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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
Washburn's hot start


Jarrod Washburn is 3-0 for the first time since 1998. Geoff Baker, for one, is happy for him: Entering this season, Washburn's record with the Mariners was 23-43. Was he really that bad? No, not really. With just average luck and opposition he would have been roughly a .500 pitcher over those three seasons. Is a .500 pitcher worth $27 million over three years? Well, no. But when Washburn signed with the M's after the 2005 season, that's roughly what they were getting. At least the durable ones, and Washburn had been pretty durable.

It wasn't a good contract. As I believe I wrote at the time, the Mariners overpaid because they thought Washburn's 3.20 ERA in 2005 meant more than 4.64 and 4.34 marks in the previous two seasons. But it wasn't a crazy contract, in the context of that free-spending time. And if Washburn wins more than a dozen games this season, it won't look crazy in this particular time, either.