Sunday, July 6, 2014
Trade deadline preview: AL Central
By SweetSpot Network
We're going division by division to look at what each team needs to do at the trade deadline and what may actually happen. As always, you can keep up with the latest trade talk at Rumor Central.
Chicago White Sox
Status: Selling, but not as much as you'd think.
Biggest needs: Suddenly, the team that annually surprised with how much advanced metrics loved the production of its pitching staff can't buy an out. The White Sox have an admirable one-two combo up front in the rotation, are committed to John Danks and will be rushing Carlos Rodon up the ranks as fast as they usually do, but they have had their lack of pitching depth exposed this season.
General manager Rick Hahn has moved the organization away from big investments in relievers, so the Sox will be looking for potential starters who are close to the majors.
Available for trade: OF Dayan Viciedo (arbitration-eligible in 2015), 1B/DH Adam Dunn (free agent), SS Alexei Ramirez ($10 million in 2015, club option for 2016), 2B Gordon Beckham (third-year arbitration), OF Alejandro De Aza (third-year arbitration), C Tyler Flowers (arbitration-eligible), RP Ronald Belisario (free agent).
The White Sox have no tolerance for long-term rebuilds. The 2013 season is talked about like a war atrocity around these parts, and Hahn & Co. will likely be eyeing contention in 2015. The core is off the table, so forget Chris Sale, Jose Abreu and Jose Quintana and be prepared to have to push hard for Ramirez.
Possible suitors: The Mariners seem perfect. Shortstop Brad Miller has had a terrible season, although he was better in June. They need production from first base and designated hitter, could use a corner outfielder and have solid but not exorbitantly expensive pitching prospects they can spare, particularly James Paxton. The Pirates, Reds and Marlins all could use a shortstop who actually hits on occasion. Jed Lowrie has struggled for the A's, but Oakland would have to work hard to find the minor league pitching to make a Ramirez trade work. The Angels and Yankees could both use some left-handed thunder that Dunn may or may not have in him to provide.
Likely scenario: Against all odds, the Sox seem to be fielding offers for the OK-hitting, wackadoodle-fielding Viciedo. They simply have no reason to keep Dunn for the second half of 2014 and should realize it soon enough, even if it's not until after the waiver deadline. They are under no forced timeline to move Ramirez and still need to decide if any of their infield prospects can replace him. They will need to be blown away to make a deal.
-- James Fegan, The Catbird Seat
Status: On the bubble.
Biggest needs: The Tribe have a big need for starting pitching (because Corey Kluber can't start every day) and a slightly less crucial need for some offensive oomph.
Possible trade targets: SS Asdrubal Cabrera and RHP Justin Masterson, who both become free agents at the end of the season. The Indians were unable to come to terms with Masterson before the season started, and it seems almost certain that he will test the free-agent market. Fans have been placing bets on when Cabrera will be traded since last season.
Up-and-coming prospect Francisco Lindor may not be ready to move up to the show to replace Cabrera, but the Tribe have a strong utilityman in Mike Aviles to fill in at short until Lindor is ready.
Prospect everyone will ask about: Lindor, who is untouchable. Danny Salazar showed enough potential and poise on the mound at the end of 2013 that teams might ask, even though some rough starts this season sent him back to Triple-A Columbus for more seasoning. The Indians and Rays discussed a trade for David Price at the end of 2013, but the Rays' demands started with Salazar (and Carlos Santana). If Cleveland wasn't interested in parting with Salazar then, it doesn't seem likely it would do so now.
Likely scenario: They can't get rid of Masterson unless they get pitching in return, and the set of available starting pitchers who could make an immediate impact consists of guys named David Price. It seems unlikely that the Rays' demands for Price have lessened since December, and Salazar and Santana may not be as interesting anyway. The Indians still look at themselves as possible contenders, so they have to do something to bolster the roster. Cabrera for a DH/power hitter seems most probable.
-- Susan Petrone, It's Pronounced "Lajaway"
Biggest needs: The bullpen has been the biggest issue for the Tigers from day one -- and that was before Joe Nathan's struggles began. For the second year in a row, the Tigers will almost certainly be big players in the reliever market. A month ago, shortstop would have been up there on this list, but Eugenio Suarez's emergence has addressed that somewhat. They may still look for a more proven veteran if the opportunity arises, though.
Possible trade targets: Relievers such as Joaquin Benoit and Huston Street of San Diego, Arizona's Brad Ziegler or even Texas' Joakim Soria if the price is right.
Prospect everyone will want but the Tigers won’t want to trade: Now that Nick Castellanos has graduated to the majors, the Tigers' system is short on real blue-chip prospects. Second baseman Devon Travis is one of the best they can offer, and he will be asked about. He's an asset because of his bat; he hit over .350 in Class A and is hitting .291 at Double-A Erie. The Tigers would prefer to keep Travis, but they are an aggressive team when it comes to making moves and won't consider anyone off-limits if the deal works for them.
Likely scenario: The Tigers will probably land a reliever. They've already been linked to Benoit, who the Tigers know well after he spent three years with the club. It probably won't be a huge name or someone regarded as a proven closer, but more likely someone who can help them through the seventh and occasionally eighth inning.
-- Grey Papke, Walkoff Woodward
Kansas City Royals
Status: All-in as they try to catch the Tigers or win a wild card for their first postseason appearance since 1985.
Biggest needs: Power. The Royals are last in the American League in home runs, and Raul Ibanez is unlikely to be the answer. Trouble is, whom do you bump? Right field, where Norichika Aoki failed to do the job and is currently on the DL, is the obvious hole, but first baseman Eric Hosmer has four home runs and DH Billy Butler has two, so the Royals need to at least consider upgrading those positions.
Possible trade targets: OF Marlon Byrd, DH Adam Dunn, 1B/DH Chris Carter, OF Dayan Viciedo, DH Kendrys Morales.
Prospect everyone will ask about: RHP Kyle Zimmer, the team's top prospect heading into the season, has yet to pitch because of a muscle strain in his shoulder. Shortstop Raul Mondesi Jr. was a top-50 prospect before the season but has struggled in high Class A, hitting .216. But he is 18 and the Royals won't give up on him just yet.
Likely scenario: While Byrd would be the best fit, he is signed through next season with a 2016 option, and even an $8 million future salary may scare off the Royals. Dunn and Carter, with their high strikeout rates, aren't Royals type of players, although Dunn has been good enough to at least warrant consideration. Don't be surprised if the Royals stand pat and just hope Hosmer and Butler start hitting.
-- David Schoenfield
Status: Selling and retooling.
Trade targets for other teams: OF Josh Willingham (free agent), 1B/DH Kendrys Morales (free agent), SP Kevin Correia (free agent), C Kurt Suzuki (free agent).
Possible suitors: Any team needing a bat could take an interest in Willingham, who has shown good power and patience at the plate and might be one of the best bats available at the deadline, though his age and lack of mobility in left field will limit his return. Morales is a big name who would be an interesting pickup for some team if he heats up a little.
What they need: Young, talented players. The Twins are looking to rebuild internally, and any quality prospects who could aid the arrival of Byron Buxton, Miguel Sano, Alex Meyer and others would be welcomed.
Likely scenario: The Twins flip Willingham and maybe another expiring veteran for a couple B-level prospects.
-- Nick Nelson, Twins Daily