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Coming soon: the 2012 Stat Geek Smackdown

The first-round picks are all in, and will be published on ESPN.com shortly.

In the interim, consider this interesting tidbit from defending champion Benjamin Morris:

I have a "big pot" playoff model (no matchups, no simulations, just stats and history for each playoff team as input) that produces some quirky results that have historically out-predicted my more conventional models.

It currently puts San Antonio above 50 percent.

Not just against Utah, but against the field.

Not saying I believe it, but there you go.