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TrueHoop: David Blatt
A few new trends have emerged in the coaching ranks, namely the Rise of the Video Kids (see Spoelstra, Erik; Vogel, Frank), but most hires in the NBA follow a well-trodden path. Owners and executives love a track record of success and will pay top dollar for a big name. NBA assistants with winning pedigrees are still popular, as are former NBA players who look the part. In general, guys whose career numbers are visible on Basketball Reference are preferable to those who never suited up in the NBA, while college coaches are viewed with a jaundiced eye.
Some of these biases make sense on the surface, but general managers and owners are often driven by their aversion to risk. By and large, a head coaching hire ranks behind only free agency and the draft as a primary factor when measuring a front office’s competence. The easiest way to pass this test is to hire a winner. The second easiest is to hire someone who seems like a winner and, if he loses, remind ownership and the public of that pedigree. There’s a reason we see certain names pop up on short lists each time there’s a coaching vacancy -- there’s comfort in familiarity. That sentiment becomes stronger when a dark horse like Mike Dunlap doesn’t succeed in Charlotte.
It’s difficult to assess whether the league as a whole is doing a good job of hiring coaches. There are only 1,230 wins to go around each season, so even if we could identify the 30 most capable NBA head coaches in some foolproof, empirical way, about half of them would lose more games than they’d win -- and some of them would lose a whole bunch. There’s no simple way to look at someone and know for certain whether they can thrive as an NBA head coach.
A survey of several league execs, players and other team personnel about what makes a quality hire revealed a few common themes:
It’s all about the buy-in: Game management, preparation and the whiteboard arts are all indispensable qualities for an NBA head coach, but the ability to earn the faith of a superstar and key rotation players is qualification No. 1. “You can always find a graybeard or a grinder who can come up with coverages,” says an NBA front office exec. “But what most teams are looking for now is someone who knows how to build a culture and get the stars to buy in.”
Risk is in the eye of the beholder: What constitutes a safe or risky hire? Ask a dozen execs and you’ll get two dozen answers. For many, coaches from the college ranks represent a considerable risk, and the NBA coaching trail is littered with big-name NCAA coaches with winning pedigrees who flamed out at the next level. Others cite career assistants as high-risk. “You never really know how much of an assistant’s success is based on who his head coach is, and how much of it is real,” one NBA exec says.
Not every fit is a great fit: NBA organizations aren’t one-size-fits-all. They each have a unique character that starts with ownership and management. Some teams project a buttoned-up corporate culture, while others have that foozball-in-the-employee-lounge, open floor plan feel. A coaching candidate who might thrive in one situation won’t necessarily be the right fit in another. Roster, market and ownership are all major variables when measuring fit.
Money is (almost) always an issue: With each passing season, the NBA inducts more owners who come from a “new economy” background, a place where every expenditure is examined for value and efficiency. In this world, wins are measured by the dollar, so spending $4 million per year for a coach if you feel similar results can be achieved with a coach at $1.2 million doesn’t add up.
As we head into the thick of hiring season, here are seven candidates regarded as capable future NBA head coaches. None of the seven have previously held the head job in the NBA -- and some aren’t necessarily the safest choices by conventional measures -- but each would bring an intriguing set of skills and attributes to the job:
David Fizdale, Miami Heat assistant coach
There are a dozens of assistants in the NBA who are certified basketball brainiacs, but few of them have Fizdale’s combination of acumen and capacity to relate to NBA players, despite having never played in the league.
“[Fizdale] grew up hard and fought to get to where he is,” says another NBA power broker. “It’s given him an ability to connect because he understands where a lot of these guys came from.”
Like Spoelstra, Fizdale is an alumnus of the Heat’s video room during the 1990s. He also cut his teeth in the player development realm at Tim Grgurich’s venerable big man camp and as an assistant with Golden State and Atlanta. There’s a broad consensus that the question isn’t if, but when Fizdale will be tapped for a lead job.
David Joerger, Memphis Grizzlies assistant coach
“He loves the craft,” says an NBA general manager. “Look what he’s done with [the Memphis] defense. He’s got Thibodeau’s thing for defense, but he’s a lot more likable than Thibs.”
When Lionel Hollins delegated the Memphis’ defensive game plan to Joerger, the Grizzlies were the league’s 24th-ranked defense. In the three seasons since, they’ve finished ninth, then seventh and now second in defensive efficiency, and they did it with Zach Randolph at power forward and an unusually small point guard in Mike Conley. It’s rare that NBA players cite their assistants by name, but Tony Allen routinely praises Joerger’s defensive blueprint as an essential ingredient in the Grizz’s success.
