Monday, April 7, 2014
3-on-3: Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat
The Heat look to avoid a season sweep Tuesday at the hands of the Brooklyn Nets, who have won the previous three meetings between the two teams. Our panel goes 3-on-3:
1. Fact or Fiction: Brooklyn is Miami's biggest potential East threat in playoffs.
Tom Haberstroh: Fiction. Folks, there's still plenty of room left on the Toronto Raptors bandwagon. Hop on. As far as the East goes, the Heat and the Raptors have been in a class by themselves since Rudy Gay got traded in early December. There are two East teams with a point differential over 4.0 and it's the Raptors (plus-4.9) and the Heat (plus-6.6). I'm not convinced Kevin Garnett and Andrei Kirilenko will be healthy in a month.
Michael Wallace: Fiction. Despite how horrible they've been these past couple of weeks, I still believe in the Indiana Pacers and what their track record has revealed over the long haul. Silly me. But their combination of stingy defense, coupled with the nightmare matchup that is Roy Hibbert and the Lance Stephenson wildcard, the Pacers are still the team that causes the Heat more concerns over a seven-game series.
Brian Windhorst: Fiction. I still think it's the Pacers, though I admit my case is not strong. The Nets are a team that is built for a playoff setting but I'm not assuming they're getting past the Bulls if that series ends up taking shape.
2. Fact or Fiction: Dwyane Wade should sit out the rest of the regular season.
Haberstroh: Fiction. I'd probably get him a game or two just to get his timing and in-game conditioning calibrated. We're learning rest is critical to success so I would still hold him out for the majority of the games down the stretch, but a month off seems drastic.
Wallace: Fact. I totally don't subscribe to this theory under normal circumstances, considering it's been obvious the past few weeks that Wade's teammates want to get in at least a couple of games with him on the court before the playoffs. But the bottom line is that the Heat could essentially use a likely first-round matchup against either the Bobcats or the Hawks to work off the rust. If taking another week off gets Wade even 10-percent healthier, then it's worth the risk at this point, all things considered.
Windhorst: Fact, if that hamstring isn't right. Do you know how often the phrase "I made a mistake coming back too early from that hamstring" has been uttered in NBA history? Well, it's a lot. The whole season has been aimed to keep Wade from being banged up. That said, it does seem like he's making progress and he could be back before the postseason.
3. Fact or Fiction: LeBron will score at least 34 for a third consecutive game.
Haberstroh: Fiction. Paul Pierce never takes it easy on James. I see the reigning MVP regressing to the mean and racking up points closer to his scoring average. Last time out, James scored just 19 points against his arch rival so I'll split the difference and say he scores 27 on Tuesday.
Wallace: Fact. If Wade isn't available, LeBron won't have any problem picking up the slack. He's scored 34 and 38 points, respectively, in his past two games. If he pours in at least 34 against Brooklyn, it would be the first time this season he's reached that total in three straight contests. LeBron certainly has been more aggressive of late, having launched at least 20 field goal attempts and 10 free throws in three of the past four games. It seems as if he's totally adjusted to the heavier burden and now thrives on it.
Windhorst: Fiction. LeBron's averaged 27 points, roughly his career average, against the Nets this season (though he did have a 36-point game). So I'll play the averages and predict about that total for him. Also, the Nets defense and especially Paul Pierce -- Google Pierceitis -- have been performing well at that end.