston Red Sox
90+: 20%
85-89: 40%
80-84: 31%
Fewer than 80: 10%

In Massaschusetts: 16, 52, 27, 6

New York Yankees
95+: 14%
90-94: 41%
85-89: 32%
80-84: 13%

In New York: 17, 52, 24, 7

Tampa Bay Rays
95+: 19%
90-94: 54%
85-89: 24%
Fewer than 85: 3%

In Florida: 33, 54, 12, 1

Toronto Blue Jays
95+: 33%
90-94: 49%
85-89: 15%
Fewer than 85: 3%

International: 40, 49, 9, 2

Chicago White Sox
90+: 15%
85-89: 35%
80-84: 35%
Fewer than 80: 16%

In Illinois: 23, 42, 25, 10

Cleveland Indians
80+: 44%
75-79: 29%
70-74: 21%
Fewer than 70: 6%

In Ohio: 59, 24, 13, 4


Detroit Tigers
95+: 40%
90-94: 51%
85-89: 8%
Fewer than 85: 2%

In Michigan: 47, 50, 3, 0

Kansas City Royals
85+: 29%
80-84: 40%
75-79: 23%
Fewer than 75: 7%

In Missouri: 45, 43, 10, 3

Minnesota Twins
80+: 12%
75-79: 13%
70-74: 33%
Fewer than 70: 42%

In Minnesota: 16, 15, 31, 38

Houston Astros
70+: 7%
60-69: 17%
53-59: 36%
Fewer than 53: 41%

In Texas: 13, 26, 32, 29

Los Angeles Angels
95+: 38%
90-94: 45%
85-89: 13%
Fewer than 85: 3%

In California: 47, 43, 8, 2

Oakland A's
95+: 21%
90-94: 46%
85-89: 26%
Fewer than 85: 7%

In California: 27, 51, 19, 4

Seattle Mariners
85+: 29%
80-84: 45%
75-79: 20%
Fewer than 75: 6%

In Washington: 36, 49, 12, 3

Texas Rangers
95+: 9%
90-94: 47%
85-89: 39%
Fewer than 84: 6%

In Texas: 17, 54, 25, 0