Joerger loves to problem-solve and grapple with game theory, and he has an appreciation of analytics. He knows which NBA point guards, in descending order, reject screens most frequently and understands how to impart that information to players. Most of all, Joerger has an acute awareness of what each player on the roster can and can't do. Randolph won't be asked to perform Joakim Noah tasks, and a unit's collective shortcomings are priced into coverage schemes.
Every NBA team these days wants to patent a defensive system, and those in search of an architect have a natural candidate in Joerger.
Fred Hoiberg, Iowa State head coach
Yet for the most part, college coaches have been seen as untouchable by most NBA front offices after a procession of high-profile failures over the past two decades. Are the principles of college ball not transferable to the pro level, or is the under-performance of college coaches a function of the general disposition of the men in question and the rosters they inherited?
Whatever the case, Hoiberg would have all the bases covered. Unlike most of the coaches from the college ranks who dabbled in the NBA, Hoiberg played 10 seasons in the league and has an intimate knowledge of the rhythms and demands of NBA life. After his retirement, he served in the Minnesota Timberwolves front office and was passed over for the top job in basketball operations when David Kahn was hired in 2009. Hoiberg endured a season in the Kahn administration before leaving to coach at Iowa State, where he has effectively rebuilt a flailing program into a tourney team.
“He’s a worker bee who has proven he can coach,” says one NBA exec. “If [Rick Adelman] decides to retire, he’d be the perfect fit in Minnesota. He has a track record there. He could coach Rick’s team, and even coach Rick’s philosophy.”
In retrospect, striking out on his own to gain valuable experience coaching his alma mater was probably a blessing for Hoiberg. But after a while, recruiting gets old and there’s a lot of goodwill for him among NBA decision-makers who see him as a young coach with a bright future.
Steve Kerr, TNT analyst
Kerr’s three-year stint as general manager of the Phoenix Suns proved that, with most NBA franchises, the easiest way to have an impact on the floor is not as an executive but as a head coach. Many insiders feel that when Kerr is ready to jump back in, it will be on the sidelines. He’d likely want a major say in personnel decisions and would look to avoid many of the trappings encountered in Phoenix, but if the right gig came along, he’d strongly consider the challenge.
“Steve speaks and thinks the game and has a lot of institutional knowledge,” an NBA executive says. “He sees the value of 1-through-12 and would understand how to manage delicate personalities in the locker room. After [Phoenix Suns owner Robert] Sarver, it would be a vacation.”
Personality management is more vocation than vacation in the NBA, but Kerr has a shadowbox full of rings. It’s probably not in his nature to plunk them down on a table a la Pat Riley, but a championship pedigree commands respect. Combine that with Kerr’s even disposition and silver tongue, and a convincing profile of an NBA head coach emerges.
Alex Jensen, Canton Charge head coach
The 36-year-old Jensen just finished his second winning season as the head coach in Canton, the Cleveland Cavaliers’ owned-and-operated affiliate, but he’s best known in basketball circles as the late Rick Majerus’ star protegee. Jensen played for Majerus at the University of Utah in the mid-90s and was the starting forward on the Utes team that lost the 1998 title game to Kentucky. After bumping around the Turkish league -- with a few stops in between in Japan, Spain and the CBA -- Jensen reunited with Majerus, joining his staff at Saint Louis for four seasons.
Jensen has preached Majerus’ doctrine in Canton, where the ball must be shared and players must defend. He’s taken Majerus’ motion offense and peppered it with some of the basic high ball-screens and pin-downs that dominate NBA offenses.
“[Jensen] is cerebral and smart,” an NBA coach says. “He already had a great feel for the game, then he soaked up everything Rick [Majerus] taught him.”
D-League players have been getting call-ups and making key contributions at the NBA level. It’s just a matter of time before we see an NBA team dig into the D-League ranks for a head coach.
Robert Pack, Los Angeles Clippers assistant coach
Pack raised his profile as a hard-nosed but fair instructor, the guy on staff unafraid to get in a player’s face and tell him when he’s disrespecting the game. The Clippers’ roster is a tough audience of veterans and young supernovas, but Pack quickly earned credibility as someone who offered coaching and an honest ear.
Pack brings a floor general’s approach to the game, and can claim Darren Collison and Eric Bledsoe as young point guards who flourished under his direction. Chris Paul has conveyed his respect for Pack’s expertise and manner.
The short résumé might give some potential employers pause, but pair him with a seasoned assistant steeped in game preparation and Pack figures to be a quick study. The Clippers were ready to hand him the keys to the family wagon during a playoff run. A young team looking to invest in the future could afford him the time to grow, as Orlando has with Jacque Vaughn.
