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Wednesday, July 22, 2009
Bill James on steroids

Bill James, after maintaining silence (well, mostly) on the subject for some years, is now ready to offer his thoughts on baseball players and performance-enhancing drugs and the Hall of Fame. Money quote: I misspoke, earlier. That's the end of Bill's essay, but it's not really the money quote. The money quote is the entire essay, which you should read, and in which Bill presents not one or two or even four, but five arguments for the eventual Hall of Fame induction of all those (currently) tainted players. While I am not wholly convinced by any particular argument, I am almost completely convinced by the sum of those arguments.

My only real quibble with Bill -- aside from his certainty that Dick Allen will make it, plus he seems to have missed Andy Pettitte's acknowledged PED use -- is that I think his timetable's off by a decade or so. I think "the end of the day" will actually come well before 2040. I think that Bonds and Clemens and probably some of the others will be elected to the Hall of Fame in the 2020s. If not earlier.