Wayne Winston's power rankings

March, 29, 2011
3/29/11
4:14
PM ET
Abbott By Henry Abbott
ESPN.com
Archive
Indiana University professor Wayne Winston is a pioneer of plus/minus who has long advised NBA teams including the Dallas Mavericks.

I've written about him many times, and he never fails to rile people up with his unconventional findings.

But for the record, in my experience, Winston is not wacky or anything else. He's just a guy who passionately believes in adjusted plus/minus -- even when sample sizes are fairly small.

Would you have it any other way? Would you hire me as a blogger if I were tepid on blogging? Would you hire a point guard who headed into the lane thinking "I'm probably going to miss this"? A lot of people believe in their work, and while I honestly still haven't grasped exactly how to use plus/minus, I'm certain it's one part of a good, broad analysis of a team or a player. (I'm also sure that, limited though it may be, for the time being it's just about the only way to measure individual NBA defense in any meaningful way, so it simply can't be ignored.)

So, with that as a backdrop, here are Winston's most recent NBA power rankings, based on the last 30 days, which he just e-mailed over. I honestly don't know his secret sauce, but I'd put good money on it being based on margin of victory and strength of opponent -- so take this as a measure of who has been playing well against tough competition lately:
  1. Denver Nuggets
  2. Chicago Bulls
  3. Los Angeles Lakers
  4. Miami Heat
  5. Oklahoma City Thunder
  6. Dallas Mavericks
  7. Portland Trail Blazers
  8. Houston Rockets
  9. Orlando Magic
  10. San Antonio Spurs
  11. Memphis Grizzlies
  12. Philadelphia 76ers
  13. Boston Celtics
  14. New Orleans Hornets
  15. Phoenix Suns
  16. New York Knicks
  17. Atlanta Hawks
  18. Los Angeles Clippers
  19. Sacramento Kings
  20. Golden State Warriors
  21. Milwaukee Bucks
  22. Detroit Pistons
  23. Indiana Pacers
  24. Minnesota Timberwolves
  25. New Jersey Nets
  26. Utah Jazz
  27. Charlotte Bobcats
  28. Toronto Raptors
  29. Cleveland Cavaliers
  30. Washington Wizards

Henry Abbott | email

TrueHoop, NBA

ESPN Conversations


You must be signed in to post a comment

Already have an account?