David Blatt, Maccabi Tel Aviv head coach
It’s been a few years since the persistent chatter about an NBA team -- Toronto the most popular hypothetical -- hiring a head coach out of Europe. Whenever that line of inquiry is resuscitated, Blatt is the most oft-mentioned name, along with Ettore Messina (formerly of Mike Brown’s staff in Los Angeles) and Sergio Scariolo (head coach at Milano, and the Spanish national team that’s won gold at the last two FIBA EuroBasket championships).
Blatt’s American upbringing and playing career at Princeton under Pete Carril make him a logical trailblazer should an NBA team want to take the plunge. Blatt wouldn’t likely be lured by an assistant’s spot on the bench nor by a consultant’s title similar to Messina’s with the Lakers.
“[Blatt] would want some authorship of the roster and a seat at the table,” says a member of an NBA front office who keeps a close watch on Europe. “Mike D’Antoni is the analog.”
D’Antoni was the last real import, and no NBA team has expressed public interest in a coaching candidate from Europe recently. Still, the prospect of a mind like Blatt’s taking the reins of an NBA team is a fascinating thought exercise. Given Blatt's body of work, characterizing such a hire a risk would be silly.
- There is an Israeli track called "Popovich" by an Israeli rap duo named Arik Henig and X, and the Spurs head coach has made good use of the video. From Dan McCarney of the San Antonio Express-News relays the story from Stephen Jackson and other Spurs: "'He was showing some film of me messing up, getting on me real hard. I was like, "You know what Pop, I don’t even want to play basketball. I’d rather do this. Kick it!" And they played two of my videos. And Pop was like, "You know what? Don’t worry about it Jack. I got my own video. It was pretty cool.' Boris Diaw deemed the stunt “hilarious” while noted music aficionado Matt Bonner also gave his seal of approval."
- True story from SLAM's Tzvi Twersky: "A little less than two years ago, after he decided to leave Georgia Tech and enter the NBA Draft, Iman Shumpert was deciding on what agent to hire. After a couple of pitches from different agencies, it was Happy Walters’ turn. The meeting went well, and Shumpert went off on his own to think about it. Eventually, at some point during this time of contemplation, he decided to go with Walters. Instead of calling him to deliver the news, Shumpert, a lover of music, recorded a track called “Power Moves” where he talked about the decision, and sent it to to Walters. Thus the relationship was consummated."
- Among the despondent on Avery Johnson's firing in Brooklyn -- LeBron James.
- Devin Kharpertian of the Brooklyn Game rolls out a list of 10 potential coaching candidates for the Nets.
- Although former Russian national coach David Blatt is considered "a longshot at best," according to CBS Sports' Ken Berger, it would be a blast to watch the international luminary try his hand with an NBA roster.
- Players who come into the NBA with marginal prospects rarely forget the first coach to give them a real break.
- It's a copy-cat league, as Jared Dubin illustrates how the Knicks lifted a play from the Lakers' playbook on Monday night, a set that burned New York just 24 hours prior.
- Jeremy Schmidt of Bucksketball poses an interesting question: Does the Bucks' desire to forge an identity around their defense exist in opposition to the organization's goal to sell more tickets in a small market experiencing little growth. But so long as Larry Sanders is on the floor for Milwaukee, they're just going to have to live with a sturdy defense, watchability be damned.
- How a Chris Paul-DeAndre Jordan pick-and-roll inspires musical composition.
- Coming in at No. 80 on The New Yorker's cheeky Hundred Best Lists of All-Time list: Dr. James Naismith’s original 13 Rules of Basket Ball.
- NBA Geek takes issue with Kevin Love's shot selection and says it's time to let Derrick Williams, who played well Wednesday night against Houston, out of the doghouse.
- In the same game, Love got seared in the pick-and-roll by James Harden repeatedly.
- Magic backup point guard E'Twaun Moore might be better suited off the ball, writes Noam Schiller of Magic Basketball. Unfortunately, the Magic have two quality options at the 2 already.
The Painted Area is following every second of action of Eurobasket 2009 in Poland, and has this report on Day 2's action:
GROUP A: Greece 76, Croatia 68
In a battle of Group A heavyweights (and medal contenders), Greece's near flawless first half offensive execution was too much for Croatia to handle. Greece scored 52 points in the first 20 minutes on 76 percent shooting.
The Greek offensive spacing was superb with the wings staying wide and lots of weaving action up high in the first half. Lots of motion which made it hard for Croatia to get to shooters.
But the Greeks slowed considerably in the 2nd half, particularly in the 4th quarter where they only managed 11 points. Sloppy fourth quarter with too many fouls & TOs. Croatia chipped back into the game in the 2nd half by getting out in transition and getting to the free throw line.
