
Anything Is Possible
No one really knows what will happen next in these NBA Finals. The surprise -- and the heartbreak -- is the beauty of basketball. Abbott »
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more focus," Spoelstra said. Odds are, the Heat will look far different in Thursday's Game 4, because that's who they are, who they have been. Odds are every Chris Bosh blocked shot won't turn into aDanny Green 3-pointer. But it's a game that's getting somewhat old and getting somewhat dangerous. "The only thing that matters," Spoelstra said, "is we're down 2-1 and we did not bring anywhere near our best game tonight. I did not recognize the team that was out there." Yes, there have not been consecutive losses since Jan. 8 and Jan. 10. We get that. But even that might not be enough. … Now the question is whether the Heat can make it back to South Florida with a season still in progress. We've learned by now to never doubt LeBron. But what he is facing this series is something far more maniacal than what Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau has thrown at him in recent postseasons, more than the Pacers' Frank Vogel conjured in the previous round.
what allows the Heat to tolerate his lapses in concentration, his consistent inconsistency. This is what Mario Chalmers does. This, at this point, is who he is. “You can’t teach that quality, that big-game guts,” coach Erik Spoelstra said after Chalmers catalyzed the Heat’s 103-84 victory in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. You can’t teach, and you don’t question. Not at this stage. Not on this stage. Not after he etched himself into Kansas history, with the shot that sent the NCAA Final to overtime. Not after he scored 18 points in Game 6 of the 2011 NBA Finals against Dallas, nearly saving the Heat after Spoelstra waited too long to re-insert him as a starter. Not after he scored 25 points in Game 4 of the 2012 NBA Finals against Oklahoma City, supplying Miami with the secondary offense to take control of the series. Not after his strong play against Indiana in the 2013 Eastern Conference finals, picking up some of the slack for the struggling Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh. And certainly not after what he did Sunday night, with 19 points, no turnovers and a plus-30.
Hawks have taken a major step toward credibility. Over the past 15 years, which franchise has most consistently gotten the basketball right? The San Antonio Spurs, where Ferry played and worked. Where has Budenholzer been working as a lead assistant and de facto coach-in-waiting? With the San Antonio Spurs. He'll be introduced Wednesday at Philips Arena as the Hawks' new coach, and then he'll work with the Spurs through the NBA finals. Generally speaking, it's a good sign if you hire a coach away from a team that is playing for championships. … I've never met Mike Budenholzer, but I like this hire a lot. He worked under the best general manager (R.C. Buford) and the best coach (Gregg Popovich) in the business. If he was good enough for them, he'll be great for the Hawks. Ferry got this part of the basketball right. Now for free agency.
Valanciunas, like most rookies, misses rotations, overhelps, and commits other sins of positioning on defense. Coaches hate that stuff, and they've often nailed Valanciunas to the bench in crunch time in favor of Aaron Gray -- a fundamentally sound player who lacks NBA athleticism.
The numbers in large part disagree with that tactic, at least as it relates to Valanciunas's defense. The Raptors' defense has been better with Valanciunas on the floor. More importantly, the visualization data shows that Valanciunas is active and athletic enough to make up for all his defensive mistakes, Rucker and his team say.
"With Jonas -- yeah, he's making mistakes," Boyarsky says. "But who cares?"
Casey said he hasn't had deep discussions with the analytics team about Valanciunas, but Sterner has, and he agreed it's sometimes a thorny issue of valuing culture over results. "You want your defense to be sound," Sterner says. "Even though the production might be better, you still want [Valanciunas] doing the right thing.
though, a little at a time, replaced by elbows and sweat. Gradually, increasingly, the Heat should be seen as a team of great adaptability. “Whatever it takes,” as coach Erik Spoelstra reminded again Monday. Miami is still and foremost the top-heavy team with LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh as a starting point, but here is what must be debilitating to opponents. While you cannot out-talent or out-skill the Heat, you cannot outwork or out-want them, either. (Ever notice that Heat and Heart are very close to the same word?) You cannot out-blue collar this team. Just when you think of Miami as represented by a spectacular alley-oop dunk, it is diving for a loose ball to remind that the franchise culture is rooted in defense first. The Heat does not do underdog, no, but Miami concedes nothing in the arena of tenacious and scrappy. This thoroughbred can be a mudder when needed.
Ronald Martinez/Getty ImagesIt's been a season of unique twists and turns for the Grizzlies, who face elimination in Game 4 tonight.
for frustrating Randolph goes to the Spurs’ cast of Tiago Splitter, Matt Bonner and Boris Diaw, with a bit of Tim Duncan and guard help thrown in. If Memphis can’t figure out a way to finally free Randolph, the series could end Monday. Keep calm and carry on: The Spurs opened Game 3 by missing 15 of 19 shots and coughing up eight turnovers. The result was an early 18-point deficit, not the best script for winning a playoff game on the road. With the Grizzlies now down to their last strike, the Spurs can expect a desperate Memphis team and heightened sense of urgency from the crowd. If they can keep their wits about them — and keep from gifting the Grizzlies with points off turnovers — the Spurs have a good chance to finish the sweep. Bid bon voyage: The Grizzlies left the FedEx Forum after squandering Game 3 looking and sounding like a beaten team ready for summer vacation. The best thing the Spurs can do in Game 4 is to push them the rest of the way to Bora Bora. If the Spurs can jump on Memphis, and give Team “We Believe” a reason not to, odds are good the Grizzlies might go away quietly.
