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Monday, March 25, 2013
Poll results: National League predictions

By David Schoenfield

In my previous post, I ran down the American League poll results from the offseason report cards. Here are the National League results.

As in the AL, fans are optimistic cross the board. For those who argue baseball lacks parity, tell that to baseball fans. According to our poll results, 22 of 30 teams are expected to finish over .500 by the majority of fans. (The exceptions being the Indians, Twins, Astros, Marlins, Mets, Cubs, Rockies and Padres.)

The most optimistic fans among NL teams: Diamondbacks and Nationals fans both polled at 18 percent higher than the national average for the highest win category. (I used Virginia for Nationals fans.) Least optimistic: Cubs fans, as Illinois polled just 1 percent higher than the national average in the highest win category.

Atlanta Braves
95+: 61%
90-94: 35%
85-89: 4%
Fewer than 85: 1%

In Georgia: 72, 26, 3, 0

Miami Marlins
75+: 5%
70-74: 11%
65-69: 30%
Fewer than 65: 53%

In Florida: 15, 14, 27, 44

New York Mets
85+: 10%
80-84: 29%
75-79: 41%
Fewer than 75: 20%

In New York: 12, 33, 38, 18

Philadelphia Phillies
90+: 37%
85-89: 37%
80-84: 20%
Fewer than 80: 6%

In Pennsylvania: 49, 38, 11, 3

Washington Nationals
100+: 46%
95-99: 39%
90-94: 11%
85-89: 5%

In Virginia: 64, 27, 7, 2

Chicago Cubs
80+: 16%
75-79: 32%
70-74: 39%
Fewer than 70: 14%

In Illinois: 17, 32, 37, 14

Cincinnati Reds
95+: 53%
90-94: 38%
85-89: 7%
Fewer than 85: 2&

In Ohio: 66, 30, 3, 0

Milwaukee Brewers
90+: 18%
85-89: 43%
80-84: 29%
Fewer than 80: 10%

In Wisconsin: 25, 51, 19, 4

Pittsburgh Pirates
85+: 20%
80-84: 45%
75-79: 24%
Fewer than 75: 12%

In Pennsylvania: 23, 46, 19, 12

St. Louis Cardinals
95+: 17%
90-94: 54%
85-89: 23%
Fewer than 85: 5%

In Missouri: 24, 60, 15, 1

Arizona Diamondbacks
90+: 22%
85-89: 40%
80-84 29%
Fewer than 80: 9%

In Arizona: 40, 42, 11, 7

Colorado Rockies
80+: 12%
75-79: 12%
70-74: 36%
Fewer than 70: 40%

In Colorado: 25, 15, 30, 29

Los Angeles Dodgers
95+: 36%
90-94: 42%
85-89: 17%
Fewer than 85: 5%

In California: 41, 40, 14, 5

San Diego Padres
85+: 11%
80-84: 22%
75-79: 38%
Fewer than 75: 29%

In California: 15, 28, 35, 22

San Francisco Giants
95+: 20%
90-94: 52%
85-89: 24%
Fewer than 85: 4%

In California: 26, 58, 13, 3