Even with the sharp offensive execution by the Greeks, this game was tough to enjoy. Like the Lith-Turkey game from the night before, we had another Eurobasket game marred by too many whistles -- a combined 49 fouls.
Olympiakos' Giannis Bourousis showed why he's one of the top centers outside the NBA with 19 points & 8 rebounds. The 7-foot Bourousis was pure in the first half burying two 3-pointers. & a long jumper off the dribble. The big Greek scored 17 of 19 in the half on a perfect 7-for-7 shooting. Bourousis even added an emphatic dunk over Kasun off a roll that drew a foul.
Vasilis Spanoulis, always a better long shooter when he can get a little dribble into his shot, buried a key 3-pointer off an iso up high to seal the victory. Spanoulis sliced into the lane for some points (11 points), but never got consistent deep penetration, and still struggled trying to force passes (5 turnovers).
Greek SF Strat Perperoglou knocked down some 3-pointers for 10 pts, and Utah's Kostas Koufos added 10 points on short shots mostly in the first half.
Roko Ukic was the lone bright spot for Croatia's offense in the first half hitting a variety of runners. Ukic couldn't connect with his jumper (no surprise), but he did lead all Croatia scorers with 15 points...
GROUP B: Germany 76, Russia 73
Wasn't expecting an aesthetically pleasing game, and pretty much got what I expected. A battle of teams without dynamic scoring options ended with both teams combining to hit 35 percent of the shots attempted for the game.
Combine this putrid shooting with 60 fouls combined, and you have a recipe for another Eurobasket contest that was tough to follow. If there is one overriding theme in the first few days: way too many whistles. Doesn't make for a memorable viewing experience.
Russia sunk their chances by failing to capitalize on these aforementioned whistles. Russia went to the line 49 times, but only made 28.
Germany controlled the first half but let Russia stay within reasonable striking distance by putting the Russians on the free throw line 28 times. Russia made a run in the third where they pieced together a few positive offensive possessions and Germany helped with poor shot selection.
As usual, Russian head coach David Blatt mixed up his defensive looks, which was successful in the second half. We saw some extended pressure on occasion and some off-kilter zone alignment with man principles.
The always active Jan Jagla led the German squad with 19 points, 11 points, & 2 blocks. Jagla known for his off. boarding, grabbed 7 offensive rebounds, including a big off. board that drew a foul with 3:00 left. Jan Jagla has always been valuable as a live body who crashes the glass. He's just always been in the unfortunate situation of playing the same position as Dirk...
Reserve PG Heiko Schaffartzik scored 10 of his 13 points in the 1st quarter thanks to two pull-up 3-pointers (his specialty). Heiko only made one basket after the first quarter, but it was a clutch 3-pointer to give Germany a 71-67 lead with 1:45 left ... Schaffartzik cleverness with the dribble & lateral quickness helped him set up four assists
Russia's PG play wasn't too bad either. PG Sergey Bykov was key to Russia chipping into Germany's 14-point halftime lead. Bykov scored Russia's first eight points of the third. Sergey mixed some stellar drives with a few jumpers to score all his 11 points in the third. But Bykov was the primary culprit of Russia's foul shooting nightmare -- Bykov shot 3-for-11.
The good news for Russia, they have qualified for the 2nd round with Latvia's loss to France. The last second Round spot out of Group B will be determined by the outcome of the Germany-Latvia game. If Germany wins, they're on to the next round. They can actually afford a loss, as long as it's by less than nine points. But that scenario is contingent on Russia losing to France. If Russia beats France, then whoever wins the Germ-Latvia game outright goes to the second round.
Will not be European at all.
His name is David Blatt, and he's American. No wait, he's Israeli.
A TrueHoop reader pointed out to me that Blatt is routinely described as one or the other. It depends who you ask, and when and where you ask them. Sometimes he's even European. (He lives in Turkey, where this season he will coach Efes Pilsen, and he's the coach of the Russian national team that just won the EuroBasket tournament.)
The dichotomy is evident in a Jerusalem Post profile by Allon Sinai. In the first paragraph, Blatt's described as "the 48-year-old Israeli coach." Then several paragraphs lower there is this quote from Israel coach Tzvika Sherf (my emphasis):
"If a European coach will reach the NBA in the coming years it will be David," Sherf said. "David is very similar to Phoenix Suns coach Mike D'Antoni. They're both Americans who coached successfully in Europe for several seasons. David has the vision, ability and contacts to get to the NBA."
For the record, Blatt was born in Boston, and wikipedia describes him, accurately, it would seem, as an Israeli-American.
UPDATE: Chris Sheridan's profile of Blatt.