- Henry Abbott, TrueHoop, NBA
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John Hollinger's playoff odds are up and running, and while there's plenty of interesting stuff to notice (Miami, Boston, San Antonio and ... Chicago are the four teams given a 100 percent likelihood of making the playoffs, the Sixers are expected to make it too) there's also something very uninteresting. And that is that in a lot of NBA cities, the game is over before it's halfway done.
Quibble with Hollinger's supercomputer if you must, but is there really any chance Hollinger's analysis is wrong in saying the Kings and Timberwolves have no chance to make the playoffs?
In fact, if you add up the Hollinger probabilities for seven worst NBA teams -- the Kings, Timberwolves, Cavaliers, Clippers, Bobcats, Nets and Wizards -- they combine to have a miserable 6.2 percent likelihood of making the playoffs.
More than half the NBA makes the playoffs every year. These seven teams, taken together, are nearly a quarter of the whole league. And this quarter of the NBA has basically no shot of straying into the top half over the next few months, according to some keen analysis.
That's lame. It's no crisis -- things have always been this way in this sport and others forever, and it's evidently OK -- but it's sure not as fun as it could be, especially if you happen to be a fan of one of those seven teams.
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